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3941 Pacheco Dr
B- Composite 69.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.6/30.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0

$395,000

3941 Pacheco Dr · Los Angeles, CA 91403
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 4,800 sqft · Land · 72 Days on market
6,230 sqft lot $82/sqft · 88% below area ↓ 34% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Seller highly motivated. Accepting all offers. Rare development opportunity in prime Sherman Oaks, South of the Blvd. Approx. 6,300 sq ft lot with LADBS-approved plans for a luxury residence. Approved plans include approximately 4,800 sq ft total living space. Lower level (street level) approx. 2,400 sq ft basement with flexibility for buyer modifications and additional rooms. Upper level includes 3 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, approximately an additional 2,400 sq ft. Approved design features include approx. 24 ft building height and 96 ft length with rooftop deck potential. Caissons and grading completed; permits issued and plan check fees paid. Buyer to take over and complete construction. Seller provides approved plans, completed work to date, LADBS inspection approvals, soil engineering report, and survey report. Per permit requirements, four oak trees must be planted after completion of construction. Excellent location near shops, dining, and schools. Buyer to verify all information and development potential. Property visible from street; showings by appointment only.

Key facts

  • dining and schools
  • Permits issued
  • Ladbs approved plans

Tags

LADBS APPROVED PLANSROOFTOP DECK POTENTIALCAISSONS AND GRADING COMPLETEDPERMITS ISSUEDEXCELLENT LOCATION NEAR SHOPS DINING AND SCHOOLS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $395k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $395k).
  • Recommended offer: $371k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,951/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($116k/yr) (locally 1750% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $111k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($371k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $371,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
9.88%
Cash-on-cash
12.82%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$3,234,172
List price
$395,000
Delta
-87.79%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.33% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.3%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$74,688
Equity at exit
$141,763
10-year hold
IRR
14.7%
Equity multiple
2.70×
Total profit
$188,441
Equity at exit
$193,859

Cash invested: $110,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City Los Angeles
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+22
LARSO + JCEO 2023; relocation for substantial remodel evictions.

ZIP-level market 91403

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Rents YoY
-0.6%
Active inventory
136
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,951 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,071
Tax est. 1.5%
$494 /mo · $5,925/yr
Insurance
$165
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,040
Net cashflow
$1,181

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,455
Max offer price $395,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,454 -5% $1,318 +0% $1,181 +5% $1,045 +10% $908
Rent -10% $790 -5% $986 +0% $1,181 +5% $1,377 +10% $1,572
Rate -1.0pp $1,380 -0.5pp $1,282 base $1,181 +0.5pp $1,079 +1.0pp $975

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$98,750
Closing costs
$11,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14676 Deervale Pl Sherman Oaks, CA 4.0 3.0 3441 $7,999 $2.32 25d 1 0.68mi
15434 Sutton St Sherman Oaks, CA 4.0 4.0 3477 $11,999 $3.45 44d 1 0.70mi
4818 Norwich Ave Sherman Oaks, CA 4.0 6.0 3459 $16,995 $4.91 44d 1 1.06mi
15438 Mulholland Dr Los Angeles, CA 4.0 5.0 4276 $25,000 $5.85 44d 1 1.07mi
14758 Morrison St Sherman Oaks, CA 4.0 4.5 3663 $22,000 $6.01 44d 1 1.26mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $395,000 Active 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $395,000 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $395,000 Active 70 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $395,000 Active 69 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $395,000 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $395,000 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $395,000 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $395,000 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $395,000 Active 58 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $395,000 Active 57 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $395,000 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $395,000 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $395,000 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-05-13
    listed $395,000 Active 1086-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1086 chars)

    Seller highly motivated. Accepting all offers. Rare development opportunity in prime Sherman Oaks, South of the Blvd. Approx. 6,300 sq ft lot with LADBS-approved plans for a luxury residence. Approved plans include approximately 4,800 sq ft total living space. Lower level (street level) approx. 2,400 sq ft basement with flexibility for buyer modifications and additional rooms. Upper level includes 3 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, approximately an additional 2,400 sq ft. Approved design features include approx. 24 ft building height and 96 ft length with rooftop deck potential. Caissons and grading completed; permits issued and plan check fees paid. Buyer to take over and complete construction. Seller provides approved plans, completed work to date, LADBS inspection approvals, soil engineering report, and survey report. Per permit requirements, four oak trees must be planted after completion of construction. Excellent location near shops, dining, and schools. Buyer to verify all information and development potential. Property visible from street; showings by appointment only.

  15. 2026-04-27
    price $395,000 1086-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1086 chars)

    Seller highly motivated. Accepting all offers. Rare development opportunity in prime Sherman Oaks, South of the Blvd. Approx. 6,300 sq ft lot with LADBS-approved plans for a luxury residence. Approved plans include approximately 4,800 sq ft total living space. Lower level (street level) approx. 2,400 sq ft basement with flexibility for buyer modifications and additional rooms. Upper level includes 3 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, approximately an additional 2,400 sq ft. Approved design features include approx. 24 ft building height and 96 ft length with rooftop deck potential. Caissons and grading completed; permits issued and plan check fees paid. Buyer to take over and complete construction. Seller provides approved plans, completed work to date, LADBS inspection approvals, soil engineering report, and survey report. Per permit requirements, four oak trees must be planted after completion of construction. Excellent location near shops, dining, and schools. Buyer to verify all information and development potential. Property visible from street; showings by appointment only.

  16. 2026-04-13
    price $440,000 1086-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1086 chars)

    Seller highly motivated. Accepting all offers. Rare development opportunity in prime Sherman Oaks, South of the Blvd. Approx. 6,300 sq ft lot with LADBS-approved plans for a luxury residence. Approved plans include approximately 4,800 sq ft total living space. Lower level (street level) approx. 2,400 sq ft basement with flexibility for buyer modifications and additional rooms. Upper level includes 3 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, approximately an additional 2,400 sq ft. Approved design features include approx. 24 ft building height and 96 ft length with rooftop deck potential. Caissons and grading completed; permits issued and plan check fees paid. Buyer to take over and complete construction. Seller provides approved plans, completed work to date, LADBS inspection approvals, soil engineering report, and survey report. Per permit requirements, four oak trees must be planted after completion of construction. Excellent location near shops, dining, and schools. Buyer to verify all information and development potential. Property visible from street; showings by appointment only.

  17. 2026-04-03
    listed $480,000 Active 1086-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1086 chars)

    Seller highly motivated. Accepting all offers. Rare development opportunity in prime Sherman Oaks, South of the Blvd. Approx. 6,300 sq ft lot with LADBS-approved plans for a luxury residence. Approved plans include approximately 4,800 sq ft total living space. Lower level (street level) approx. 2,400 sq ft basement with flexibility for buyer modifications and additional rooms. Upper level includes 3 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, approximately an additional 2,400 sq ft. Approved design features include approx. 24 ft building height and 96 ft length with rooftop deck potential. Caissons and grading completed; permits issued and plan check fees paid. Buyer to take over and complete construction. Seller provides approved plans, completed work to date, LADBS inspection approvals, soil engineering report, and survey report. Per permit requirements, four oak trees must be planted after completion of construction. Excellent location near shops, dining, and schools. Buyer to verify all information and development potential. Property visible from street; showings by appointment only.

  18. 2025-12-01
    historical
  19. 2025-10-28
    price $579,000
  20. 2025-10-14
    status Active
  21. 2025-09-26
    historical Active Under Contract
  22. 2025-08-28
    price $599,000
  23. 2025-08-14
    listed $699,000 Active
  24. 2025-06-03
    historical
  25. 2025-03-11
    listed $700,000 Active
  26. 2025-02-28
    historical
  27. 2025-02-26
    price $749,000
  28. 2025-01-22
    price $799,000
  29. 2024-12-05
    listed $850,000 Active
  30. 2018-10-15
    historical
  31. 2018-10-15
    historical
  32. 2018-09-13
    listed $599,000 Active
  33. 2018-09-13
    listed $599,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$59,407
− Mortgage interest
−$22,126
− Property taxes
−$5,925
− Insurance
−$1,975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,753
− Management
−$4,753
− Depreciation
−$11,491
Taxable income
$8,385
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,012
After-tax cash flow
$12,162/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Los Angeles Unified
NCES district ID
0622710
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$50,403
Composite
35.67/100
National rank
#4875
State rank
#223 of 517 in CA

Livability — Los Angeles

Score
68/100
State rank
#273
US rank
#9237

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment B Housing B- Health & safety C- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Los Angeles, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
3,838,149
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
25,793
Household income
$116,170
Rent vs Own
55.3% rent · 44.7% own
Severe rent burden
1750.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 13% Asian 7% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 8% Romanian 4% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, South Korea, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
67% English-only · Other Indo-European 10% Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.33%
Current HPI
441.2872
Rent YoY
▼ -0.56%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-34.1% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $395,000 TheMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $395,000 TheMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $440,000 TheMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $480,000 TheMLS
  • 2025-12-01 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-10-28 Price Changed $579,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-10-14 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2025-09-26 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2025-08-28 Price Changed $599,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-08-14 Listed $699,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-06-03 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-03-11 Listed $700,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-02-28 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-02-26 Price Changed $749,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-01-22 Price Changed $799,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-12-05 Listed $850,000 CRMLS
  • 2018-10-15 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2018-10-15 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2018-09-13 Listed $599,000 SDMLS
  • 2018-09-13 Listed $599,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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