21640 Jacksonville St · Farmington Hills, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Unique Investment opportunity. This home is fire damaged throughout and in need of rehab of teardown. The city of Farmington Hills is holding roughly $38000 to release to owner of record "Once the repairs/construction has been completed, all the appropriate permits pulled at the Building Department, inspected and approved permits, Final/Occupancy by the Building Official, the insurance withholding funds would then be released to the owner of record" Walk through video available upon request Buyer/Buyers agent to verify all information
Key facts
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- Built 1946
- Listed 12 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax information available
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation; Built area above grade 940 square feet
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.13 acres (54 x 105)
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Five total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.5% in Farmington Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#64 in MI, #1,364 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D, health & safety F.
- Farmington Public School District (urban): math 45% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #78 of 540 in MI (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $64k; list at $100k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.51%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $189,726
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21676 S Hamilton Ave E | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 600 (-3%) | 22mo | $72,000 | $120 | 70 |
| 21103 Ontaga St | 0.75mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 546 (-12%) | 14mo | $167,500 | $307 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $10,864
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.40×
- Total profit
- $67,118
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48336
- Rents YoY
- 10.8%
- Active inventory
- 156
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,316 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$158 /mo · $1,896/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $315
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28532 Grayling Ave Farmington Hills, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,395 | $1.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 27883 Independence St Farmington Hills, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $975 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 28530 Grayling Ave Farmington Hills, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,295 | $2.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 23210 Middlebelt Rd Unit 108 Farmington Hills, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,195 | $1.59 | 5d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 23210 Middlebelt Rd Farmington Hills, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,195 | $1.59 | 13d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 23210 Middlebelt Rd Unit 206 Farmington Hills, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,195 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 23210 Middlebelt Rd Unit 205 Farmington Hills, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,195 | $1.59 | 11d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 27045 Shiawassee Rd Southfield, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 705 | $1,450 | $2.06 | 18d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 23812 Middlebelt Rd Farmington Hills, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,110 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 541-char remark
-
2026-06-07$100,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,896 · $158/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,896 · $158/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,787
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,896
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,263
- − Management
- −$1,263
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $2,354
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$565
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,217/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Farmington Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614070
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,846
- Composite
- 46.17/100
- National rank
- #2497
- State rank
- #78 of 540 in MI
Livability — Farmington Hills
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #64
- US rank
- #1364
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Farmington Hills, MI
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 25,077
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,432
- Household income
- $88,938
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 733.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 13% Two or more races 7% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Arabic 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -273.86%
- Current HPI
- 177.4299
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.83%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+566.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-06 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-05-13 Sold (MLS) $64,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-05-13 Sold (MLS) $64,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-04-04 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2016-04-04 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-03-01 Listed $68,900 REALCOMP
- 2016-03-01 Listed $68,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1979-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,896 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…