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12 Stanford Rd
B Composite 71.27
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$199,999

12 Stanford Rd · Binghamton, NY 13903
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,400 sqft · SingleFamily · 37 Days on market
Built 1960 0.80 ac lot Est $247k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located in the desirable Susquehanna School District, this contemporary 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers plenty of potential and value. Set three parcels, it provides privacy, flexibility & room to grow. The open floor plan features soaring cathedral ceilings, creating a light & airy feel throughout. Relax or entertain on the covered decks while enjoying the city views. Property is being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Covered decks
  • City views
  • Greenlight internet

Tags

SUSQUEHANNA SCHOOL DISTRICT0.80 ACRESCOVERED DECKSCITY VIEWSGREENLIGHT INTERNET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $194k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 6.4% in Binghamton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#174 in NY, #2,710 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Susquehanna Valley Central School District (rural): math 48% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #330 of 590 in NY (top 56%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Brookside Elementary School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #988 of 2,108 statewide, top 49%, 386 students, 45% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $91k; list at $200k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $193,999 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.93%
Cash-on-cash
5.84%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$247,200
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
51 2nd St 0.66mi 3/2.5 2,333 (-3%) 1mo $240,000 $103 62
4185 Lisi Ln 0.58mi 3/2.5 2,519 (+5%) 7mo $398,000 $158 57
321 Conklin Ave 0.51mi 3/2.0 2,477 (+3%) 17mo $245,000 $99 56
2484 Theresa Blvd 0.59mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,368 (-1%) 10mo $240,000 $101 55
16 Barney Ct 0.39mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,626 (+9%) 13mo $275,000 $105 50
109 Home Ave 0.64mi 3/3.5 2,532 (+6%) 8mo $250,000 $99 49
2426 Maria Blvd 0.69mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,250 (-6%) 11mo $275,000 $122 40
111 Gates St 0.64mi 3/3.5 2,630 (+10%) 11mo $300,000 $114 39
7 Bedford St 0.55mi 3/2.0 2,691 (+12%) 20mo $145,000 $54 38
62 Hayes St 0.67mi 3/1.5 2,156 (-10%) 20mo $193,000 $90 33
4204 Cheryl Dr 0.62mi 3/2.5 2,088 (-13%) 22mo $286,000 $137 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.5%
Equity multiple
3.26×
Total profit
$126,303
Equity at exit
$180,175
10-year hold
IRR
24.8%
Equity multiple
7.40×
Total profit
$358,364
Equity at exit
$388,554

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13903

Home prices YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,094 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax est. 1.5%
$250 /mo · $3,000/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$440
Net cashflow
$272

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,750
Max offer price $199,999
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
100 Felters Rd Binghamton, NY 4.0 2.5 2000 $2,500 $1.25 43d 1 0.39mi
51 2nd St Binghamton, NY 3.0 2.5 2333 $2,200 $0.94 13d 1 0.63mi
113 Hawley St Binghamton, NY 4.0 1.5 1637 $2,000 $1.22 43d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-02-07
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-01
    listed $199,999 Active
  3. 2025-12-24
    price $199,999
  4. 2025-11-13
    price $215,000
  5. 2025-10-22
    status Active
  6. 2025-10-22
    price $230,000
  7. 2025-08-13
    listed $250,000 Active
  8. 2021-11-12
    soldstatus $90,700
  9. 2020-05-04
    listed $95,000
  10. 2016-08-17
    listed $109,900
  11. 2015-05-26
    listed $109,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,132
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$3,000
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,011
− Management
−$2,011
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable income
$90
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$21
After-tax cash flow
$3,247/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Susquehanna Valley Central School District
NCES district ID
3628380
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$57,681
Composite
45.56/100
National rank
#2599
State rank
#330 of 590 in NY

Livability — Binghamton

Score
78/100
State rank
#174
US rank
#2710

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Broome County · 126,805 people
City population
65,170
Metro
Binghamton, NY
Population (ZIP)
17,569
Household income
$66,278
Rent vs Own
31.1% rent · 68.9% own
Severe rent burden
602.0

Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,989 people
By 2030
183,066 · -2.6%
By 2040
172,228 · -8.4%
By 2050
163,161 · -13.2%
By 2075
153,641 · -18.3%
By 2100
140,851 · -25.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Broome

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.68%
Current HPI
286.1001
Rent YoY
Metro
Binghamton, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+83.5% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-07 Pending GBAOR
  • 2026-01-01 Listed $199,999 GBAOR
  • 2025-12-24 Price Changed $199,999 GBAOR
  • 2025-11-13 Price Changed $215,000 GBAOR
  • 2025-10-22 Relisted GBAOR
  • 2025-10-22 Price Changed $230,000 GBAOR
  • 2025-08-13 Listed $250,000 GBAOR
  • 2021-11-12 Sold (MLS) $90,700 GBAOR
  • 2020-05-04 Listed $95,000 GBAOR
  • 2016-08-17 Listed $109,900 GBAOR
  • 2015-05-26 Listed $109,000 GBAOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…