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219 W Water St
B Composite 70.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$80,000

219 W Water St · Lansford, PA 18232
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 616 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 161 Days on market
Built 1926 435 sqft lot $130/sqft · 111% above area Est $57k · 41% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy easy living in this recently remodeled twin home nestled in Lansford. Thoughtfully updated and move-in ready, this home offers two cozy bedrooms and a welcoming layout designed for everyday comfort. The lower level features a spacious family room—ideal for relaxing, entertaining, or creating a home office or hobby space—along with a full bathroom. From here, walk out to the backyard and rear porch, perfect for enjoying quiet mornings or unwinding at the end of the day. While the home does not have a primary heat source, each room is equipped with plug-in baseboard heaters to provide added comfort. With fresh updates, flexible living space, and outdoor access, this home offers a wonderful opportunity to enjoy simple, comfortable living.

Key facts

  • Recently remodeled
  • Backyard
  • Outdoor access

Tags

RECENTLY REMODELEDSPACIOUS FAMILY ROOMBACKYARDREAR PORCHFLEXIBLE LIVING SPACEOUTDOOR ACCESS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $401 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 9.5% in Lansford — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#605 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D, schools F, commute F.
  • Panther Valley SD (rural): math 14% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #477 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (9.1% local appreciation)).
  • Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (9.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $80k implies a 567% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
12.30%
Cash-on-cash
21.46%
DSCR
1.95
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$56,758
List price
$80,000
Delta
40.95%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21-1/2 Center St 0.15mi 2/1.5 646 (+5%) 19mo $90,000 $139 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.12% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.8%
Equity multiple
3.87×
Total profit
$64,312
Equity at exit
$66,977
10-year hold
IRR
34.0%
Equity multiple
8.52×
Total profit
$168,341
Equity at exit
$139,341

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18232

Home prices YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,204 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$98 /mo · $1,173/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$401

Break-even live

Break-even rent $697
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $446 -5% $423 +0% $401 +5% $378 +10% $355
Rent -10% $305 -5% $353 +0% $401 +5% $448 +10% $496
Rate -1.0pp $441 -0.5pp $421 base $401 +0.5pp $380 +1.0pp $359

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 161 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 160 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 159 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 158 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $80,000 Active 156 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 155 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $80,000 Active 153 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 152 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 151 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 150 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $80,000 Active 147 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 146 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 145 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 144 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 143 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 142 DOM
  17. 2026-04-17
    price $80,000 763-char remark
    Show marketing remark (753 chars)

    Enjoy easy living in this recently remodeled twin home nestled in Lansford. Thoughtfully updated and move-in ready, this home offers two cozy bedrooms and a welcoming layout designed for everyday comfort. The lower level features a spacious family room--ideal for relaxing, entertaining, or creating a home office or hobby space--along with a full bathroom. From here, walk out to the backyard and rear porch, perfect for enjoying quiet mornings or unwinding at the end of the day. While the home does not have a primary heat source, each room is equipped with plug-in baseboard heaters to provide added comfort. With fresh updates, flexible living space, and outdoor access, this home offers a wonderful opportunity to enjoy simple, comfortable living.

  18. 2026-04-17
    price $80,000 753-char remark
    Show marketing remark (753 chars)

    Enjoy easy living in this recently remodeled twin home nestled in Lansford. Thoughtfully updated and move-in ready, this home offers two cozy bedrooms and a welcoming layout designed for everyday comfort. The lower level features a spacious family room--ideal for relaxing, entertaining, or creating a home office or hobby space--along with a full bathroom. From here, walk out to the backyard and rear porch, perfect for enjoying quiet mornings or unwinding at the end of the day. While the home does not have a primary heat source, each room is equipped with plug-in baseboard heaters to provide added comfort. With fresh updates, flexible living space, and outdoor access, this home offers a wonderful opportunity to enjoy simple, comfortable living.

  19. 2026-04-17
    price $80,000
    Show marketing remark (753 chars)

    Enjoy easy living in this recently remodeled twin home nestled in Lansford. Thoughtfully updated and move-in ready, this home offers two cozy bedrooms and a welcoming layout designed for everyday comfort. The lower level features a spacious family room--ideal for relaxing, entertaining, or creating a home office or hobby space--along with a full bathroom. From here, walk out to the backyard and rear porch, perfect for enjoying quiet mornings or unwinding at the end of the day. While the home does not have a primary heat source, each room is equipped with plug-in baseboard heaters to provide added comfort. With fresh updates, flexible living space, and outdoor access, this home offers a wonderful opportunity to enjoy simple, comfortable living.

  20. 2026-01-08
    listed $95,000 Active 763-char remark
    Show marketing remark (753 chars)

    Enjoy easy living in this recently remodeled twin home nestled in Lansford. Thoughtfully updated and move-in ready, this home offers two cozy bedrooms and a welcoming layout designed for everyday comfort. The lower level features a spacious family room--ideal for relaxing, entertaining, or creating a home office or hobby space--along with a full bathroom. From here, walk out to the backyard and rear porch, perfect for enjoying quiet mornings or unwinding at the end of the day. While the home does not have a primary heat source, each room is equipped with plug-in baseboard heaters to provide added comfort. With fresh updates, flexible living space, and outdoor access, this home offers a wonderful opportunity to enjoy simple, comfortable living.

  21. 2026-01-08
    listed $95,000 Active 753-char remark
    Show marketing remark (753 chars)

    Enjoy easy living in this recently remodeled twin home nestled in Lansford. Thoughtfully updated and move-in ready, this home offers two cozy bedrooms and a welcoming layout designed for everyday comfort. The lower level features a spacious family room--ideal for relaxing, entertaining, or creating a home office or hobby space--along with a full bathroom. From here, walk out to the backyard and rear porch, perfect for enjoying quiet mornings or unwinding at the end of the day. While the home does not have a primary heat source, each room is equipped with plug-in baseboard heaters to provide added comfort. With fresh updates, flexible living space, and outdoor access, this home offers a wonderful opportunity to enjoy simple, comfortable living.

  22. 2026-01-08
    listed $95,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (753 chars)

    Enjoy easy living in this recently remodeled twin home nestled in Lansford. Thoughtfully updated and move-in ready, this home offers two cozy bedrooms and a welcoming layout designed for everyday comfort. The lower level features a spacious family room--ideal for relaxing, entertaining, or creating a home office or hobby space--along with a full bathroom. From here, walk out to the backyard and rear porch, perfect for enjoying quiet mornings or unwinding at the end of the day. While the home does not have a primary heat source, each room is equipped with plug-in baseboard heaters to provide added comfort. With fresh updates, flexible living space, and outdoor access, this home offers a wonderful opportunity to enjoy simple, comfortable living.

  23. 1994-07-14
    soldstatus $12,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,173 · $98/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,219 · $102/mo
Expected delta
+$45/yr (+$4/mo · 3.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,448
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,173
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,156
− Management
−$1,156
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$3,755
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$901
After-tax cash flow
$3,906/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Panther Valley SD
NCES district ID
4218450
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$36,914
Composite
20.31/100
National rank
#8613
State rank
#477 of 539 in PA

Livability — Lansford

Score
72/100
State rank
#605
US rank
#5834

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lansford, PA
County
Carbon County · 13,404 people
City population
4,156
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
Population (ZIP)
4,156
Household income
$44,713
Rent vs Own
48.0% rent · 52.0% own
Severe rent burden
123.0

Population outlook (Carbon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
61,643 people
By 2030
59,840 · -2.9%
By 2040
55,413 · -10.1%
By 2050
50,843 · -17.5%
By 2075
43,326 · -29.7%
By 2100
37,126 · -39.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 11% Two or more races 11% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Polish 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Carbon

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.8) · D 32.2% · R 67.0%
2008→2024 swing
-36.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.9pp · 2024: -34.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.8 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+6.9 2008: D+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.12%
Current HPI
262.3396
Rent YoY
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+566.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $80,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $80,000 PMAR
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $80,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $95,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $95,000 PMAR
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $95,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1994-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,173 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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