Duplex
3216 B W Kansas · Midland, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Adorable two-bedroom, one -bath Duplex designed for low maintenance living. Idea for first time buyers, downsizers, or investors.
Key facts
- Built 1952
- Listed 32 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Duplex residential income property; Single-story
- Construction: Brick veneer exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Composition roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Electric range; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $89k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $678/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.6% vs local median 4.7% in Midland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#57 in TX, #2,192 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, commute D+, amenities D.
- Midland ISD (urban): math 34% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #477 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bonham El (math 36% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,965 of 4,322 statewide, top 46%, 640 students, 69% FRL); San Jacinto J H (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,036 of 1,662 statewide, top 63%, 829 students, 54% FRL); Midland H S (math 37% / reading 7%, grade F, #1,366 of 1,632 statewide, top 84%, 2,492 students, 44% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 113 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,504 units permitted in Midland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,494/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 938% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Midland County population projected at +83% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.80% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 65.26%
- DSCR
- 3.90
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 61.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.66×
- Total profit
- $66,383
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 65.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.91×
- Total profit
- $147,350
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79701
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,494 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$524
- Net cashflow
- $1,355
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,494 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,247 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,247 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,494 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5001 W Wadley Ave Midland, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1098 | $2,720 | $2.48 | 13d | 17 | 0.12mi |
| 3417 N Midland Dr Midland, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 887 | $1,624 | $1.83 | 13d | 13 | 0.65mi |
| 4805 Briarwood Ave Midland, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1028 | $2,285 | $2.22 | 13d | 18 | 1.02mi |
| 4600 Andrews Hwy Midland, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1117 | $2,590 | $2.32 | 44d | 5 | 1.25mi |
| 6000 Briarwood Ave Midland, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 996 | $2,856 | $2.87 | 13d | 28 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-30remarks 129-char remark
-
2026-05-30$89,000 Pending 32 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,928
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,335
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,394
- − Management
- −$2,394
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $15,785
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,788
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,474/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This two-bedroom, two-bathroom duplex requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathrooms, which would significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of updating
- Moderate kitchen countertops — dated and in need of updating
- Minor bathroom fixtures — basic and in need of updating
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen would appeal to buyers and renters
- Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathrooms would appeal to buyers and renters
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint would improve the home's appearance and appeal to buyers and renters
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of updating | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| kitchen countertops · dated and in need of updating | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · basic and in need of updating | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen would appeal to buyers and renters ↑
- Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathrooms would appeal to buyers and renters ↑
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint would improve the home's appearance and appeal to buyers and renters ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Midland ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4830570
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,457
- Composite
- 31.63/100
- National rank
- #5938
- State rank
- #477 of 826 in TX
Livability — Midland
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #2192
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Midland, TX
- County
- Midland County · 168,494 people
- City population
- 168,494
- Metro
- Midland, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,131
- Household income
- $57,346
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 938.0
Population outlook (Midland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 220,895 people
- By 2030
- 253,667 · +14.8%
- By 2040
- 325,498 · +47.4%
- By 2050
- 404,168 · +83.0%
- By 2075
- 609,802 · +176.1%
- By 2100
- 760,172 · +244.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 61% Two or more races 28% White 27% Black 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 57%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Ukrainian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 44%
Political lean MEDSL · Midland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.5) · D 19.3% · R 79.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -57.3pp · 2024: -60.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.5 2020: R+56.6 2016: R+55.2 2012: R+61.5 2008: R+57.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -227.32%
- Current HPI
- 234.6111
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.74%
- Metro
- Midland, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Pending — PBBOR
- 2026-05-14 Contingent — PBBOR
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — PBBOR
- 2026-05-01 Delisted — PBBOR
- 2026-04-22 Listed $89,000 PBBOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…