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223 Jerusalem Ave
B Composite 70.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

223 Jerusalem Ave · Cooleemee, NC 27028
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,644 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 377 Days on market
Built 1917 8,276 sqft lot ↓ 32% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

PRICED TO SELL! This charming, country farmhouse style four-bedroom two-story home offers a perfect blend of space, comfort and value. Relax on the spacious front porch. This home features generous living areas with a bright and airy floor plan. Yes, it's an older home and needs refreshing but liveable as is. Outbuildings are on another lot and not for sale and carport does not convey. In much better condition than most homes in this price range. Some furnishings will remain if the buyer wants them.

Key facts

  • Spacious front porch
  • 8,276 sq ft lot
  • Built 1917

Tags

SPACIOUS FRONT PORCHGENEROUS LIVING AREASBRIGHT AND AIRY LAYOUT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway (no garage)
  • Utilities: Public water supply; Sewer: see remarks; Water heater: unknown
  • Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; Two stories; Built in 1917; Existing structure
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; No fireplaces; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot; No fencing; Flat land; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on main and second levels
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom located on the main level
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.7% vs local median 3.6% in Cooleemee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#189 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Davie County Schools (rural): math 51% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #57 of 178 in NC (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Cooleemee Elementary (math 40% / reading 35%, grade F, #766 of 1,410 statewide, top 55%, 478 students, 80% FRL); South Davie Middle (math 38% / reading 40%, grade F, #238 of 475 statewide, top 51%, 547 students, 67% FRL); Davie County High (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B-, #184 of 535 statewide, top 37%, 1,770 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 37% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 221 active listings in the ZIP; 250 units permitted in Davie County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Davie County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 377 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $74,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 377 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.40%
Cap rate
21.74%
Cash-on-cash
55.17%
DSCR
3.45
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$272,904
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
176 Midway St 0.67mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,679 (+2%) 1mo $325,000 $194 58
105 Watt St 0.47mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,452 (-12%) 2mo $175,000 $121 52
111 Springhill Dr 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (-3%) 8mo $265,000 $166 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.4%
Equity multiple
3.35×
Total profit
$55,903
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
58.6%
Equity multiple
6.81×
Total profit
$138,362
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27028

Home prices YoY
-23.8%
Active inventory
221
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,038 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$35 /mo · $419/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$428
Net cashflow
$1,094

Break-even live

Break-even rent $653
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 41%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,142 -5% $1,118 +0% $1,094 +5% $1,070 +10% $1,046
Rent -10% $933 -5% $1,014 +0% $1,094 +5% $1,175 +10% $1,255
Rate -1.0pp $1,137 -0.5pp $1,116 base $1,094 +0.5pp $1,072 +1.0pp $1,050

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $85,000 Active 377 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 374 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 373 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 372 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 371 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $85,000 Active 369 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $85,000 Active 366 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 365 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 364 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 363 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 359 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 358 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 357 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 356 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 355 DOM
  16. 2026-04-13
    status Active
  17. 2026-04-01
    historical
  18. 2026-02-02
    status Active
  19. 2026-01-24
    status Pending
  20. 2026-01-03
    price $85,000
  21. 2025-11-20
    status Active
  22. 2025-11-16
    historical
  23. 2025-10-07
    price $89,000
  24. 2025-07-12
    price $100,000
  25. 2025-06-18
    price $110,000
  26. 2025-05-16
    listed $125,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$419 · $35/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$697 · $58/mo
Expected delta
+$278/yr (+$23/mo · 66.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,460
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$419
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,957
− Management
−$1,957
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$12,468
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,992
After-tax cash flow
$10,138/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Davie County Schools
NCES district ID
3701170
Math proficiency
51% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$51,331
Composite
44.16/100
National rank
#2860
State rank
#57 of 178 in NC

Livability — Cooleemee

Score
68/100
State rank
#189
US rank
#9461

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Davie County · 42,813 people
City population
921
Metro
Winston-Salem, NC
Population (ZIP)
26,566
Household income
$69,137
Rent vs Own
21.5% rent · 78.5% own
Severe rent burden
512.0

Population outlook (Davie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,613 people
By 2030
42,691 · +0.2%
By 2040
42,137 · -1.1%
By 2050
40,445 · -5.1%
By 2075
35,939 · -15.7%
By 2100
29,103 · -31.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Davie

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.5) · D 26.2% · R 72.6% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.3pp · 2024: -46.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.5 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+48.1 2012: R+43.7 2008: R+38.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.58%
Current HPI
191.2464
Rent YoY
Metro
Winston-Salem, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-32.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Relisted Triad MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Delisted Triad MLS
  • 2026-02-02 Relisted Triad MLS
  • 2026-01-24 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2026-01-03 Price Changed $85,000 Triad MLS
  • 2025-11-20 Relisted Triad MLS
  • 2025-11-16 Delisted Triad MLS
  • 2025-10-07 Price Changed $89,000 Triad MLS
  • 2025-07-12 Price Changed $100,000 Triad MLS
  • 2025-06-18 Price Changed $110,000 Triad MLS
  • 2025-05-16 Listed $125,000 Triad MLS

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $419 · -23.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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