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1737 Popham Ave Multi-family
C+ Composite 63.71
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$1,300,000

1737 Popham Ave · New York, NY 10453
8 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,000 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1993 2,100 sqft lot Est $987k · 32% over ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Welcome to this exceptional attached residence located in the highly desirable Morris Heights neighborhood of the Bronx. Situated at 1737 Popham Avenue, this spacious property presents an outstanding opportunity for both end-users and investors alike. Offering approximately 3,000 square feet of building space on a 2,146 square foot lot, the property is thoughtfully configured with a 3-over-3-over-2 layout, providing versatility, strong income potential, and comfortable living arrangements. The property features a total of 8 generously sized bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, making it ideal for owner-occupants or investors seeking rental income potential. Each unit offers a functional layout wi

Key facts

  • 2,100 sq ft lot
  • Built 1993
  • Listed 13 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway (no carport)
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Triplex
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Trash collection (public); Not waterfront

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units; One 2-bedroom unit
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heating; Other heating
  • Interior features: Finished basement; Other interior features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 8-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.30M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($37k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($14k rent vs $1.30M).
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $14,020/mo this rent would consume 507% of the median local household income ($33k/yr) (locally 10286% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $139k of equity ($9k loan paydown + $130k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $364k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$223k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $412k; list at $1.30M implies a 216% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,300,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
9.15%
Cash-on-cash
10.19%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$987,000
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
118 Rockwood St 0.70mi 8/3.0 2,580 (-14%) 20mo $850,000 $329 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.7%
Equity multiple
3.48×
Total profit
$904,407
Equity at exit
$1,171,143
10-year hold
IRR
27.4%
Equity multiple
7.89×
Total profit
$2,507,773
Equity at exit
$2,525,614

Cash invested: $364,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10453

Home prices YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
23.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$14,020 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$6,817
Tax from tax record
$627 /mo · $7,523/yr
Insurance
$542
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,944
Net cashflow
$3,090

Break-even live

Break-even rent $10,109
Max offer price $1,300,000
Occupancy floor 73%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $14,020

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$325,000
Closing costs
$39,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,300,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,300,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,300,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,300,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,300,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,300,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,300,000 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $1,300,000 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,300,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,300,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,300,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,300,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,300,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,523 · $627/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$14,747 · $1,229/mo
Expected delta
+$7,223/yr (+$602/mo · 96.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$168,240
− Mortgage interest
−$72,820
− Property taxes
−$7,523
− Insurance
−$6,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$13,459
− Management
−$13,459
− Depreciation
−$37,818
Taxable income
$16,660
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,998
After-tax cash flow
$33,080/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
76,282
Household income
$33,186
Rent vs Own
95.2% rent · 4.8% own
Severe rent burden
10286.0

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,353 people
By 2030
1,681,852 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,824,421 · +13.5%
By 2050
1,945,470 · +21.0%
By 2075
2,187,887 · +36.1%
By 2100
2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 67% Black 26% Two or more races 17% White 2% Native American 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 13% Dominican 41%
Foreign-born
44% · Canada, United Kingdom, Jamaica
Languages at home
32% English-only · Spanish 58% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

2024 margin
Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.52%
Current HPI
361.6961
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Coming Soon $1,300,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $412,000 Public Records
  • 1994-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $216,000 Public Records
  • 1992-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $1,359,434 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,523 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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