22 Mount St · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$28,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This Shell of a home is awaiting your vision. Could you add sqft in rear and maximize value? What about a multi unit property. Your vision can be reality here check nearby comparable sales and be amazed at the value here.
Key facts
- Built 1920
- Listed 65 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/?-bath townhouse listed at $28k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $28k).
- Recommended offer: $26k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 72.7% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 422 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,228/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1755% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $194 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $840 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 7.96% ✓
- Cap rate
- 72.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 237.05%
- DSCR
- 11.55
- GRM
- 1.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $249,357
- List price
- $28,000
- Delta
- -88.77%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206 S Gilmor St | 0.27mi | 4/2.5 | 2,200 (+2%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $98 | 81 |
| 105 N Fulton Ave | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 | 2,000 (-7%) | 6mo | $50,000 | $25 | 79 |
| 1706 Lemmon St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,200 (+2%) | 4mo | $38,500 | $18 | 78 |
| 10 N Pulaski St | 0.34mi | 4/1.5 | 2,232 (+3%) | 3mo | $92,500 | $41 | 76 |
| 329 N Gilmor St | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 | 2,066 (-4%) | 6mo | $315,000 | $152 | 74 |
| 8 N Pulaski St | 0.34mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,230 (+3%) | 1mo | $114,000 | $51 | 73 |
| 1319 W Lombard St | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 | 2,046 (-5%) | 7mo | $385,000 | $188 | 70 |
| 35 S Calhoun St | 0.29mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,985 (-8%) | 7mo | $245,000 | $123 | 62 |
| 1013 Harlem Ave | 0.73mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,117 (-2%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $80 | 54 |
| 1003 S Carey St | 0.63mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,352 (+9%) | 8mo | $325,000 | $138 | 44 |
| 1004 Bennett Pl | 0.66mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,950 (-10%) | 8mo | $270,000 | $138 | 41 |
| 1101 Bayard St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,903 (-12%) | 7mo | $171,000 | $90 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.36×
- Total profit
- $104,715
- Equity at exit
- $4,175
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 34.93×
- Total profit
- $265,988
- Equity at exit
- $2,421
Cash invested: $7,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21223
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 422
- Price-to-rent
- 1.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,228 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$147
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $634/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$468
- Net cashflow
- $1,549
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,000
- Closing costs
- $840
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1839 W Fayette St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1426 | $1,675 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1814 Penrose Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1624 | $1,700 | $1.05 | 18d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1328 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2312 | $3,600 | $1.56 | 12d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1625 Edmondson Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $1,895 | $1.26 | 12d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1625 Edmondson Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,175 | $1.45 | 4d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1138 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2400 | $1,795 | $0.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1509 Edmondson Ave #1 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,275 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 39 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1844 | $1,700 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1115 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1468 | $2,100 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 311 S Pulaski St Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1450 | $2,400 | $1.66 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 311 S Pulaski St Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1450 | $2,400 | $1.66 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1000 Hollins St Unit 1000 Hollins Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1472 | $2,600 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 101 N Schroeder St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1037 | $3,185 | $3.07 | 2d | 12 | 0.57mi |
| 1032 W Franklin St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 4.5 | 1913 | $2,650 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 922 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2364 | $2,300 | $0.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 913 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1452 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 110 S Poppleton St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $1,900 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1227 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2664 | $2,950 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 853 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2824 | $2,650 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1226 W Cross St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1551 | $2,250 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1613 Riggs Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $1,800 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 804 Hollins St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,700 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 819 Ramsay St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1856 | $3,000 | $1.62 | 12d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 803 McHenry St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1856 | $2,599 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 918 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1485 | $1,750 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 324 Scott St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1656 | $3,000 | $1.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 827 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1512 | $2,000 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 519 Scott St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1600 | $3,000 | $1.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 610 Scott St Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1700 | $2,750 | $1.62 | 12d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 709 Scott St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1448 | $2,500 | $1.73 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 709 Scott St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1448 | $2,500 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 636 Portland St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1545 | $2,650 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 912 S Paca St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,250 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 941 Brunswick St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1558 | $1,600 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 941 Brunswick St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1516 | $1,650 | $1.09 | 18d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 549 Mosher St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2200 | $1,350 | $0.61 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1315 Presstman St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,000 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1501 N Payson St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,550 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1516 N Mount St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1830 | $1,750 | $0.96 | 15d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2922 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,900 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $28,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $28,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $28,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $30,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $30,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $30,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $30,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $30,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $30,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $30,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $30,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $32,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $32,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $32,000 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
This Shell of a home is awaiting your vision. Could you add sqft in rear and maximize value? What about a multi unit property. Your vision can be reality here check nearby comparable sales and be amazed at the value here.
-
2026-05-05price $37,000 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
This Shell of a home is awaiting your vision. Could you add sqft in rear and maximize value? What about a multi unit property. Your vision can be reality here check nearby comparable sales and be amazed at the value here.
-
2026-04-14$45,000 Active 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
This Shell of a home is awaiting your vision. Could you add sqft in rear and maximize value? What about a multi unit property. Your vision can be reality here check nearby comparable sales and be amazed at the value here.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $634 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $634 · $53/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,735
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,568
- − Property taxes
- −$634
- − Insurance
- −$140
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,139
- − Management
- −$2,139
- − Depreciation
- −$815
- Taxable income
- $19,300
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,632
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,952/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,572
- Household income
- $45,840
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1755.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% White 16% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.99%
- Current HPI
- 140.5836
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.51%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-28.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $32,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $37,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-14 Listed $45,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $634 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…