Fourplex
1415-17 Alvar St · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.3/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$375,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Large 5040 sq ft MOVE IN READY raised duplex with each side boasting 2520 sq ft. Keep the space as is, or convert the downstairs into two more apartments with ease, to which you'd have 4 apartments each at 1260 sq ft. Lots of possibilities. All separate utility meters, 3 year old roof, preferred flood zone X. Garage parking and driveways. Property has gorgeous hardwood floors, fine craftsmanship, and has been lovingly cared for.
Key facts
- Fine craftsmanship
- 3 year old roof
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $375k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive. Per door: $459/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $375k).
- Recommended offer: $330k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 581 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,314/mo this rent would consume 139% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1988% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $105k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 276 days — a 12% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 31150% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $66k; list at $375k implies a 468% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 276 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.76%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $399,899
- List price
- $375,000
- Delta
- -6.23%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1740 Louisa St | 0.48mi | 5/5.0 (+1) | 2,500 (-1%) | 2mo | $340,000 | $136 | 66 |
| 3913 15 N Rampart St | 0.31mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,530 (+0%) | 8mo | $350,000 | $138 | 65 |
| 3900 Royal St | 0.54mi | 4/4.0 | 2,600 (+3%) | 12mo | $170,000 | $65 | 60 |
| 1220 22 Mazant St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,184 (-13%) | 5mo | $325,000 | $149 | 53 |
| 3117 19 N Villere St | 0.47mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,448 (-3%) | 24mo | $435,000 | $178 | 44 |
| 4023 25 Dauphine St | 0.46mi | 4/3.5 | 2,168 (-14%) | 11mo | $489,000 | $226 | 44 |
| 923 25 Clouet St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 2,345 (-7%) | 15mo | $550,000 | $235 | 39 |
| 705 07 Alvar St | 0.52mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 2,219 (-12%) | 20mo | $275,000 | $124 | 34 |
| 819 21 Mazant St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,176 (-14%) | 18mo | $395,000 | $182 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $53,493
- Equity at exit
- $55,914
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $186,011
- Equity at exit
- $32,423
Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70117
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 581
- Price-to-rent
- 23.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,314 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,967
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,055/yr
- Insurance
- −$156
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,116
- Net cashflow
- $1,838
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1 | $5,312 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,328 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,328 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,328 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $1,328 |
| Total (4 units) | $5,314 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $93,750
- Closing costs
- $11,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1323 Pauline St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1792 | $2,250 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1325 Pauline St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1792 | $2,250 | $1.26 | 2d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1325 Pauline St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1792 | $2,250 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 3221 Saint Claude Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1900 | $1,650 | $0.87 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1835 Louisa St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,350 | $1.31 | 3d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1231 Feliciana St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1869 | $2,750 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3400 Royal St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3300 | $6,900 | $2.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3134 Burgundy St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1887 | $2,900 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 639 Desire St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2687 | $5,500 | $2.05 | 19d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1038 Montegut St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2250 | $4,200 | $1.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1038 Montegut St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2250 | $4,200 | $1.87 | 23d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2320 N Rampart St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2317 | $3,700 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2317 N Rampart St Unit 1272378P New Orleans, LA | 3.0–6.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1581 | $4,154 | $2.63 | 3d | 2 | 1.20mi |
| 2228 Arts St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2270 | $1,675 | $0.74 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 527 Atlantic Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,050 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2107 Elysian Fields Ave New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $1,650 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $375,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $375,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $375,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $375,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $375,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $375,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $375,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $375,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $375,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $375,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $375,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $375,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $375,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $375,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-01-25historical $1,200
-
2026-01-22$1,200
-
2026-01-20price $375,000 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Large 5040 sq ft MOVE IN READY raised duplex with each side boasting 2520 sq ft. Keep the space as is, or convert the downstairs into two more apartments with ease, to which you'd have 4 apartments each at 1260 sq ft. Lots of possibilities. All separate utility meters, 3 year old roof, preferred flood zone X. Garage parking and driveways. Property has gorgeous hardwood floors, fine craftsmanship, and has been lovingly cared for.
-
2026-01-20price $375,000 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Large 5040 sq ft MOVE IN READY raised duplex with each side boasting 2520 sq ft. Keep the space as is, or convert the downstairs into two more apartments with ease, to which you'd have 4 apartments each at 1260 sq ft. Lots of possibilities. All separate utility meters, 3 year old roof, preferred flood zone X. Garage parking and driveways. Property has gorgeous hardwood floors, fine craftsmanship, and has been lovingly cared for.
-
2026-01-15price $375,000
-
2026-01-15price $375,000
-
2025-09-15$380,000 Active
-
2025-09-15$380,000 Active
-
2025-08-22$380,000 Active 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Large 5040 sq ft MOVE IN READY raised duplex with each side boasting 2520 sq ft. Keep the space as is, or convert the downstairs into two more apartments with ease, to which you'd have 4 apartments each at 1260 sq ft. Lots of possibilities. All separate utility meters, 3 year old roof, preferred flood zone X. Garage parking and driveways. Property has gorgeous hardwood floors, fine craftsmanship, and has been lovingly cared for.
-
2025-08-22$380,000 Active 432-char remark
Show marketing remark (432 chars)
Large 5040 sq ft MOVE IN READY raised duplex with each side boasting 2520 sq ft. Keep the space as is, or convert the downstairs into two more apartments with ease, to which you'd have 4 apartments each at 1260 sq ft. Lots of possibilities. All separate utility meters, 3 year old roof, preferred flood zone X. Garage parking and driveways. Property has gorgeous hardwood floors, fine craftsmanship, and has been lovingly cared for.
-
2025-05-22price $400,000
-
2025-05-22price $400,000
-
2025-05-22price $400,000
-
2025-05-22price $400,000
-
2025-02-27price $408,000
-
2025-02-27price $408,000
-
2025-02-19price $408,000
-
2025-02-19price $408,000
-
2024-08-16$415,000
-
2024-06-27price $415,000
-
2024-06-05$415,000
-
2023-08-03price $435,000
-
2023-04-08$435,000
-
1987-10-29soldstatus $66,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,055 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,062 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- +$7/yr (+$1/mo · 0.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $63,768
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,006
- − Property taxes
- −$2,055
- − Insurance
- −$2,672
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,101
- − Management
- −$5,101
- − Depreciation
- −$10,909
- Taxable income
- $16,923
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,061
- After-tax cash flow
- $17,989/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,652
- Household income
- $45,764
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1988.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% White 30% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -177.22%
- Current HPI
- 184.6061
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.49%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
-98.2% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-25 Rental Removed $1,200 GSREIN
- 2026-01-22 Listed for Rent $1,200 GSREIN
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $375,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $375,000 GSREIN
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $375,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $375,000 GSREIN
- 2025-09-15 Listed $380,000 GSREIN
- 2025-09-15 Listed $380,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-08-22 Listed $380,000 GSREIN
- 2025-08-22 Listed $380,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-05-22 Price Changed $400,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-05-22 Price Changed $400,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-05-22 Price Changed $400,000 GSREIN
- 2025-05-22 Price Changed $400,000 GSREIN
- 2025-02-27 Price Changed $408,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-02-27 Price Changed $408,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-02-19 Price Changed $408,000 GSREIN
- 2025-02-19 Price Changed $408,000 GSREIN
- 2024-08-16 Listed $415,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-06-27 Price Changed $415,000 GSREIN
- 2024-06-05 Listed $415,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2023-08-03 Price Changed $435,000 GSREIN
- 2023-04-08 Listed $435,000 AcadianaMLS
- 1987-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+16.9%/yrLatest (2026): $2,055 · +25.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…