631 6th Ave S · Clinton, IA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well-maintained 2-bedroom investment property featuring a 1-car garage, private patio, and fully fenced yard. Ideal for investors or owner-occupants. 24 hours notice needed.
Key facts
- Private patio
- Fully fenced yard
- 4,200 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($772 rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 6.7% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#222 in IA, #4,192 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D, employment D.
- Clinton Community School District (town): math 52% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #273 of 289 in IA (top 94%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 116 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Clinton County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $60k implies a 179% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.44%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $48,283
- List price
- $59,900
- Delta
- 24.06%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 729 S 8th St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 988 (+6%) | 3mo | $92,700 | $94 | 76 |
| 515 1st Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 917 (-2%) | 6mo | $96,500 | $105 | 71 |
| 204 Adams Pl | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 847 (-10%) | 1mo | $78,400 | $93 | 61 |
| 907 11th Ave S | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 882 (-6%) | 6mo | $94,900 | $108 | 60 |
| 624 9th Ave S | 0.21mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,016 (+8%) | 5mo | $37,500 | $37 | 59 |
| 1302 S 10th St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 938 (+0%) | 9mo | $86,000 | $92 | 59 |
| 435 3rd Ave N | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 918 (-2%) | 10mo | $56,000 | $61 | 59 |
| 528 2nd Ave S | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 | 1,046 (+12%) | 9mo | $85,000 | $81 | 51 |
| 1304 S 10th St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (-13%) | 6mo | $92,500 | $113 | 40 |
| 1030 Grandview Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,024 (+9%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $122 | 38 |
| 912 13th Ave S | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,048 (+12%) | 11mo | $75,000 | $72 | 36 |
| 500 4th Ave N | 0.71mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 812 (-13%) | 5mo | $84,500 | $104 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $15,667
- Equity at exit
- $26,934
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.63×
- Total profit
- $44,080
- Equity at exit
- $41,508
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52372
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $772 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$139 /mo · $1,666/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$162
- Net cashflow
- $132
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $166 | -5% $149 | +0% $132 | +5% $115 | +10% $98 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $71 | -5% $101 | +0% $132 | +5% $162 | +10% $193 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $162 | -0.5pp $147 | base $132 | +0.5pp $116 | +1.0pp $101 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416 7th Ave S Unit C Clinton, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 773 | $700 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 516 2nd Ave S Unit 2 Clinton, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1082 | $750 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1216 9th Ave S Clinton, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 804 | $1,000 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-16status $59,900 Pending 127 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $59,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 113 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 112 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $59,900 Active 111 DOM
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2026-03-25price $59,900 173-char remark
Show marketing remark (173 chars)
Well-maintained 2-bedroom investment property featuring a 1-car garage, private patio, and fully fenced yard. Ideal for investors or owner-occupants. 24 hours notice needed.
-
2026-02-08$65,000 Active 173-char remark
Show marketing remark (173 chars)
Well-maintained 2-bedroom investment property featuring a 1-car garage, private patio, and fully fenced yard. Ideal for investors or owner-occupants. 24 hours notice needed.
-
2025-10-22historical
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2025-08-22price
-
2025-07-02status Active
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2025-07-02historical
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2025-04-21Active
-
2021-08-06historical
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2012-09-12soldstatus $21,500
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2012-09-12soldstatus $21,500
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2012-03-12$24,900
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2012-03-12$24,900
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2012-03-01historical
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2001-05-09soldstatus $36,000
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2001-03-14$39,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,666 · $139/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,666 · $139/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,263
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$1,666
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$741
- − Management
- −$741
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $717
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$172
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,411/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clinton Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1907710
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,900
- Composite
- 45.22/100
- National rank
- #2666
- State rank
- #273 of 289 in IA
Livability — Clinton
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #4192
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clinton, IA
Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,817 people
- By 2030
- 43,090 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 39,513 · -11.8%
- By 2050
- 36,209 · -19.2%
- By 2075
- 31,888 · -28.8%
- By 2100
- 30,382 · -32.2%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+53.6% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $59,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-08 Listed $65,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-22 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-22 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-02 Relisted — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-02 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-21 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-09-12 Sold (MLS) $21,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-09-12 Sold (MLS) $21,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-03-12 Listed $24,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-03-12 Listed $24,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-03-01 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-05-09 Sold (MLS) $36,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-03-14 Listed $39,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,666 · +53.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…