1012 County Road 54 · Myrtle, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor or first time opportunity! This 1985 Single wide sits on a beautiful 1 acre private lot in Myrtle. than 5 minutes from Myrtle School. Plenty of space for your kids and pets. It is 2 bedrooms , 2 baths. It needs a remodel / upgrade / facelift . Selling AS IS so you can make it your own! We know it needs work but we are busy so letting it go to someone else. No appliances included . It is livable as is right now. Renovation would only add beauty and value !
Key facts
- Private lot
- 1 acre
- Built 1985
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $433 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($957 rent vs $55k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#105 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Union County School District (rural): math 54% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #13 of 130 in MS (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (7.9% local appreciation)).
- Union County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (7.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.70%
- DSCR
- 2.50
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.92% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.24×
- Total profit
- $49,886
- Equity at exit
- $41,467
- IRR
- 42.3%
- Equity multiple
- 9.07×
- Total profit
- $124,219
- Equity at exit
- $82,011
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38650
- Home prices YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $957 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$12 /mo · $146/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$201
- Net cashflow
- $433
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $55,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 468-char remark
-
2026-06-17$55,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $146 · $12/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $435 · $36/mo
- Expected delta
- +$288/yr (+$24/mo · 196.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,485
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$146
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$919
- − Management
- −$919
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $4,545
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,091
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,100/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Union County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2804350
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,935
- Composite
- 42.49/100
- National rank
- #3209
- State rank
- #13 of 130 in MS
Livability — Myrtle
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #12518
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,072
Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,992 people
- By 2030
- 32,294 · +4.2%
- By 2040
- 34,789 · +12.3%
- By 2050
- 36,987 · +19.3%
- By 2075
- 40,835 · +31.8%
- By 2100
- 40,538 · +30.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 15%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Union
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+70.1) · D 14.5% · R 84.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.2pp toward R · 2008: -49.9pp · 2024: -70.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+70.1 2020: R+64.8 2016: R+63.2 2012: R+51.0 2008: R+49.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.92%
- Current HPI
- 146.3352
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $55,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $146 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…