1021 Fairmount · Bristol, VA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Calling all investors and rehabbers! Located at 1021 Fairmount Ave, Bristol, VA, this property is the perfect opportunity for your next renovation project. With solid potential and a desirable location, this home is ready for a complete transformation. Featuring a functional floor plan, generous lot, and convenient access to shopping, dining, schools, and major highways, this property offers the ideal canvas for a profitable flip. Bring your vision, contractor, and creativity to unlock its full potential. Properties with this level of upside are becoming increasingly difficult to find.
Key facts
- Fix flip opportunity
- Value-add potential
- Spacious lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $777 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 4.6% in Bristol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#140 in VA, #4,544 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
- Bristol City Public School District (urban): math 57% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #53 of 131 in VA (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Stonewall Jackson Elementary (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C+, #597 of 1,108 statewide, top 57%, 254 students, 102% FRL); Virginia Middle (math 56% / reading 71%, grade B+, #128 of 342 statewide, top 39%, 487 students, 101% FRL); Virginia High (math 62% / reading 77%, grade B, #159 of 319 statewide, top 53%, 637 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 101% FRL vs 58% district-wide (43 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 209 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 109d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 15 units permitted in Bristol city in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bristol County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.96% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.17%
- DSCR
- 2.74
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $184,423
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -53.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1006 Highland Ave | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,356 (-4%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $166 | 78 |
| 544 Pearl St | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,584 (+12%) | 9mo | $95,000 | $60 | 63 |
| 617 Prince St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,228 (-13%) | 11mo | $232,000 | $189 | 61 |
| 461 Douglas St | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,418 (+0%) | 8mo | $193,500 | $136 | 60 |
| 824 Arlington Ave | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,535 (+9%) | 8mo | $239,000 | $156 | 59 |
| 332 Randolph St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,342 (-5%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $160 | 58 |
| 726 Lawrence Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,205 (-15%) | 6mo | $194,000 | $161 | 56 |
| 1116 Shelby St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,490 (+5%) | 14mo | $70,000 | $47 | 47 |
| 420 Douglas St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,588 (+12%) | 11mo | $227,000 | $143 | 41 |
| 943 Shelby St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,201 (-15%) | 8mo | $115,000 | $96 | 38 |
| 1409 Newton St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,267 (-10%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $130 | 32 |
| 403 Washington St | 0.75mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,286 (-9%) | 11mo | $162,000 | $126 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $35,696
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 42.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.98×
- Total profit
- $94,767
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 24 active · 14 under contract
- Months of supply
- 12.0 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $219,250 ($155/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 58 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -15.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 24202
- Home prices YoY
- -30.0%
- Active inventory
- 209
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,663 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $666/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $777
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $825 | -5% $801 | +0% $777 | +5% $753 | +10% $729 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $645 | -5% $711 | +0% $777 | +5% $842 | +10% $908 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $820 | -0.5pp $798 | base $777 | +0.5pp $755 | +1.0pp $732 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1216 Norway St Unit 102 Bristol, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1215 | $1,600 | $1.32 | 108d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1216 Norway St Unit 101 Bristol, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1615 | $2,100 | $1.30 | 108d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1405 Newton St Bristol, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 108d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1136 Moorland Ave Bristol, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,250 | $1.34 | 139d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2156 Bradley St Bristol, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,500 | $1.49 | 0d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 203 Opal Ln Unit 4 Bristol, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 116d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 308 Emerald Dr Unit 308 Bristol, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 970 | $1,200 | $1.24 | 139d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 740 Page St Bristol, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 0d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1718 Clifton Rd Bristol, TN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1672 | $1,900 | $1.14 | 139d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 135 Kingsolver St Bristol, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 116d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1156 Bristol View Dr Bristol, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1152 | $1,650 | $1.43 | 0d | 2 | 1.18mi |
| 2114 Broad St Bristol, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 0d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2510 Catherine St Bristol, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $2,500 | $1.76 | 108d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 279 Reservoir St Bristol, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 108d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 145 Midway St Unit 1397968P Bristol, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $4,731 | $3.41 | 0d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking
- On-street parking
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectric heating fuel
- Home design
- Detached structureVinyl siding exteriorAbove-grade living space reported
- Construction
- Concrete perimeter foundationEstimated year built
- Exterior features
- Located within city limitsNo tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms
- Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms
- One full bathroom on upper levelOne half bathroom on main levelTotal one full bathroom, one half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heatingElectric hot water
- Interior features
- Partially finished basementLiving area listed as estimated
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-25days on market $85,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $85,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $85,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $85,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $85,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $85,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $85,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $85,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $85,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $85,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $85,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $85,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $85,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $85,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $85,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $85,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $85,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $85,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $85,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $85,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $85,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $85,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $85,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $85,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $85,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $85,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $85,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $85,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $85,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $85,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $85,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $85,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $85,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $85,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $85,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $85,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $85,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $85,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $85,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $85,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $85,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $85,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $85,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $85,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $85,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $85,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $85,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $85,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $85,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $85,000 Active 23 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $666 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $697 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- +$31/yr (+$3/mo · 4.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,951
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$666
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,596
- − Management
- −$1,596
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $8,434
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,024
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,298/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and updates to bring it up to a livable condition. The home's poor exterior and interior condition, along with the need for a new roof and flooring, make it a significant investment opportunity for an investor or rehabber.
Deferred maintenance Est. $50,000–$150,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof) — Significant damage to the roof structure is visible.
- Major Windows (windows) — Windows appear to be broken or missing, indicating severe damage.
- Major Electrical (electrical) — Exposed wiring and damaged electrical components suggest a major issue.
- Major Plumbing (plumbing) — Significant water damage is evident, indicating a major plumbing issue.
- Major Exterior (exterior) — The exterior walls are severely damaged, with visible structural issues.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Peeling paint and exposed siding
- Major roof — No visible roof damage, but the satellite image shows a dark, possibly damaged roof
- Major interior walls — Worn wallpaper and peeling paint
- Major flooring — Worn carpet and visible wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both exterior paint and siding — Fresh paint and siding would improve curb appeal and home value ↑
- Both roof replacement — A new roof would improve the home's structural integrity and increase its value ↑
- Both flooring replacement — New flooring would improve the home's appearance and increase its value ↑
- Both interior paint and wallpaper removal — Fresh paint and wallpaper removal would improve the home's appearance and increase its value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bristol City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5100450
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,978
- Composite
- 52.4/100
- National rank
- #1579
- State rank
- #53 of 131 in VA
Livability — Bristol
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #140
- US rank
- #4544
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bristol, VA
- County
- Washington · 16,113 people
- City population
- 16,039
- Metro
- Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,324
- Household income
- $58,333
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2% of renters
Population outlook (Bristol County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,113 people
- By 2030
- 15,510 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 14,121 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 12,847 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 9,870 · -38.7%
- By 2100
- 7,883 · -51.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Portuguese 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bristol
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.07%
- Current HPI
- 182.4415
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…