1521 Manchester Ave · Columbus, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Many Opportunities!!! This home is freshly painted and ready for new tenants. Nice for an owner occupant or for a flip.
Key facts
- Updated flooring
- Fresh interior paint
- 4,791 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Two stories; Built in 1920; No shared/common walls
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.11 acres
Interior
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $66 ($791/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (8.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $152k (8.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.8% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in OH, #1,491 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Columbus City School District (urban): math 15% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #626 of 656 in OH (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Indianola Informal K-8 School (math 43% / reading 58%, grade D+, #896 of 1,584 statewide, top 57%, 684 students, 0% FRL); Arts Impact Middle School (Aims) (math 17% / reading 25%, grade F, #608 of 654 statewide, top 93%, 532 students, 0% FRL); Linden-Mckinley Stem Academy (math 4% / reading 13%, grade F, #756 of 781 statewide, top 97%, 776 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 166 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 8,139 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (5,940 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.71%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $245,152
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1450 Briarwood Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,512 (+0%) | 1mo | $216,000 | $143 | 82 |
| 1525 Aberdeen Ave | 0.08mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-4%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $94 | 80 |
| 1329 Manchester Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.5 | 1,447 (-4%) | 4mo | $249,900 | $173 | 74 |
| 1884 Aberdeen Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,548 (+3%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $123 | 67 |
| 1671 E Brighton Rd | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,409 (-6%) | 2mo | $295,000 | $209 | 65 |
| 1204 Loretta Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+4%) | 3mo | $217,000 | $139 | 62 |
| 1222 Manchester Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,279 (-15%) | 2mo | $209,901 | $164 | 51 |
| 2195 Dresden St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,672 (+11%) | 2mo | $228,000 | $136 | 43 |
| 2765 Joyce Ave | 0.59mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,347 (-10%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $197 | 42 |
| 1678 Oakland Park Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,295 (-14%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $181 | 42 |
| 3109 Bremen St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,318 (-12%) | 4mo | $214,900 | $163 | 42 |
| 2225 Medina Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,291 (-14%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $139 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-21,892
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-10,984
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43211
- Home prices YoY
- -27.3%
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 166
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,516 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$198 /mo · $2,376/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $66
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $159 | -5% $113 | +0% $66 | +5% $19 | +10% $-27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-54 | -5% $6 | +0% $66 | +5% $126 | +10% $186 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $149 | -0.5pp $108 | base $66 | +0.5pp $23 | +1.0pp $-20 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1536 E Weber Rd Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,695 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1536 E Weber Rd Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,695 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1354 Minnesota Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,800 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1695 E Weber Rd Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $1,600 | $1.03 | 18d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1709 E Weber Rd Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1154 | $1,100 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2765 Cleveland Ave Unit B Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $990 | $0.90 | 19d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1555 Myrtle Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1269 Minnesota Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,550 | $1.44 | 9d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1514 Republic Ave Unit 1514 Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1288 | $1,450 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1527 Republic Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,299 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1527 Republic Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,345 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2347 Linden Ave Unit 1 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1850 | $1,200 | $0.65 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3054 McGuffey Rd Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $1,450 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1624 Kohr Pl Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,400 | $1.19 | 16d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2718 Fern Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,640 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1410 E Blake Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,700 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2590 Parkwood Ave Unit 2590 Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,400 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2540 Parkwood Ave Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1374 | $1,400 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 3267 Walmar Dr Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $1,550 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2176 Ontario St Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1066 | $1,650 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3333 Dresden St Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $3,150 | $2.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2460 Hiawatha St Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1768 | $1,300 | $0.74 | 9d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3327 McGuffey Rd Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,335 | $1.21 | 9d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1208 E 26th Ave Unit 1 1208 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1815 | $1,350 | $0.74 | 19d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1324 E 25th Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1792 | $1,000 | $0.56 | 4d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1609-1611 E 26th Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,150 | $1.06 | 5d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1609-1611 E 26th Ave Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1011 Mohican Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,399 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1612 E 25th Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1652 E 25th Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1660 E 25th Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1320 E 23rd Ave Unit 1320 Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $1,050 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1269 E 23rd Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1175 | $1,350 | $1.15 | 9d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1906-1908 Cleveland Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1384 | $1,295 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2630 Homecroft Dr Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1185 E 22nd Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1304 | $1,400 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1096 E 22nd Ave #1098 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1546 | $1,450 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1272 E 21st Ave Unit 1272 Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1176 | $1,400 | $1.19 | 12d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 780 E Brighton Rd Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1086 | $1,500 | $1.38 | 9d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2611 Beulah Rd Unit 2611 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1728 | $1,325 | $0.77 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-05days on market $165,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$165,000 Active
-
2023-08-30soldstatus $115,000
-
2023-08-24soldstatus $115,000 Closed 120-char remark
Show marketing remark (120 chars)
Many Opportunities!!! This home is freshly painted and ready for new tenants. Nice for an owner occupant or for a flip.
-
2023-07-31status Pending 120-char remark
Show marketing remark (120 chars)
Many Opportunities!!! This home is freshly painted and ready for new tenants. Nice for an owner occupant or for a flip.
-
2023-07-21$109,900 Active 120-char remark
Show marketing remark (120 chars)
Many Opportunities!!! This home is freshly painted and ready for new tenants. Nice for an owner occupant or for a flip.
-
2013-05-09soldstatus $37,800
-
2013-05-03historical
-
2012-11-17$15,000
-
1989-12-29soldstatus $53,900
-
1986-05-28soldstatus $38,000
-
1985-07-31soldstatus $33,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,376 · $198/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,475 · $206/mo
- Expected delta
- +$99/yr (+$8/mo · 4.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,197
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,376
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,456
- − Management
- −$1,456
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$1,958
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$470
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,261/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbus City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904380
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,483
- Composite
- 17.19/100
- National rank
- #9105
- State rank
- #626 of 656 in OH
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #97
- US rank
- #1491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, OH
- County
- Franklin County · 1,351,780 people
- City population
- 612,189
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,313
- Household income
- $42,579
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1282.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,456,139 people
- By 2030
- 1,556,890 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 1,757,349 · +20.7%
- By 2050
- 1,950,539 · +34.0%
- By 2075
- 2,376,171 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 2,636,796 · +81.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 21% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.4) · D 63.7% · R 35.3% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.7pp toward D · 2008: 20.7pp · 2024: 28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.4 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+21.7 2008: D+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -94.10%
- Current HPI
- 250.3885
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+400.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $165,000 CBRMLS
- 2023-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2023-08-24 Sold (MLS) $115,000 CBRMLS
- 2023-07-31 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2023-07-21 Listed $109,900 CBRMLS
- 2013-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $37,800 Public Records
- 2013-05-03 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2012-11-17 Listed $15,000 CBRMLS
- 1989-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $53,900 Public Records
- 1986-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 1985-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+19.2%/yrLatest (2024): $2,376 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…