593 W Kessler Ct · Sanford, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
YOU FOUND A KEEPER ON KESSLER! Opportunity knocks with this 1,248 sq. ft. ranch-style home offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. This property features a functional single-level layout with great potential for customization and value-add improvements. Enjoy additional space with the 24’ x 8’ attached enclosed porch, perfect for a mudroom, seasonal sitting area, or future expansion. Car enthusiasts, hobbyists, or those needing serious storage will appreciate the massive 24’ x 50’ garage, offering incredible workspace and versatility. This home will require some TLC, making it ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build sweat equity. Property is being sold AS-IS. Cash offers only.
Key facts
- Single-level layout
- Massive garage
- 0.47 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $96 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.6% in Sanford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#330 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, amenities F.
- Meridian Public Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #225 of 540 in MI (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 320 units permitted in Midland County in 2024 (204 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Midland County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $105k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.93%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $155,480
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 593 W Kessler Ct | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+4%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $80 | 87 |
| 2832 N West River Rd | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-4%) | 11mo | $149,500 | $130 | 57 |
| 602 W Brownlee Rd | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-4%) | 22mo | $215,000 | $187 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-10,858
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,450
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48657
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,065 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,808/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $96
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-03-08status Pending
Show marketing remark (729 chars)
YOU FOUND A KEEPER ON KESSLER! Opportunity knocks with this 1,248 sq. ft. ranch-style home offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. This property features a functional single-level layout with great potential for customization and value-add improvements. Enjoy additional space with the 24’ x 8’ attached enclosed porch, perfect for a mudroom, seasonal sitting area, or future expansion. Car enthusiasts, hobbyists, or those needing serious storage will appreciate the massive 24’ x 50’ garage, offering incredible workspace and versatility. This home will require some TLC, making it ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build sweat equity. Property is being sold AS-IS. Cash offers only.
-
2026-03-08status Pending 729-char remark
Show marketing remark (729 chars)
YOU FOUND A KEEPER ON KESSLER! Opportunity knocks with this 1,248 sq. ft. ranch-style home offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. This property features a functional single-level layout with great potential for customization and value-add improvements. Enjoy additional space with the 24’ x 8’ attached enclosed porch, perfect for a mudroom, seasonal sitting area, or future expansion. Car enthusiasts, hobbyists, or those needing serious storage will appreciate the massive 24’ x 50’ garage, offering incredible workspace and versatility. This home will require some TLC, making it ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build sweat equity. Property is being sold AS-IS. Cash offers only.
-
2026-03-03$105,000 Active
Show marketing remark (729 chars)
YOU FOUND A KEEPER ON KESSLER! Opportunity knocks with this 1,248 sq. ft. ranch-style home offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. This property features a functional single-level layout with great potential for customization and value-add improvements. Enjoy additional space with the 24’ x 8’ attached enclosed porch, perfect for a mudroom, seasonal sitting area, or future expansion. Car enthusiasts, hobbyists, or those needing serious storage will appreciate the massive 24’ x 50’ garage, offering incredible workspace and versatility. This home will require some TLC, making it ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build sweat equity. Property is being sold AS-IS. Cash offers only.
-
2026-03-03$105,000 Active 729-char remark
Show marketing remark (729 chars)
YOU FOUND A KEEPER ON KESSLER! Opportunity knocks with this 1,248 sq. ft. ranch-style home offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. This property features a functional single-level layout with great potential for customization and value-add improvements. Enjoy additional space with the 24’ x 8’ attached enclosed porch, perfect for a mudroom, seasonal sitting area, or future expansion. Car enthusiasts, hobbyists, or those needing serious storage will appreciate the massive 24’ x 50’ garage, offering incredible workspace and versatility. This home will require some TLC, making it ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build sweat equity. Property is being sold AS-IS. Cash offers only.
-
2000-12-29soldstatus $60,000
-
1993-11-01soldstatus $52,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,808 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,808 · $151/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,779
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,808
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,022
- − Management
- −$1,022
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable loss
- −$535
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$128
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,283/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Meridian Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2623580
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,641
- Composite
- 33.34/100
- National rank
- #5493
- State rank
- #225 of 540 in MI
Livability — Sanford
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #330
- US rank
- #8145
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,700
Population outlook (Midland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 83,968 people
- By 2030
- 83,368 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 80,713 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 76,698 · -8.7%
- By 2075
- 67,617 · -19.5%
- By 2100
- 57,529 · -31.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Midland
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.6% · R 56.8% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+14.6 2016: R+19.4 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -115.99%
- Current HPI
- 206.5704
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+100.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-08 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-08 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-03 Listed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-03 Listed $105,000 REALCOMP
- 2000-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 1993-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2024): $1,808 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…