12 Stanford Rd · Binghamton, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$199,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located in the desirable Susquehanna School District, this contemporary 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers plenty of potential and value. Set three parcels, it provides privacy, flexibility & room to grow. The open floor plan features soaring cathedral ceilings, creating a light & airy feel throughout. Relax or entertain on the covered decks while enjoying the city views. Property is being sold as-is.
Key facts
- Covered decks
- City views
- Greenlight internet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $194k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 6.4% in Binghamton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#174 in NY, #2,710 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Susquehanna Valley Central School District (rural): math 48% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #330 of 590 in NY (top 56%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Brookside Elementary School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #988 of 2,108 statewide, top 49%, 386 students, 45% FRL).
- Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $91k; list at $200k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.84%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $247,200
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 2nd St | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 | 2,333 (-3%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $103 | 62 |
| 4185 Lisi Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 | 2,519 (+5%) | 7mo | $398,000 | $158 | 57 |
| 321 Conklin Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 2,477 (+3%) | 17mo | $245,000 | $99 | 56 |
| 2484 Theresa Blvd | 0.59mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,368 (-1%) | 10mo | $240,000 | $101 | 55 |
| 16 Barney Ct | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,626 (+9%) | 13mo | $275,000 | $105 | 50 |
| 109 Home Ave | 0.64mi | 3/3.5 | 2,532 (+6%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $99 | 49 |
| 2426 Maria Blvd | 0.69mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,250 (-6%) | 11mo | $275,000 | $122 | 40 |
| 111 Gates St | 0.64mi | 3/3.5 | 2,630 (+10%) | 11mo | $300,000 | $114 | 39 |
| 7 Bedford St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 2,691 (+12%) | 20mo | $145,000 | $54 | 38 |
| 62 Hayes St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 2,156 (-10%) | 20mo | $193,000 | $90 | 33 |
| 4204 Cheryl Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 2,088 (-13%) | 22mo | $286,000 | $137 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.26×
- Total profit
- $126,303
- Equity at exit
- $180,175
- IRR
- 24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.40×
- Total profit
- $358,364
- Equity at exit
- $388,554
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13903
- Home prices YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,094 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$250 /mo · $3,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$440
- Net cashflow
- $272
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Felters Rd Binghamton, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $2,500 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 51 2nd St Binghamton, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2333 | $2,200 | $0.94 | 13d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 113 Hawley St Binghamton, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1637 | $2,000 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-02-07status Pending
-
2026-01-01$199,999 Active
-
2025-12-24price $199,999
-
2025-11-13price $215,000
-
2025-10-22status Active
-
2025-10-22price $230,000
-
2025-08-13$250,000 Active
-
2021-11-12soldstatus $90,700
-
2020-05-04$95,000
-
2016-08-17$109,900
-
2015-05-26$109,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,132
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$3,000
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,011
- − Management
- −$2,011
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable income
- $90
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$21
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,247/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Susquehanna Valley Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628380
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,681
- Composite
- 45.56/100
- National rank
- #2599
- State rank
- #330 of 590 in NY
Livability — Binghamton
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #174
- US rank
- #2710
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Broome County · 126,805 people
- City population
- 65,170
- Metro
- Binghamton, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,569
- Household income
- $66,278
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 602.0
Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,989 people
- By 2030
- 183,066 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 172,228 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 163,161 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 153,641 · -18.3%
- By 2100
- 140,851 · -25.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Broome
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.68%
- Current HPI
- 286.1001
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Binghamton, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+83.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-07 Pending — GBAOR
- 2026-01-01 Listed $199,999 GBAOR
- 2025-12-24 Price Changed $199,999 GBAOR
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $215,000 GBAOR
- 2025-10-22 Relisted — GBAOR
- 2025-10-22 Price Changed $230,000 GBAOR
- 2025-08-13 Listed $250,000 GBAOR
- 2021-11-12 Sold (MLS) $90,700 GBAOR
- 2020-05-04 Listed $95,000 GBAOR
- 2016-08-17 Listed $109,900 GBAOR
- 2015-05-26 Listed $109,000 GBAOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…