2524 Judy Dr · Meraux, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.1/30.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.4/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don’t miss this renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Meraux! It boasts a brand-new roof, HVAC system, water heater, and kitchen appliances, with the added bonus of a washer and dryer included in the sale. The open-concept layout flows effortlessly from the living room to the dining area and kitchen, offering a spacious and functional living space. Each room features outlets with USB and USB-C ports, making device charging a breeze. New vinyl plank flooring has been installed in the bedrooms, adding a fresh, modern touch. The large backyard is fully enclosed with a white vinyl privacy fence, plus there’s a storage shed for extra space. Call us today!
Key facts
- 5,750 sq ft lot
- Built 1980
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $84 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (11.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $190k (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 5.2% in Meraux — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#152 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 112 units permitted in St. Bernard Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Bernard County population projected at +89% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.99%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $193,304
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2300 Judy Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,389 (+5%) | 7mo | $191,800 | $138 | 76 |
| 2208 Munster Blvd | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,299 (-2%) | 6mo | $212,000 | $163 | 72 |
| 2709 Munster Blvd | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,411 (+7%) | 12mo | $127,500 | $90 | 69 |
| 2108 Judy Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,313 (-1%) | 18mo | $192,000 | $146 | 67 |
| 4020 Najolia St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (+4%) | 7mo | $195,876 | $142 | 64 |
| 4100 Najolia St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,370 (+4%) | 12mo | $219,900 | $161 | 61 |
| 2717 Blomquist St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,382 (+4%) | 10mo | $103,000 | $75 | 57 |
| 3013 Munster Blvd | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,387 (+5%) | 21mo | $223,750 | $161 | 56 |
| 4008 Claiborne Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,220 (-8%) | 21mo | $175,000 | $143 | 55 |
| 4016 Najolia St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,226 (-7%) | 18mo | $179,000 | $146 | 51 |
| 2112 Munster Blvd | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+13%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $113 | 48 |
| 4100 Mistrot St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,509 (+14%) | 23mo | $279,900 | $185 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-29,526
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-18,902
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70075
- Home prices YoY
- -18.3%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,903 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,639/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$400
- Net cashflow
- $84
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $205 | -5% $144 | +0% $84 | +5% $23 | +10% $-38 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-67 | -5% $8 | +0% $84 | +5% $159 | +10% $234 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $192 | -0.5pp $138 | base $84 | +0.5pp $28 | +1.0pp $-29 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2709 Munster Blvd Meraux, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,900 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2004 Webster St Meraux, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3629 Charles Dr Chalmette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1405 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 16d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3012 Volpe Dr Chalmette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1812 | $2,500 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2602 Chalona Dr Unit C Chalmette, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2708 Volpe Dr Chalmette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1556 | $2,300 | $1.48 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2228 Riverland Dr Chalmette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 4d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3708 Veronica Dr Chalmette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1818 | $2,550 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-17remarks 656-char remark
-
2026-06-17$215,000 Pending 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,639 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,639 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,841
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$1,639
- − Insurance
- −$1,872
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,827
- − Management
- −$1,827
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$2,623
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$629
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,633/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Meraux
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #152
- US rank
- #13001
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Meraux, LA
- City population
- 5,349
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,349
Population outlook (St. Bernard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,513 people
- By 2030
- 77,768 · +16.9%
- By 2040
- 101,296 · +52.3%
- By 2050
- 125,770 · +89.1%
- By 2075
- 188,160 · +182.9%
- By 2100
- 239,339 · +259.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 10% Two or more races 10% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 16% Scottish 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 4% Vietnamese 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Bernard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.3) · D 34.5% · R 63.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +16.1pp toward D · 2008: -45.4pp · 2024: -29.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.3 2020: R+28.5 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+24.7 2008: R+45.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.56%
- Current HPI
- 190.054
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+230.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2024-12-13 Sold (MLS) $215,000 GSREIN
- 2024-11-14 Contingent — GSREIN
- 2024-11-13 Listed $215,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-11-13 Listed $215,000 GSREIN
- 2024-05-06 Listed $215,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2007-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 1993-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,639 · -5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…