1050 CR 482d · Lake Panasoffkee, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.6/15.0
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- 1% rule +1.3/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Come out and see this well kept 3 bedroom 2 bath home in a great fishing community! This home has very spacious rooms. There is a 2 car garage with a screen door for your outdoor enjoyment. The irrigation was just updated in 2025 with a new well but also has city water. The A/C was updated in 2025. The home sits on a beautiful oversized lot. There is a beautiful screened in back porch and a lovely covered front porch for more outdoor enjoyment. The shed in the back yard can hold all of your tools. Lake Panasoffkee is a natural spring fed lake and is famous for it's bass fishing along with with many other species. It is also great for canoeing, kayak
Key facts
- New well
- Screen door
- Updated irrigation
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.57 acres (166 x 150); Building area reported (total 2,396 sq ft; living area 1,580 sq ft); One well and one septic on property
- HOA & community: No HOA association indicated; Street lights in community
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage (24 x 24) with garage door opener; Driveway and off-street parking; Carport with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Phone available; Underground utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Homestead exempt; Faces south
- Construction: Stone, stucco, frame and wood siding construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as residential single-family
- Exterior features: Covered, enclosed and screened patios/porches (front and rear); Sliding doors; Exterior lighting; Rain gutters; Shed(s); Irrigation equipment; Near marina; Landscaped, level and oversized lot; Paved, public maintained road; Unincorporated area
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Solid surface countertops; Solid wood cabinets; Programmable thermostat; Window treatments; Double-pane windows; Florida room
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Electric water heater; Laundry in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-254 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $205k (18.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (36.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $158k (36.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#332 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Lake Panasoffkee Elementary School (math 62% / reading 66%, grade B, #552 of 2,144 statewide, top 26%, 584 students, 65% FRL); South Sumter High School (math 33% / reading 48%, grade F, #294 of 667 statewide, top 44%, 1,045 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
- Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $86k; list at $250k implies a 189% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.63% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.36%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 13.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $268,600
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 919 CR 482c | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,569 (-1%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $169 | 86 |
| 891 CR 482c | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,561 (-1%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $170 | 85 |
| 1022 CR 463b | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,632 (+3%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $175 | 81 |
| 1412 CR 482n | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,716 (+9%) | 4mo | $254,000 | $148 | 80 |
| 718 CR 467 | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,645 (+4%) | 8mo | $380,000 | $231 | 75 |
| 983 CR 465 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,558 (-1%) | 20mo | $369,000 | $237 | 72 |
| 1099 CR 479 | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-9%) | 16mo | $107,500 | $75 | 46 |
| 2047 CR 446 | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,463 (-7%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $147 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.99% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $41,123
- Equity at exit
- $141,480
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.97×
- Total profit
- $138,249
- Equity at exit
- $244,018
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33538
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 13.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,584 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$91 /mo · $1,087/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$333
- Net cashflow
- $-254
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-113 | -5% $-184 | +0% $-254 | +5% $-325 | +10% $-396 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-380 | -5% $-317 | +0% $-254 | +5% $-192 | +10% $-129 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-129 | -0.5pp $-191 | base $-254 | +0.5pp $-319 | +1.0pp $-385 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-09status $250,000 Pending 96 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $250,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $250,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $250,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $250,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-04-09price $250,000
-
2026-03-04$275,000 Active
-
1990-12-01soldstatus $86,500
-
1989-09-01soldstatus $76,000
-
1987-02-01soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,087 · $91/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,075 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- +$988/yr (+$82/mo · 90.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,008
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$1,087
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,521
- − Management
- −$1,521
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$7,647
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,835
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,218/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sumter
- NCES district ID
- 1201800
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,240
- Composite
- 51.74/100
- National rank
- #1682
- State rank
- #11 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lake Panasoffkee
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #332
- US rank
- #5777
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Panasoffkee, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,748
Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 161,172 people
- By 2030
- 180,083 · +11.7%
- By 2040
- 209,892 · +30.2%
- By 2050
- 234,186 · +45.3%
- By 2075
- 284,602 · +76.6%
- By 2100
- 317,039 · +96.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Sumter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.99%
- Current HPI
- 329.8431
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+2400.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-04 Listed $275,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1990-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $86,500 Public Records
- 1989-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
- 1987-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,087 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…