1663A Plan · Ormond Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.5
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home at Lot F12 blends comfort and style with an open layout, spacious kitchen, stainless steel appliances, and beautiful interior finishes. The master bath features a large walk-in shower and dual sinks, while energy-efficient upgrades add long-term value. Located in the welcoming Pinewood community, just minutes from Ormond Beach.
Key facts
- Dual sinks
- Spacious kitchen
- Open layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $575 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 3.9% in Ormond Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#55 in FL, #965 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Westside Elementary School (math 29% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,962 of 2,144 statewide, top 92%, 636 students, 83% FRL); David C. Hinson Sr. Middle School (math 52% / reading 49%, grade C, #246 of 571 statewide, top 44%, 950 students, 52% FRL); Mainland High School (math 30% / reading 37%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 1,855 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 51% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 361 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 63d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 335 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $51k (44%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 335 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.96%
- DSCR
- 2.69
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $120,000
- List price
- $64,900
- Delta
- -45.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 681 Wellington Station Blvd #4 | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,000 (+1%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $195 | 76 |
| 1615 Derbyshire Rd | 1.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,002 (+1%) | 1mo | $198,000 | $198 | 60 |
| 352 S Orchard St | 1.31mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-3%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $229 | 55 |
| 353 Chardon Rd | 0.77mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 952 (-4%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $226 | 49 |
| 1836 Linda Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,235 (+25%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $170 | 48 |
| 1759 Valencia Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,206 (+22%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $195 | 44 |
| 478 Jeannette Dr | 1.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 907 (-8%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $309 | 41 |
| 355 Fir St | 1.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,194 (+21%) | 1mo | $224,900 | $188 | 39 |
| 1318 San Jose Blvd | 1.49mi | 3/3.0 | 1,135 (+15%) | 1mo | $233,000 | $205 | 36 |
| 901 Kingsport Ct | 1.30mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,132 (+14%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $155 | 35 |
| 1723 Tallahassee Dr | 0.86mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,111 (+12%) | 2mo | $176,000 | $158 | 34 |
| 1020 Calle Grande St | 0.82mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,140 (+15%) | 2mo | $242,000 | $212 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.23×
- Total profit
- $22,322
- Equity at exit
- $9,677
- IRR
- 36.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.86×
- Total profit
- $51,994
- Equity at exit
- $5,611
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 31 active
- Median asking
- $49,900 ($52/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 1 d
- This list price
- 55% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +133.2% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 32714
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 361
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,295 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $974/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $575
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $620 | -5% $597 | +0% $575 | +5% $552 | +10% $530 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $473 | -5% $524 | +0% $575 | +5% $626 | +10% $677 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $608 | -0.5pp $591 | base $575 | +0.5pp $558 | +1.0pp $541 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 472 Bryant St Ormond Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $1,750 | $1.73 | 78d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1826 Carolina Ave Ormond Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1068 | $1,896 | $1.78 | 5d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1215 Alabama Ave Apt A Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1070 | $1,500 | $1.40 | 6d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1215 Alabama Ave Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1070 | $1,450 | $1.36 | 6d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1707 Evergreen St Ormond Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $1,750 | $2.02 | 119d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1615 Derbyshire Rd Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,950 | $1.95 | 110d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1681 Spring Garden Ct Holly Hill, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,600 | $1.59 | 62d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1088 W Granada Blvd Ormond Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,545 | $1.40 | 3d | 6 | 1.27mi |
| 410 Sauls St Ormond Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 119d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 340 Tropical Ln Ormond Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,695 | $1.79 | 62d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1559 Hammock Dr Unit B Holly Hill, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 62d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1571 Hancock Ln Holly Hill, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 921 | $1,350 | $1.47 | 62d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1563 Hancock Ln Holly Hill, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,350 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1563 Hancock Ln Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,475 | $1.62 | 106d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 946 15th St Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $1,500 | $1.49 | 119d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 125 S Orchard St Unit 207 Ormond Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,240 | $1.53 | 87d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 125 S Orchard St Unit 210 Ormond Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 819 | $1,240 | $1.51 | 6d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-22days on market $64,900 Active 335 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $64,900 Active 334 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $64,900 Active 333 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $64,900 Active 332 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $64,900 Active 331 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $64,900 Active 330 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $64,900 Active 329 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $64,900 Active 328 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $64,900 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $64,900 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $64,900 Active 325 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $64,900 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $64,900 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $64,900 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $64,900 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $64,900 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $64,900 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $64,900 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $64,900 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $64,900 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $64,900 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $64,900 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $64,900 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $64,900 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $64,900 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $64,900 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $64,900 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $64,900 Active 299 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $64,900 Active 298 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $64,900 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $64,900 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $64,900 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $64,900 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $64,900 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $64,900 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $64,900 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $64,900 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $64,900 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $64,900 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $64,900 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $64,900 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $64,900 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $64,900 Active 282 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $64,900 Active 280 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $64,900 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $64,900 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $64,900 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $64,900 Active 275 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $64,900 Active 274 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $64,900 Active 273 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,546
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$974
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,244
- − Management
- −$1,244
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $6,237
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,497
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,402/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home in the Pinewood community is in excellent condition with modern finishes and energy-efficient upgrades. It's move-in ready and offers a great value for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value. ↑
- Both Add a small patio or deck — Improves outdoor living space and adds value. ↑
- Both Install smart home features — Enhances comfort and adds value for potential buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Volusia
- NCES district ID
- 1201920
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,946
- Composite
- 39.2/100
- National rank
- #4019
- State rank
- #47 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ormond Beach
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #965
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Seminole County · 572,749 people
- City population
- 69,624
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,905
- Household income
- $70,955
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 17% of renters
Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 572,749 people
- By 2030
- 598,695 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 644,880 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 681,451 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 759,957 · +32.7%
- By 2100
- 778,902 · +36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 17% Black 17% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 3% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Hispanic 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Volusia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -200.78%
- Current HPI
- 338.6894
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.79%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-44.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $64,900 Zillow
- 2026-01-01 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $74,900 Zillow
- 2025-09-27 Price Changed $79,900 Zillow
- 2025-07-26 Price Changed $84,900 Zillow
- 2025-07-11 Listed $115,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…