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13160 Montville Pl
D+ Composite 47.26
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$25,000

13160 Montville Pl · Detroit, MI 48238
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 938 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1924 3,485 sqft lot $27/sqft · 7% below area Est $27k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch with a covered front porch and a privacy fenced yard. This property has good bones but will require significant work and updates throughout. An investor special with plenty of opportunity for renovation, cleanout, and improvements—ideal for those looking for a project with potential.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Privacy fenced yard
  • 3,485 sq ft lot

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHPRIVACY FENCED YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $664 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $24k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 38.1% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 348 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.2% of price; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $23,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.52%
Cap rate
38.14%
Cash-on-cash
113.75%
DSCR
6.06
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$26,956
List price
$25,000
Delta
-7.26%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2505 La Belle St 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,027 (+10%) 2mo $25,000 $24 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.99×
Total profit
$41,940
Equity at exit
$3,728
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.32×
Total profit
$107,251
Equity at exit
$2,162

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48238

Home prices YoY
-14.4%
Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
348
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,129 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,043/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$237
Net cashflow
$664

Break-even live

Break-even rent $289
Max offer price $25,000
Occupancy floor 36%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $678 -5% $671 +0% $664 +5% $656 +10% $649
Rent -10% $574 -5% $619 +0% $664 +5% $708 +10% $753
Rate -1.0pp $676 -0.5pp $670 base $664 +0.5pp $657 +1.0pp $650

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13639 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $695 $0.87 12d 1 0.24mi
2433 Pasadena St Unit 2435 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,025 $1.46 44d 1 0.30mi
2285 Cortland St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 17d 1 0.44mi
2676 Sturtevant St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 25d 1 0.50mi
2638 Richton St Unit 2638 Richton Upper Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 0.56mi
2023 Tuxedo St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,050 $1.11 25d 1 0.67mi
2034 Ewald Cir Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $995 $0.99 6d 1 0.78mi
3783 Tyler St Unit Lower Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 44d 1 0.90mi
3824 Tyler St Apt 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,523 $1.69 17d 1 0.93mi
3812 W Grand St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,025 $0.93 17d 1 0.95mi
127 W Buena Vista St Unit 129 Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 44d 1 0.97mi
4045 Clements St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 850 $1,150 $1.35 44d 1 1.01mi
4045 Clements St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 850 $1,150 $1.35 25d 1 1.01mi
4203 Tyler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $895 $0.94 44d 1 1.08mi
1427 Calvert Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,850 $1.68 25d 1 1.11mi
1427 Calvert Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,750 $1.59 44d 1 1.11mi
3226 Calvert Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 13d 1 1.14mi
27 Pasadena St Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $825 $0.92 44d 1 1.18mi
1251 Glynn Ct Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 705 $1,288 $1.83 3d 2 1.19mi
4268 Cortland St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 44d 1 1.20mi
15906 Alden St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1030 $1,150 $1.12 17d 1 1.29mi
3295 Rochester St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 782 $850 $1.09 44d 1 1.34mi
3295 Rochester St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 5d 1 1.34mi
14950 Stoepel St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 600 $900 $1.50 25d 1 1.34mi
16174 Princeton St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 985 $1,100 $1.12 44d 1 1.36mi
16174 Princeton St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 985 $1,100 $1.12 20d 1 1.36mi
2690 Ewald Cir Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 25d 4 1.38mi
9 Woodland St Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 637 $1,090 $1.71 17d 8 1.41mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $25,000 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $25,000 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $25,000 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $25,000 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $25,000 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $25,000 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $25,000 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $25,000 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $25,000 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $25,000 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $25,000 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $25,000 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $25,000 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $25,000 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-04-09
    listed $25,000 Active 314-char remark
    Show marketing remark (310 chars)

    2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch with a covered front porch and a privacy fenced yard. This property has good bones but will require significant work and updates throughout. An investor special with plenty of opportunity for renovation, cleanout, and improvements - ideal for those looking for a project with potential.

  16. 2026-04-09
    listed $25,000 Active 310-char remark
    Show marketing remark (310 chars)

    2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch with a covered front porch and a privacy fenced yard. This property has good bones but will require significant work and updates throughout. An investor special with plenty of opportunity for renovation, cleanout, and improvements - ideal for those looking for a project with potential.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,043 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,043 · $87/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,549
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$1,043
− Insurance
−$125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,084
− Management
−$1,084
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$8,085
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,940
After-tax cash flow
$6,022/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,731
Household income
$33,315
Rent vs Own
53.0% rent · 47.0% own
Severe rent burden
2172.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -31.96%
Current HPI
189.6227
Rent YoY
▲ 6.14%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,043 · -53.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…