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1427 100th St SW #67
B- Composite 69.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.7/15.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,950

1427 100th St SW #67 · Everett, WA 98204
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,620 sqft · Manufactured public records · 267 Days on market
Built 1985 30 ac lot $105/sqft · at area comps Est $167k · at est. ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautifully updated home in a quiet, gated 55+ community! Spacious 3-bedroom, 1.75-bath home offers 1,620 sq ft of well-designed living space. Enjoy tranquil mornings on the expansive deck overlooking the peaceful community pond, or relax in the meticulously landscaped yard. The primary suite features a large soaking tub and walk-in closet for ultimate comfort. Recent upgrades include a new composition roof, energy-efficient heat pump with A/C, and a new water heater. Solid surface flooring flows through the main areas, with plush carpet in bedrooms. Two walk-in showers, a 2-car carport, and private storage complete this move-in-ready gem! Management Company is offering new

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Large soaking tub
  • Walk-in closet

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYEXPANSIVE DECKMETICULOUSLY LANDSCAPED YARDLARGE SOAKING TUBWALK-IN CLOSETNEW COMPOSITION ROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 2.5% in Everett — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, amenities F.
  • Mukilteo School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #111 of 291 in WA (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,815/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 2874% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 267 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $149,556 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 267 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
13.70%
Cash-on-cash
26.46%
DSCR
2.18
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$166,956
List price
$169,950
Delta
1.79%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1427 100th St SW #149 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,668 (+3%) 1mo $278,000 $167 94
1427 100th St SW #57 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,568 (-3%) 1mo $130,000 $83 94
1427 100th St SW #27 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,560 (-4%) 1mo $225,000 $144 88
1427 100th St SW #90 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,504 (-7%) 4mo $120,000 $80 85
1427 100th St SW #39 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,774 (+10%) 3mo $260,000 $147 81
1427 100th St SW #154 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,790 (+10%) 1mo $145,000 $81 81
1427 100th St SW #116 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,505 (-7%) 9mo $185,000 $123 81
1427 100th St SW #32 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,754 (+8%) 7mo $164,000 $94 80
9931 18th Ave W #13 0.20mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,598 (-1%) 8mo $241,500 $151 77
1427 100th St SW #166 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,848 (+14%) 4mo $135,000 $73 73
1427 100th St SW #48 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,782 (+10%) 15mo $200,000 $112 71
10029 Montana Rd 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-11%) 9mo $375,000 $260 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$31,072
Equity at exit
$25,340
10-year hold
IRR
23.1%
Equity multiple
2.71×
Total profit
$81,390
Equity at exit
$14,694

Cash invested: $47,586 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98204

Rents YoY
-1.7%
Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,815 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax est. 1.5%
$212 /mo · $2,549/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$591
Net cashflow
$1,049

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,487
Max offer price $169,950
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,167 -5% $1,108 +0% $1,049 +5% $990 +10% $932
Rent -10% $827 -5% $938 +0% $1,049 +5% $1,160 +10% $1,271
Rate -1.0pp $1,135 -0.5pp $1,092 base $1,049 +0.5pp $1,005 +1.0pp $960

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,488
Closing costs
$5,098
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9900 12th Ave W Everett, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1033 $2,892 $2.80 0d 14 0.16mi
9327 16th Dr W Everett, WA 3.0 2.5 1708 $3,100 $1.81 45d 1 0.22mi
1826 98th Pl SW Unit B Everett, WA 3.0 2.5 1467 $2,650 $1.81 4d 1 0.25mi
1826 98th Pl SW Unit B Everett, WA 3.0 2.5 1467 $2,650 $1.81 6d 1 0.25mi
9916 18th Ave W Unit G Everett, WA 3.0 2.0 1569 $2,850 $1.82 18d 1 0.27mi
10104 Dakota Way Everett, WA 4.0 2.5 1744 $4,195 $2.41 18d 1 0.30mi
1309 102nd Pl SW Unit N/A Everett, WA 3.0 2.5 1860 $3,295 $1.77 0d 1 0.36mi
10115 Holly Dr Everett, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1003 $2,720 $2.71 0d 25 0.39mi
10115 Holly Dr Everett, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1003 $2,720 $2.71 11d 22 0.39mi
10111 9th Ave W Everett, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1098 $2,550 $2.32 6d 4 0.48mi
9515 Holly Dr Unit 1 Everett, WA 3.0 2.5 1600 $3,000 $1.88 45d 1 0.66mi
2020 Hollow Dale Pl Unit A Everett, WA 3.0 2.5 1525 $2,650 $1.74 45d 1 0.87mi
1305 W Casino Rd Everett, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 881 $1,800 $2.04 6d 5 0.88mi
729 112th St SW Unit B3 Everett, WA 4.0 3.5 2174 $3,395 $1.56 18d 1 0.97mi
120 SE Everett Mall Way Everett, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 813 $2,134 $2.62 0d 43 1.16mi
2301 116th St SW Unit E Everett, WA 3.0 2.5 1400 $2,595 $1.85 45d 1 1.21mi
229 Dorn Ave Unit C101 Everett, WA 3.0 2.5 1452 $2,900 $2.00 0d 1 1.22mi
11625 Center Rd Unit C Everett, WA 3.0 2.5 1608 $3,200 $1.99 45d 1 1.30mi
11026 Meridian Dr SE Everett, WA 3.0 2.5 1700 $3,000 $1.76 45d 1 1.31mi
11719 12th Ave W Everett, WA 3.0 2.5 1533 $2,800 $1.83 45d 1 1.31mi
1108 Center Rd Everett, WA 2.0 2.0 1200 $2,150 $1.79 16d 1 1.31mi
11727 12th Ave W #77 Everett, WA 3.0 2.5 1533 $3,100 $2.02 23d 1 1.32mi
4 112th St SW Unit A Everett, WA 3.0 2.5 1661 $3,300 $1.99 45d 1 1.33mi
29 112th St SE Everett, WA 4.0 2.5 1957 $3,800 $1.94 45d 1 1.38mi
12121 Admiralty Way Everett, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1116 $2,855 $2.56 0d 15 1.48mi
12118 Highway 99 Everett, WA 1.0–5.0 1.0–3.0 1117 $2,236 $2.00 3d 5 1.48mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    status $169,950 Pending 267 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,950 Active 267 DOM
  3. 2026-05-04
    price $169,950
  4. 2026-03-05
    status Active
  5. 2026-02-03
    price $179,950
  6. 2025-09-05
    listed $189,950 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,776
− Mortgage interest
−$9,520
− Property taxes
−$2,549
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,702
− Management
−$2,702
− Depreciation
−$4,944
Taxable income
$10,509
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,522
After-tax cash flow
$10,067/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mukilteo School District
NCES district ID
5305430
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$60,807
Composite
48.17/100
National rank
#4733
State rank
#111 of 291 in WA

Livability — Everett

Score
73/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#5489

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment A- Housing A Health & safety A User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Everett, WA
County
Snohomish County · 786,756 people
City population
173,457
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
45,130
Household income
$68,513
Rent vs Own
66.4% rent · 33.6% own
Severe rent burden
2874.0

Population outlook (Snohomish County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
899,800 people
By 2030
960,975 · +6.8%
By 2040
1,074,447 · +19.4%
By 2050
1,171,954 · +30.2%
By 2075
1,384,849 · +53.9%
By 2100
1,497,296 · +66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 22% Asian 14% Two or more races 11% Black 9% Pacific Islander 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
Subsaharan African 4% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
31% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
58% English-only · Spanish 18% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Vietnamese 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Snohomish

2024 margin
D (+19.0) · D 57.8% · R 38.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
+0.1pp no change · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 19.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.0 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+18.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -540.03%
Current HPI
321.7923
Rent YoY
▼ -1.70%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $169,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-05 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $179,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-05 Listed $189,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-11.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $56 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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