1663A Plan · Ormond Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home at Lot F12 blends comfort and style with an open layout, spacious kitchen, stainless steel appliances, and beautiful interior finishes. The master bath features a large walk-in shower and dual sinks, while energy-efficient upgrades add long-term value. Located in the welcoming Pinewood community, just minutes from Ormond Beach.
Key facts
- Dual sinks
- Spacious kitchen
- Open layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $920 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.3% vs local median 3.9% in Ormond Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#55 in FL, #965 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 257 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 239 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $51k (44%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 239 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.72%
- DSCR
- 3.70
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $43,000
- Equity at exit
- $9,677
- IRR
- 60.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.14×
- Total profit
- $93,350
- Equity at exit
- $5,611
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32714
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 257
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,732 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $974/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $920
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1707 Evergreen St Ormond Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $1,750 | $2.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1615 Derbyshire Rd Daytona Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,950 | $1.95 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1088 W Granada Blvd Ormond Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,570 | $1.65 | 11d | 8 | 1.27mi |
| 410 Sauls St Ormond Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1559 Hammock Dr Unit B Holly Hill, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,375 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1563 Hancock Ln Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,475 | $1.62 | 11d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 946 15th St Daytona Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $1,500 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,900 Active 239 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $64,900 Active 238 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $64,900 Active 237 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $64,900 Active 236 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $64,900 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $64,900 Active 231 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $64,900 Active 230 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $64,900 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,900 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $64,900 Active 225 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $64,900 Active 224 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $64,900 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $64,900 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,900 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,900 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-04-15status Active 370-char remark
Show marketing remark (370 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home at Lot F12 blends comfort and style with an open layout, spacious kitchen, stainless steel appliances, and beautiful interior finishes. The master bath features a large walk-in shower and dual sinks, while energy-efficient upgrades add long-term value. Located in the welcoming Pinewood community, just minutes from Ormond Beach.
-
2026-04-15price $64,900 370-char remark
Show marketing remark (370 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home at Lot F12 blends comfort and style with an open layout, spacious kitchen, stainless steel appliances, and beautiful interior finishes. The master bath features a large walk-in shower and dual sinks, while energy-efficient upgrades add long-term value. Located in the welcoming Pinewood community, just minutes from Ormond Beach.
-
2026-01-01historical 370-char remark
Show marketing remark (370 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home at Lot F12 blends comfort and style with an open layout, spacious kitchen, stainless steel appliances, and beautiful interior finishes. The master bath features a large walk-in shower and dual sinks, while energy-efficient upgrades add long-term value. Located in the welcoming Pinewood community, just minutes from Ormond Beach.
-
2025-11-13price $74,900 370-char remark
Show marketing remark (370 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home at Lot F12 blends comfort and style with an open layout, spacious kitchen, stainless steel appliances, and beautiful interior finishes. The master bath features a large walk-in shower and dual sinks, while energy-efficient upgrades add long-term value. Located in the welcoming Pinewood community, just minutes from Ormond Beach.
-
2025-09-27price $79,900 370-char remark
Show marketing remark (370 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home at Lot F12 blends comfort and style with an open layout, spacious kitchen, stainless steel appliances, and beautiful interior finishes. The master bath features a large walk-in shower and dual sinks, while energy-efficient upgrades add long-term value. Located in the welcoming Pinewood community, just minutes from Ormond Beach.
-
2025-07-26price $84,900 370-char remark
Show marketing remark (370 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home at Lot F12 blends comfort and style with an open layout, spacious kitchen, stainless steel appliances, and beautiful interior finishes. The master bath features a large walk-in shower and dual sinks, while energy-efficient upgrades add long-term value. Located in the welcoming Pinewood community, just minutes from Ormond Beach.
-
2025-07-11$115,900 Active 370-char remark
Show marketing remark (370 chars)
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home at Lot F12 blends comfort and style with an open layout, spacious kitchen, stainless steel appliances, and beautiful interior finishes. The master bath features a large walk-in shower and dual sinks, while energy-efficient upgrades add long-term value. Located in the welcoming Pinewood community, just minutes from Ormond Beach.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,780
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$974
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,662
- − Management
- −$1,662
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $10,634
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,552
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,482/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home in the Pinewood community is in excellent condition with modern finishes and energy-efficient upgrades. It's move-in ready and offers a great value for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value.
- Both Add a small patio or deck — Improves outdoor living space and adds value.
- Both Install smart home features — Enhances comfort and adds value for potential buyers/renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value. ↑
- Both Add a small patio or deck — Improves outdoor living space and adds value. ↑
- Both Install smart home features — Enhances comfort and adds value for potential buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Volusia
- NCES district ID
- 1201920
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,946
- Composite
- 39.2/100
- National rank
- #4019
- State rank
- #47 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ormond Beach
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #965
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Seminole County · 436,154 people
- City population
- 69,624
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,905
- Household income
- $70,955
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1961.0
Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 572,749 people
- By 2030
- 598,695 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 644,880 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 681,451 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 759,957 · +32.7%
- By 2100
- 778,902 · +36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 17% Black 17% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 3% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Hispanic 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Volusia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -200.78%
- Current HPI
- 338.6894
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.79%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-44.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $64,900 Zillow
- 2026-01-01 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $74,900 Zillow
- 2025-09-27 Price Changed $79,900 Zillow
- 2025-07-26 Price Changed $84,900 Zillow
- 2025-07-11 Listed $115,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…