2630 NW 19th Ave · Ocala, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Deal for a Veteran, family, or investor, 24x48 double-wide mobile home situated on a spacious quarter-acre lot. Fully updated, Electrical and plumbing, flooring, lighting, paint and sod. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is in great condition and offers a functional split floor plan, with breakfast nook and an inside laundry room for added convenience. Features include a large yard with plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment and a recently installed new A/C system for comfort and efficiency. New septic system. Ideal for full-time living or investment—schedule your showing today! * Front yard is sodded * * VA Eligible FHA/ conventional not eligible All measurements are approximate, buyers agent or buyer to verify all MLS information
Key facts
- Breakfast nook
- Large yard
- Inside laundry room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $203 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.2% in Ocala — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,568/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 923% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.81%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $19,000
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- 688.95%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-11,325
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $6,898
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34475
- Home prices YoY
- -8.0%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,568 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$329
- Net cashflow
- $203
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2150 NW 21st Ave Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 933 | $2,109 | $2.26 | 14d | 10 | 0.48mi |
| 1602 NW 20th Ct Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,500 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3903 NW Gainesville Rd Unit 3915 Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $1,250 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1908 NW 13th Pl Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,325 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4051 NW 19th Ave Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,800 | $1.48 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1140 NW 20th Ave Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,550 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 101 NW 23rd Pl Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 716 | $1,150 | $1.61 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1971 NW 43rd St Ocala, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 965 | $1,499 | $1.55 | 14d | 3 | 1.22mi |
| 1011 NW 42nd Ln Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $950 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1911 NW 6th St Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,400 | $1.60 | 14d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-31status $149,900 Pending 78 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $149,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $149,900 756-char remark
Show marketing remark (756 chars)
Great Deal for a Veteran, family, or investor, 24x48 double-wide mobile home situated on a spacious quarter-acre lot. Fully updated, Electrical and plumbing, flooring, lighting, paint and sod. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is in great condition and offers a functional split floor plan, with breakfast nook and an inside laundry room for added convenience. Features include a large yard with plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment and a recently installed new A/C system for comfort and efficiency. New septic system. Ideal for full-time living or investment—schedule your showing today! * Front yard is sodded * * VA Eligible FHA/ conventional not eligible All measurements are approximate, buyers agent or buyer to verify all MLS information
-
2026-04-28price $158,000 756-char remark
Show marketing remark (756 chars)
Great Deal for a Veteran, family, or investor, 24x48 double-wide mobile home situated on a spacious quarter-acre lot. Fully updated, Electrical and plumbing, flooring, lighting, paint and sod. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is in great condition and offers a functional split floor plan, with breakfast nook and an inside laundry room for added convenience. Features include a large yard with plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment and a recently installed new A/C system for comfort and efficiency. New septic system. Ideal for full-time living or investment—schedule your showing today! * Front yard is sodded * * VA Eligible FHA/ conventional not eligible All measurements are approximate, buyers agent or buyer to verify all MLS information
-
2026-04-21price $165,000 756-char remark
Show marketing remark (756 chars)
Great Deal for a Veteran, family, or investor, 24x48 double-wide mobile home situated on a spacious quarter-acre lot. Fully updated, Electrical and plumbing, flooring, lighting, paint and sod. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is in great condition and offers a functional split floor plan, with breakfast nook and an inside laundry room for added convenience. Features include a large yard with plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment and a recently installed new A/C system for comfort and efficiency. New septic system. Ideal for full-time living or investment—schedule your showing today! * Front yard is sodded * * VA Eligible FHA/ conventional not eligible All measurements are approximate, buyers agent or buyer to verify all MLS information
-
2026-04-21status Active 756-char remark
Show marketing remark (756 chars)
Great Deal for a Veteran, family, or investor, 24x48 double-wide mobile home situated on a spacious quarter-acre lot. Fully updated, Electrical and plumbing, flooring, lighting, paint and sod. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is in great condition and offers a functional split floor plan, with breakfast nook and an inside laundry room for added convenience. Features include a large yard with plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment and a recently installed new A/C system for comfort and efficiency. New septic system. Ideal for full-time living or investment—schedule your showing today! * Front yard is sodded * * VA Eligible FHA/ conventional not eligible All measurements are approximate, buyers agent or buyer to verify all MLS information
-
2026-02-10status Pending 756-char remark
Show marketing remark (756 chars)
Great Deal for a Veteran, family, or investor, 24x48 double-wide mobile home situated on a spacious quarter-acre lot. Fully updated, Electrical and plumbing, flooring, lighting, paint and sod. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is in great condition and offers a functional split floor plan, with breakfast nook and an inside laundry room for added convenience. Features include a large yard with plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment and a recently installed new A/C system for comfort and efficiency. New septic system. Ideal for full-time living or investment—schedule your showing today! * Front yard is sodded * * VA Eligible FHA/ conventional not eligible All measurements are approximate, buyers agent or buyer to verify all MLS information
-
2026-01-26price $158,900 756-char remark
Show marketing remark (756 chars)
Great Deal for a Veteran, family, or investor, 24x48 double-wide mobile home situated on a spacious quarter-acre lot. Fully updated, Electrical and plumbing, flooring, lighting, paint and sod. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is in great condition and offers a functional split floor plan, with breakfast nook and an inside laundry room for added convenience. Features include a large yard with plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment and a recently installed new A/C system for comfort and efficiency. New septic system. Ideal for full-time living or investment—schedule your showing today! * Front yard is sodded * * VA Eligible FHA/ conventional not eligible All measurements are approximate, buyers agent or buyer to verify all MLS information
-
2026-01-02$165,900 Active 756-char remark
Show marketing remark (756 chars)
Great Deal for a Veteran, family, or investor, 24x48 double-wide mobile home situated on a spacious quarter-acre lot. Fully updated, Electrical and plumbing, flooring, lighting, paint and sod. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is in great condition and offers a functional split floor plan, with breakfast nook and an inside laundry room for added convenience. Features include a large yard with plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment and a recently installed new A/C system for comfort and efficiency. New septic system. Ideal for full-time living or investment—schedule your showing today! * Front yard is sodded * * VA Eligible FHA/ conventional not eligible All measurements are approximate, buyers agent or buyer to verify all MLS information
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,822
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,248
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,506
- − Management
- −$1,506
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $55
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$13
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,425/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ocala
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #8461
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ocala, FL
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- City population
- 263,375
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,301
- Household income
- $30,174
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 923.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 30% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 13% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.26%
- Current HPI
- 254.6319
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-9.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $149,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $158,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $165,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-10 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-26 Price Changed $158,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-02 Listed $165,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $144 · +38.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…