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B+ Composite 78.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$55,000

1012 County Road 54 · Myrtle, MS 38650
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,064 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1985

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor or first time opportunity! This 1985 Single wide sits on a beautiful 1 acre private lot in Myrtle. than 5 minutes from Myrtle School. Plenty of space for your kids and pets. It is 2 bedrooms , 2 baths. It needs a remodel / upgrade / facelift . Selling AS IS so you can make it your own! We know it needs work but we are busy so letting it go to someone else. No appliances included . It is livable as is right now. Renovation would only add beauty and value !

Key facts

  • Private lot
  • 1 acre
  • Built 1985

Tags

PRIVATE LOT1 ACRE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $433 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($957 rent vs $55k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#105 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Union County School District (rural): math 54% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #13 of 130 in MS (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (7.9% local appreciation)).
  • Union County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (7.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $55,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
15.73%
Cash-on-cash
33.70%
DSCR
2.50
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.92% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.0%
Equity multiple
4.24×
Total profit
$49,886
Equity at exit
$41,467
10-year hold
IRR
42.3%
Equity multiple
9.07×
Total profit
$124,219
Equity at exit
$82,011

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38650

Home prices YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$957 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$12 /mo · $146/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$201
Net cashflow
$433

Break-even live

Break-even rent $410
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $55,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 468-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $55,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$146 · $12/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$435 · $36/mo
Expected delta
+$288/yr (+$24/mo · 196.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,485
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$146
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$919
− Management
−$919
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$4,545
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,091
After-tax cash flow
$4,100/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Union County School District
NCES district ID
2804350
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,935
Composite
42.49/100
National rank
#3209
State rank
#13 of 130 in MS

Livability — Myrtle

Score
65/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#12518

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,072

Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
30,992 people
By 2030
32,294 · +4.2%
By 2040
34,789 · +12.3%
By 2050
36,987 · +19.3%
By 2075
40,835 · +31.8%
By 2100
40,538 · +30.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 15%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Union

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.1) · D 14.5% · R 84.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.2pp toward R · 2008: -49.9pp · 2024: -70.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.1 2020: R+64.8 2016: R+63.2 2012: R+51.0 2008: R+49.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.92%
Current HPI
146.3352
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $55,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $146 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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