6323 W Adams St · Waveland, MS
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great starter home or investment property! Located on a corner lot, this 3 bdrm, 2 bath home is ready for its new family.
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2013
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached 2-car garage; Driveway with paved surface
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available and connected; Water and sewer available and connected
- Home design: Single-family residence (house); One story
- Construction: Vinyl exterior; Shingle roof; Pilings/steel/wood foundation; Building area about 1,005 (assessor)
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 100
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling (central air)
- Interior features: Move-in ready condition; Refrigerator included
- Laundry & utility: Independent laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($834/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 2.5% in Waveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#199 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Hancock County School District (rural): math 47% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #23 of 130 in MS (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: South Hancock Elementary School (math 34% / reading 32%, grade F, #168 of 375 statewide, top 45%, 535 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 58% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hancock County School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 610 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 248 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hancock County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.47%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $119,595
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6321 W Adams St | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,005 (0%) | 2mo | $99,900 | $99 | 98 |
| 6029 W Hinds St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (-0%) | 8mo | $119,000 | $119 | 66 |
| 6038 W Adams St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,086 (+8%) | 13mo | $110,000 | $101 | 49 |
| 6138 E Desoto St | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 950 (-6%) | 16mo | $119,900 | $126 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-11,347
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-3,086
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39520
- Active inventory
- 610
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,464 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,206/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $69
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $126 | -5% $97 | +0% $69 | +5% $41 | +10% $13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-46 | -5% $12 | +0% $69 | +5% $127 | +10% $185 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $119 | -0.5pp $95 | base $69 | +0.5pp $44 | +1.0pp $18 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8016 Lowndes St Bay St Louis, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1083 | $1,250 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 6227 E Newton St Bay St Louis, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,450 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 6225 E Newton St Bay Saint Louis, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,450 | $1.36 | 12d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 6095 E Lamar St Bay Saint Louis, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $1,645 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 6004 E Jackson St Bay Saint Louis, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1329 | $1,700 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 122-char remark
-
2026-06-18$99,000 Pending 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,206 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,206 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,573
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,206
- − Insurance
- −$5,614
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,406
- − Management
- −$1,406
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable loss
- −$483
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$116
- After-tax cash flow
- $950/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hancock County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801740
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,971
- Composite
- 38.88/100
- National rank
- #4099
- State rank
- #23 of 130 in MS
Livability — Waveland
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #18110
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 6,249
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,471
Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 52,161 people
- By 2030
- 54,753 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 59,242 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 62,417 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 68,168 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 69,212 · +32.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Romanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hancock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.7) · D 20.1% · R 78.8% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.4pp toward R · 2008: -54.2pp · 2024: -58.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.7 2020: R+55.5 2016: R+59.4 2012: R+52.8 2008: R+54.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -169.80%
- Current HPI
- 227.2103
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-06-17 Listed $99,000 MLSU
Property tax history
+33.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,206 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…