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2524 Judy Dr
D Composite 42.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.1/30.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

2524 Judy Dr · Meraux, LA 70075
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,324 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1980 5,750 sqft lot Est $193k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Don’t miss this renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Meraux! It boasts a brand-new roof, HVAC system, water heater, and kitchen appliances, with the added bonus of a washer and dryer included in the sale. The open-concept layout flows effortlessly from the living room to the dining area and kitchen, offering a spacious and functional living space. Each room features outlets with USB and USB-C ports, making device charging a breeze. New vinyl plank flooring has been installed in the bedrooms, adding a fresh, modern touch. The large backyard is fully enclosed with a white vinyl privacy fence, plus there’s a storage shed for extra space. Call us today!

Key facts

  • 5,750 sq ft lot
  • Built 1980

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $84 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (11.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $190k (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 5.2% in Meraux — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#152 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 112 units permitted in St. Bernard Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Bernard County population projected at +89% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $190,341 (11.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.13%
Cash-on-cash
2.99%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$193,304
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2300 Judy Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,389 (+5%) 7mo $191,800 $138 76
2208 Munster Blvd 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,299 (-2%) 6mo $212,000 $163 72
2709 Munster Blvd 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,411 (+7%) 12mo $127,500 $90 69
2108 Judy Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,313 (-1%) 18mo $192,000 $146 67
4020 Najolia St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,380 (+4%) 7mo $195,876 $142 64
4100 Najolia St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,370 (+4%) 12mo $219,900 $161 61
2717 Blomquist St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,382 (+4%) 10mo $103,000 $75 57
3013 Munster Blvd 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,387 (+5%) 21mo $223,750 $161 56
4008 Claiborne Ave 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,220 (-8%) 21mo $175,000 $143 55
4016 Najolia St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,226 (-7%) 18mo $179,000 $146 51
2112 Munster Blvd 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+13%) 10mo $170,000 $113 48
4100 Mistrot St 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,509 (+14%) 23mo $279,900 $185 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.7%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-29,526
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-18,902
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70075

Home prices YoY
-18.3%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,903 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$137 /mo · $1,639/yr
Insurance
$90
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$400
Net cashflow
$84

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,798
Max offer price $215,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $205 -5% $144 +0% $84 +5% $23 +10% $-38
Rent -10% $-67 -5% $8 +0% $84 +5% $159 +10% $234
Rate -1.0pp $192 -0.5pp $138 base $84 +0.5pp $28 +1.0pp $-29

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2709 Munster Blvd Meraux, LA 3.0 2.0 1411 $1,900 $1.35 25d 1 0.23mi
2004 Webster St Meraux, LA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,750 $1.25 18d 1 0.65mi
3629 Charles Dr Chalmette, LA 3.0 2.0 1405 $1,600 $1.14 16d 1 1.09mi
3012 Volpe Dr Chalmette, LA 3.0 2.0 1812 $2,500 $1.38 45d 1 1.19mi
2602 Chalona Dr Unit C Chalmette, LA 2.0 1.5 900 $1,200 $1.33 4d 1 1.21mi
2708 Volpe Dr Chalmette, LA 3.0 2.0 1556 $2,300 $1.48 23d 1 1.22mi
2228 Riverland Dr Chalmette, LA 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,800 $1.38 4d 1 1.41mi
3708 Veronica Dr Chalmette, LA 3.0 2.0 1818 $2,550 $1.40 3d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    remarks 656-char remark
  2. 2026-06-17
    listed $215,000 Pending 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,639 · $137/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,639 · $137/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,841
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$1,639
− Insurance
−$1,872
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,827
− Management
−$1,827
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$2,623
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$629
After-tax cash flow
$1,633/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Meraux

Score
65/100
State rank
#152
US rank
#13001

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Meraux, LA
City population
5,349
Population (ZIP)
5,349

Population outlook (St. Bernard County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,513 people
By 2030
77,768 · +16.9%
By 2040
101,296 · +52.3%
By 2050
125,770 · +89.1%
By 2075
188,160 · +182.9%
By 2100
239,339 · +259.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 10% Two or more races 10% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 16% Scottish 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 4% Vietnamese 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Bernard

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.3) · D 34.5% · R 63.8% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+16.1pp toward D · 2008: -45.4pp · 2024: -29.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.3 2020: R+28.5 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+24.7 2008: R+45.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -42.56%
Current HPI
190.054
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+230.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2024-12-13 Sold (MLS) $215,000 GSREIN
  • 2024-11-14 Contingent GSREIN
  • 2024-11-13 Listed $215,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2024-11-13 Listed $215,000 GSREIN
  • 2024-05-06 Listed $215,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2007-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 1993-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,639 · -5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…