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19261 Mitchell St
B Composite 72.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

19261 Mitchell St · Detroit, MI 48234
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,183 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 68 Days on market
Built 1948 4,792 sqft lot $63/sqft · 61% above area Est $82k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom investment property in a rapidly developing neighborhood in Detroit. Renovations are required. Property is being sold as is. All showings must be approved. Appliances are not included. Measurements may not be accurate.

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1948

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $509 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 14 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $70,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.76%
Cap rate
14.43%
Cash-on-cash
29.06%
DSCR
2.29
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$81,531
List price
$75,000
Delta
-8.01%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19155 Gallagher St 0.15mi 3/1.5 1,208 (+2%) 0mo $129,900 $108 87
19365 Goddard St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-7%) 0mo $97,500 $89 73
19360 Revere St 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,050 (-11%) 2mo $78,000 $74 68
19181 Marx St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,152 (-3%) 1mo $40,500 $35 66
19662 Charest St 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,041 (-12%) 2mo $69,000 $66 66
3952 Stockton St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,149 (-3%) 1mo $55,000 $48 61
19155 Ryan Rd 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,068 (-10%) 2mo $45,000 $42 60
19145 Riopelle St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,152 (-3%) 2mo $80,000 $69 55
20450 Gallagher St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,291 (+9%) 1mo $45,000 $35 49
19163 Orleans St 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (-9%) 2mo $32,500 $30 47
19942 Saint Aubin St 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,350 (+14%) 4mo $38,000 $28 45
2339 E Outer Dr 0.55mi 3/2.5 1,324 (+12%) 4mo $154,000 $116 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.7%
Equity multiple
2.21×
Total profit
$25,381
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
37.4%
Equity multiple
5.12×
Total profit
$86,590
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48234

Home prices YoY
-11.9%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
226
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,318 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$108 /mo · $1,293/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$509

Break-even live

Break-even rent $674
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19360 Revere St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 24d 1 0.27mi
18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 16d 1 0.32mi
19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 14d 1 0.32mi
19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 4d 1 0.35mi
18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,150 $1.28 24d 1 0.47mi
19995 Goddard St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1292 $1,400 $1.08 21d 1 0.53mi
18557 Wexford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1216 $1,250 $1.03 24d 1 0.54mi
20000 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,200 $1.04 24d 1 0.55mi
18882 Marx St Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 43d 1 0.60mi
18084 Goddard St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 790 $1,050 $1.33 16d 1 0.60mi
18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 16d 1 0.61mi
19930 Binder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 16d 1 0.61mi
20255 Harned St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,374 $1.37 16d 1 0.68mi
18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,250 $1.72 17d 1 0.71mi
18503 Riopelle St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1254 $1,250 $1.00 4d 1 0.84mi
19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,384 $1.30 4d 1 1.00mi
19162 Conley St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 43d 1 1.05mi
2034 John B Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 920 $1,261 $1.37 43d 1 1.06mi
21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 756 $1,029 $1.36 24d 1 1.13mi
19361 Moenart St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 23d 1 1.15mi
18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 870 $1,195 $1.37 16d 1 1.16mi
18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,300 $1.13 1d 1 1.16mi
18677 Moenart St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1470 $1,200 $0.82 43d 1 1.19mi
19260 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 4d 1 1.23mi
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 979 $975 $1.00 43d 1 1.24mi
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 979 $975 $1.00 21d 1 1.24mi
1301 E Muir Ave Hazel Park, MI 3.0 2.0 1236 $1,600 $1.29 21d 1 1.30mi
21516 Dequindre Rd Warren, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 837 $1,375 $1.64 21d 1 1.34mi
20058 Bloom St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1350 $1,450 $1.07 16d 1 1.34mi
13929 Arlington St Unit 2 Hamtramck, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 43d 1 1.36mi
20794 Audrey Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 954 $1,350 $1.42 43d 1 1.41mi
19703 Keating St Highland Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 16d 1 1.44mi
1621 E Evelyn Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 749 $1,295 $1.73 17d 1 1.47mi
1019 E Hayes Ave Unit 1032331P Hazel Park, MI 3.0 1.0 1033 $5,301 $5.13 1d 1 1.47mi
20263 Caldwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 909 $1,350 $1.49 16d 1 1.48mi
1211 E Bernhard Ave Hazel Park, MI 2.0 1.0 721 $1,500 $2.08 24d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 68 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 67 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 65 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 62 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 58 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 57 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $75,000 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 53 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 52 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 51 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 50 DOM
  14. 2026-04-12
    listed $80,000 Active 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    3 bedroom investment property in a rapidly developing neighborhood in Detroit. Renovations are required. Property is being sold as is. All showings must be approved. Appliances are not included. Measurements may not be accurate.

  15. 2026-04-11
    listed $80,000 Active 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    3 bedroom investment property in a rapidly developing neighborhood in Detroit. Renovations are required. Property is being sold as is. All showings must be approved. Appliances are not included. Measurements may not be accurate.

  16. 2021-05-28
    historical
  17. 2021-05-17
    status Pending
  18. 2021-05-17
    status Pending
  19. 2021-05-17
    historical
  20. 2021-05-02
    status Active
  21. 2021-05-02
    status Active
  22. 2021-04-30
    status Pending
  23. 2021-04-30
    status Pending
  24. 2021-04-28
    historical
  25. 2021-04-28
    listed $65,000 Active
  26. 2021-04-28
    listed $65,000 Active
  27. 2021-04-28
    historical
  28. 2021-04-07
    status Active
  29. 2021-04-07
    status Active
  30. 2021-03-31
    status Pending
  31. 2021-03-31
    status Pending
  32. 2021-03-26
    listed $62,000 Active
  33. 2021-03-26
    listed $62,000 Active
  34. 2019-06-19
    historical
  35. 2019-06-19
    historical
  36. 2019-06-16
    listed $20,000 Active
  37. 2019-06-16
    listed $20,000 Active
  38. 2018-04-05
    historical
  39. 2018-04-05
    historical
  40. 2018-03-26
    price $20,000
  41. 2018-03-25
    price $20,000
  42. 2018-03-16
    price $12,700
  43. 2018-03-16
    price $12,700
  44. 2018-02-22
    price $13,000
  45. 2018-02-21
    price $13,000
  46. 2018-02-10
    price $15,000
  47. 2018-02-10
    price $15,000
  48. 2018-01-27
    price $15,900
  49. 2018-01-26
    price $15,900
  50. 2018-01-23
    price $19,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,293 · $108/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,293 · $108/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,811
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,293
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,265
− Management
−$1,265
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$5,230
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,255
After-tax cash flow
$4,847/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,760
Household income
$35,322
Rent vs Own
47.0% rent · 53.0% own
Severe rent burden
2372.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.65%
Current HPI
328.8978
Rent YoY
▲ 6.72%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+302.3% since first listed
40 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-12 Listed $80,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-11 Listed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-05-28 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-05-17 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-05-17 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-05-17 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-05-02 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-05-02 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2021-04-30 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-04-30 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-04-28 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-04-28 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-04-28 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-04-28 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-04-07 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-04-07 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2021-03-31 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-31 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-03-26 Listed $62,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-26 Listed $62,000 REALCOMP
  • 2019-06-19 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2019-06-19 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-06-16 Listed $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-06-16 Listed $20,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-04-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-04-05 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-03-26 Price Changed $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-03-25 Price Changed $20,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-03-16 Price Changed $12,700 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-03-16 Price Changed $12,700 REALCOMP
  • 2018-02-22 Price Changed $13,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-02-21 Price Changed $13,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-02-10 Price Changed $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-02-10 Price Changed $15,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-01-27 Price Changed $15,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-01-26 Price Changed $15,900 REALCOMP
  • 2018-01-23 Price Changed $19,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-01-22 Price Changed $19,800 REALCOMP
  • 2018-01-12 Listed $19,888 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-01-12 Listed $19,888 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,293 · -51.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…