1 Rock Springs Dr · Mexico, MO 65265

$75,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 744 sqft · Other public records · 11 Days on market

Built 1948 7,270 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.3/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a spacious corner lot with plenty of potential! This single-story home offers a functional layout with a bright living area, eat-in kitchen, and abundant natural light throughout. Whether you’re a first-time buyer looking to build equity, an investor searching for your next project, or someone ready to add your own personal touches, this property presents a great opportunity. Additional features include off-street driveway parking and a level yard with space for outdoor entertaining or gardening. Located in the Mexico School District and just minutes from local parks, shopping, dining, and everyday amenities, this home offers small-town char

Key facts

• 7,270 sq ft lot
• Built 1948
• Listed 10 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Off-street parking
• Utilities: Public water; Ameren electric service; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; One level
• Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding
• Exterior features: Corner lot; Level lot

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
• Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Living room on main level; Main-level layout with all rooms on one floor; 6 total rooms
• Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $75k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $394 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
• Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 4.5% in Mexico — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#256 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Mexico 59 (town): math 31% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #229 of 324 in MO (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Eugene Field Elem. (math 31% / reading 41%, grade F, #662 of 1,115 statewide, top 60%, 424 students, 100% FRL); Mexico Middle (math 33% / reading 34%, grade F, #260 of 391 statewide, top 67%, 503 students, 100% FRL); Mexico High (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #321 of 521 statewide, top 67%, 746 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 52% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Audrain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Audrain County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 5 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $45k; list at $75k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.43% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.60%
• Cash-on-cash: 22.53%
• DSCR: 2.00
• GRM: 5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 15.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.62×
• Total profit: $12,939
• Equity at exit: $11,183

10-year hold

• IRR: 24.0%
• Equity multiple: 3.07×
• Total profit: $43,511
• Equity at exit: $6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 65265

• Home prices YoY: -30.2%
• Active inventory: 136
• Price-to-rent: 5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,072 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$393
• Tax from tax record: −$28 /mo · $335/yr
• Insurance: −$31
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$225
• Net cashflow: $394

Break-even live

Break-even rent $573

Max offer price $75,000

Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $437	-5% $416	+0% $394	+5% $373	+10% $352
Rent	-10% $310	-5% $352	+0% $394	+5% $437	+10% $479
Rate	-1.0pp $432	-0.5pp $413	base $394	+0.5pp $375	+1.0pp $355

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,750
• Closing costs: $2,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 34 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $75,000 Active 11 DOM
2. 2026-06-21
   days on market $75,000 Active 10 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $75,000 Active 3 DOM
8. 2026-06-12
   statusdays on market $75,000 Active 2 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $75,000 Coming Soon 14 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Coming Soon 13 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Coming Soon 12 DOM
12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Coming Soon 11 DOM
13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $75,000 Coming Soon 8 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
17. 2026-05-26
    historical $75,000
18. 2025-09-12
    price $71,900
19. 2025-09-12
    price $71,900
20. 2025-08-20
    status Active
21. 2025-08-20
    status Active
22. 2025-07-16
    historical
23. 2025-07-16
    historical
24. 2025-06-28
    price $74,500
25. 2025-06-28
    price $74,500
26. 2025-06-16
    listed $79,900 Active
27. 2025-06-16
    listed $79,900 Active
28. 2022-08-18
    soldstatus
29. 2022-04-25
    soldstatus
30. 2021-10-11
    listed $52,000
31. 2021-02-18
    soldstatus $45,000
32. 2017-10-04
    soldstatus
33. 2015-11-17
    soldstatus
34. 2014-11-05
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $335 · $28/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $728 · $61/mo
• Expected delta: +$392/yr (+$33/mo · 117.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,864
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,201
• − Property taxes: −$335
• − Insurance: −$375
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,029
• − Management: −$1,029
• − Depreciation: −$2,182
• Taxable income: $3,712
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$891
• After-tax cash flow: $3,841/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mexico 59
• NCES district ID: 2920810
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 38% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $41,152
• Composite: 29.07/100
• National rank: #6601
• State rank: #229 of 324 in MO

Livability — Mexico

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #256
• US rank: #12405

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Mexico, MO
• Population (ZIP): 15,131

Population outlook (Audrain County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 27,791 people
• By 2030: 28,684 · +3.2%
• By 2040: 30,598 · +10.1%
• By 2050: 32,319 · +16.3%
• By 2075: 36,395 · +31.0%
• By 2100: 37,277 · +34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (84%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 84% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Audrain

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+47.6) · D 25.6% · R 73.2% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -31.6pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -47.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+47.6 2020: R+47.2 2016: R+44.0 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+16.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -92.24%
• Current HPI: 213.6163
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

+66.7% since first listed

18 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-26 Coming Soon $75,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-09-12 Price Changed $71,900 HMMLS
• 2025-09-12 Price Changed $71,900 CBORMLS
• 2025-08-20 Relisted — CBORMLS
• 2025-08-20 Relisted — HMMLS
• 2025-07-16 Delisted — HMMLS
• 2025-07-16 Delisted — CBORMLS
• 2025-06-28 Price Changed $74,500 CBORMLS
• 2025-06-28 Price Changed $74,500 HMMLS
• 2025-06-16 Listed $79,900 HMMLS
• 2025-06-16 Listed $79,900 CBORMLS
• 2022-08-18 Sold (MLS) — HMMLS
• 2022-04-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2021-10-11 Listed $52,000 HMMLS
• 2021-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
• 2017-10-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2015-11-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2014-11-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $335 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.