1427 100th St SW #67 · Everett, WA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.7/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully updated home in a quiet, gated 55+ community! Spacious 3-bedroom, 1.75-bath home offers 1,620 sq ft of well-designed living space. Enjoy tranquil mornings on the expansive deck overlooking the peaceful community pond, or relax in the meticulously landscaped yard. The primary suite features a large soaking tub and walk-in closet for ultimate comfort. Recent upgrades include a new composition roof, energy-efficient heat pump with A/C, and a new water heater. Solid surface flooring flows through the main areas, with plush carpet in bedrooms. Two walk-in showers, a 2-car carport, and private storage complete this move-in-ready gem! Management Company is offering new
Key facts
- Gated community
- Large soaking tub
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 2.5% in Everett — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Mukilteo School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #111 of 291 in WA (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,815/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 2874% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 267 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 267 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.46%
- DSCR
- 2.18
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $166,956
- List price
- $169,950
- Delta
- 1.79%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1427 100th St SW #149 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,668 (+3%) | 1mo | $278,000 | $167 | 94 |
| 1427 100th St SW #57 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-3%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $83 | 94 |
| 1427 100th St SW #27 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,560 (-4%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $144 | 88 |
| 1427 100th St SW #90 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (-7%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $80 | 85 |
| 1427 100th St SW #39 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,774 (+10%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $147 | 81 |
| 1427 100th St SW #154 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,790 (+10%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $81 | 81 |
| 1427 100th St SW #116 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,505 (-7%) | 9mo | $185,000 | $123 | 81 |
| 1427 100th St SW #32 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,754 (+8%) | 7mo | $164,000 | $94 | 80 |
| 9931 18th Ave W #13 | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,598 (-1%) | 8mo | $241,500 | $151 | 77 |
| 1427 100th St SW #166 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,848 (+14%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $73 | 73 |
| 1427 100th St SW #48 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,782 (+10%) | 15mo | $200,000 | $112 | 71 |
| 10029 Montana Rd | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-11%) | 9mo | $375,000 | $260 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $31,072
- Equity at exit
- $25,340
- IRR
- 23.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.71×
- Total profit
- $81,390
- Equity at exit
- $14,694
Cash invested: $47,586 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98204
- Rents YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,815 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$212 /mo · $2,549/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$591
- Net cashflow
- $1,049
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,167 | -5% $1,108 | +0% $1,049 | +5% $990 | +10% $932 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $827 | -5% $938 | +0% $1,049 | +5% $1,160 | +10% $1,271 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,135 | -0.5pp $1,092 | base $1,049 | +0.5pp $1,005 | +1.0pp $960 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,488
- Closing costs
- $5,098
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9900 12th Ave W Everett, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1033 | $2,892 | $2.80 | 0d | 14 | 0.16mi |
| 9327 16th Dr W Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1708 | $3,100 | $1.81 | 45d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1826 98th Pl SW Unit B Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1467 | $2,650 | $1.81 | 4d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1826 98th Pl SW Unit B Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1467 | $2,650 | $1.81 | 6d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 9916 18th Ave W Unit G Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1569 | $2,850 | $1.82 | 18d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 10104 Dakota Way Everett, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1744 | $4,195 | $2.41 | 18d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1309 102nd Pl SW Unit N/A Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1860 | $3,295 | $1.77 | 0d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 10115 Holly Dr Everett, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1003 | $2,720 | $2.71 | 0d | 25 | 0.39mi |
| 10115 Holly Dr Everett, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1003 | $2,720 | $2.71 | 11d | 22 | 0.39mi |
| 10111 9th Ave W Everett, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1098 | $2,550 | $2.32 | 6d | 4 | 0.48mi |
| 9515 Holly Dr Unit 1 Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $3,000 | $1.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2020 Hollow Dale Pl Unit A Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1525 | $2,650 | $1.74 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1305 W Casino Rd Everett, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 881 | $1,800 | $2.04 | 6d | 5 | 0.88mi |
| 729 112th St SW Unit B3 Everett, WA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2174 | $3,395 | $1.56 | 18d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 120 SE Everett Mall Way Everett, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 813 | $2,134 | $2.62 | 0d | 43 | 1.16mi |
| 2301 116th St SW Unit E Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $2,595 | $1.85 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 229 Dorn Ave Unit C101 Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1452 | $2,900 | $2.00 | 0d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 11625 Center Rd Unit C Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1608 | $3,200 | $1.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 11026 Meridian Dr SE Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $3,000 | $1.76 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 11719 12th Ave W Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1533 | $2,800 | $1.83 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1108 Center Rd Everett, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,150 | $1.79 | 16d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 11727 12th Ave W #77 Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1533 | $3,100 | $2.02 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4 112th St SW Unit A Everett, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1661 | $3,300 | $1.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 29 112th St SE Everett, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1957 | $3,800 | $1.94 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 12121 Admiralty Way Everett, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1116 | $2,855 | $2.56 | 0d | 15 | 1.48mi |
| 12118 Highway 99 Everett, WA | 1.0–5.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1117 | $2,236 | $2.00 | 3d | 5 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-31status $169,950 Pending 267 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,950 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $169,950
-
2026-03-05status Active
-
2026-02-03price $179,950
-
2025-09-05$189,950 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,776
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,520
- − Property taxes
- −$2,549
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,702
- − Management
- −$2,702
- − Depreciation
- −$4,944
- Taxable income
- $10,509
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,522
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,067/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mukilteo School District
- NCES district ID
- 5305430
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,807
- Composite
- 48.17/100
- National rank
- #4733
- State rank
- #111 of 291 in WA
Livability — Everett
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5489
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Everett, WA
- County
- Snohomish County · 786,756 people
- City population
- 173,457
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,130
- Household income
- $68,513
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2874.0
Population outlook (Snohomish County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 899,800 people
- By 2030
- 960,975 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 1,074,447 · +19.4%
- By 2050
- 1,171,954 · +30.2%
- By 2075
- 1,384,849 · +53.9%
- By 2100
- 1,497,296 · +66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 22% Asian 14% Two or more races 11% Black 9% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Subsaharan African 4% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Spanish 18% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Vietnamese 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Snohomish
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.0) · D 57.8% · R 38.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 19.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.0 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -540.03%
- Current HPI
- 321.7923
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.70%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-10.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $169,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $179,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-05 Listed $189,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-11.3%/yrLatest (2026): $56 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…