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4928 Werner Ave
B Composite 71.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$26,000

4928 Werner Ave · Shreveport, LA 71108
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1950 5,401 sqft lot Est $28k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

62-property single-family residential portfolio available. Ideal for investors seeking scale and long-term value. Sold as a package only. Additional details available upon request.

Key facts

  • 5,401 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $26k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($808 rent vs $26k).
  • Cap rate 27.7% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $180 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $780 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $26,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.11%
Cap rate
27.75%
Cash-on-cash
76.63%
DSCR
4.41
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$28,080
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2816 Bibb St 0.21mi 2/1.0 936 (0%) 14mo $24,999 $27 79
3101 Syphon St 0.19mi 2/1.0 840 (-10%) 10mo $10,000 $12 66
3030 Morningside Dr 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,005 (+7%) 2mo $53,000 $53 65
2446 Drexel St 0.54mi 2/1.0 979 (+5%) 4mo $15,000 $15 64
3149 Fulton St 0.53mi 2/1.0 870 (-7%) 2mo $34,900 $40 62
2511 Drexel St 0.50mi 2/1.0 1,005 (+7%) 9mo $45,000 $45 57
2946 Midway St 0.42mi 2/1.0 822 (-12%) 6mo $22,500 $27 55
5203 Bienville Ave 0.68mi 2/1.0 987 (+5%) 7mo $24,900 $25 53
3216 Fulton St 0.59mi 2/1.0 999 (+7%) 14mo $20,000 $20 49
3934 Fairfax Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,036 (+11%) 2mo $84,000 $81 48
2026 Murray St 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 982 (+5%) 12mo $29,900 $30 47
2632 Desoto St 0.60mi 2/1.0 1,069 (+14%) 10mo $32,500 $30 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
75.9%
Equity multiple
4.42×
Total profit
$24,894
Equity at exit
$3,877
10-year hold
IRR
79.4%
Equity multiple
8.94×
Total profit
$57,773
Equity at exit
$2,248

Cash invested: $7,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71108

Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
138
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$808 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$136
Tax from tax record
$27 /mo · $318/yr
Insurance
$11
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$170
Net cashflow
$465

Break-even live

Break-even rent $220
Max offer price $26,000
Occupancy floor 37%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,500
Closing costs
$780
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5306 Prentiss Ave Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 957 $975 $1.02 43d 1 0.23mi
2503 Malcolm St Shreveport, LA 1.0 1.0 650 $600 $0.92 43d 1 0.43mi
2641 Valley Ridge Rd Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1045 $725 $0.69 20d 1 0.46mi
5218 Fairfax Ave Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 971 $825 $0.85 20d 1 0.52mi
2924 DuPont St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 768 $750 $0.98 20d 1 0.68mi
2714 DuPont St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 980 $565 $0.58 13d 1 0.69mi
4122 Cherokee St Apt 4 Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 750 $850 $1.13 20d 1 0.73mi
4122 Cherokee St Apt 4 Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 960 $850 $0.89 43d 1 0.73mi
1954 State St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 43d 1 0.73mi
2544 DuPont St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 683 $600 $0.88 20d 1 0.75mi
3530 Pleasant Dr Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 750 $725 $0.97 20d 1 0.82mi
2520 Merwin St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 924 $700 $0.76 20d 1 0.94mi
2721 Sunnybrook St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 913 $1,000 $1.10 43d 1 1.20mi
3240 Jackson St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1014 $700 $0.69 13d 1 1.30mi
1421 Clover St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 900 $675 $0.75 13d 1 1.33mi
1430 Grigsby St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1052 $775 $0.74 43d 1 1.34mi
2762 Marquette St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 1054 $1,000 $0.95 20d 1 1.35mi
3051 Amherst St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 994 $595 $0.60 43d 1 1.37mi
1416 Natalie St Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.0 1100 $900 $0.82 13d 1 1.41mi
3628 Sumner St Shreveport, LA 3.0 1.0 956 $950 $0.99 44d 1 1.41mi
1340 Lincoln St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1120 $850 $0.76 13d 1 1.49mi
1340 Lincoln St Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.0 1120 $950 $0.85 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-03-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-14
    listed $26,000 Active
  3. 2024-05-14
    historical
  4. 2024-05-09
    status Active
  5. 2024-04-19
    historical Active Contingent
  6. 2024-02-04
    listed $24,900 Active
  7. 2007-01-26
    soldstatus
  8. 2004-09-24
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$318 · $27/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$318 · $27/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,700
− Mortgage interest
−$1,456
− Property taxes
−$318
− Insurance
−$130
− Repairs & maintenance
−$776
− Management
−$776
− Depreciation
−$756
Taxable income
$5,487
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,317
After-tax cash flow
$4,262/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caddo Parish
NCES district ID
2200300
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -30.00%
Median HH income
$39,227
Composite
22.23/100
National rank
#8148
State rank
#53 of 98 in LA

Livability — Shreveport

Score
59/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#19730

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shreveport, LA
County
Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
City population
164,123
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
Population (ZIP)
18,072
Household income
$32,055
Rent vs Own
63.3% rent · 36.7% own
Severe rent burden
1526.0

Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
243,190 people
By 2030
237,231 · -2.5%
By 2040
222,502 · -8.5%
By 2050
206,516 · -15.1%
By 2075
165,706 · -31.9%
By 2100
122,262 · -49.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 83% White 11% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Caddo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.98%
Current HPI
58.1377
Rent YoY
▲ 2.37%
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-14 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-03-14 Listed $26,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-05-14 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2024-05-09 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2024-04-19 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2024-02-04 Listed $24,900 NTREIS
  • 2007-01-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-09-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $318 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…