7641 New Kings Rd · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Amazing opportunity in growing commercial/ residential area. PRIME LOCATION! Property is located near a very busy right of way at the intersection of Soutel and New kings Rd. Uses of this property is limitless. Quaint and full of charm. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home is more than what meets the eye. Original hardwood floors,Ceramic tile, stainless steel appliances in kitchen,Bar/game room, separate brick workshop in rear of mainhouse. Lots of storage space.Split floor plan with large Master bedroom.Sits on 1/4 acre Zoned CCG-2. BRAND NEW ROOF!!!!
Key facts
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1952
- Listed 81 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Covered carport (3 spaces)
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: 220V in garage; Septic tank; Cable available; Electricity available; Water available
- Home design: Single family residence; One-story; Faces west; Used as residential single-family
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Covered, screened porch; Covered patio; Chain link fencing; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (Electric, Heat Pump); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Smoke detectors
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $287 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 546 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $155k implies a 812% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.92%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $280,112
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5985 Dunmire Ave | 0.31mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,665 (-2%) | 6mo | $268,017 | $161 | 65 |
| 7836 Smart Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,813 (+6%) | 7mo | $285,000 | $157 | 61 |
| 7500 Queensgate Cir | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,607 (-6%) | 4mo | $299,990 | $187 | 58 |
| 7924 Longspur Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,582 (-7%) | 5mo | $58,000 | $37 | 57 |
| 7038 Bishop Hatcher Dr W | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,696 (-1%) | 8mo | $239,900 | $141 | 57 |
| 7476 Queensgate Cir | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (-6%) | 5mo | $280,000 | $175 | 55 |
| 7496 Queensgate Cir | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,607 (-6%) | 7mo | $290,990 | $181 | 55 |
| 7581 Dove Rd | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,760 (+3%) | 2mo | $287,500 | $163 | 55 |
| 5226 Dostie Dr | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 | 1,804 (+6%) | 7mo | $267,500 | $148 | 54 |
| 7471 Queensgate Cir | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,607 (-6%) | 8mo | $292,990 | $182 | 52 |
| 7388 Simms Dr | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,525 (-11%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $164 | 47 |
| 7442 Richardson Rd | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,525 (-11%) | 5mo | $290,000 | $190 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-11,840
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-6,026
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32219
- Home prices YoY
- -22.3%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 546
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,703 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$182 /mo · $2,179/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $287
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8036 Mattox Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $1,480 | $1.28 | 16d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 8119 Siskin Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 17d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 8119 Siskin Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $1,650 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 8367 Tubman Ct Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1398 | $1,790 | $1.28 | 17d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4895 Churchill Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 8645 Samona Dr W Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 7860 Rondo Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,410 | $1.33 | 7d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4910 Rhode Island Dr N Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,696 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6705 Gaspar Cir E Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1116 | $1,254 | $1.12 | 17d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 6718 Gaspar Cir W Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,305 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 6609 Miriam St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,425 | $1.19 | 7d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 9340 Sibbald Rd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,606 | $1.31 | 4d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 6623 Kinlock Dr W Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2081 | $1,610 | $0.77 | 4d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 6731 W Virginia Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1188 | $1,225 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 8534 Addison Rd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,995 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8509 Addison Rd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1494 | $1,675 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 9504 Evesham Rd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1966 | $1,645 | $0.84 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4737 Portsmouth Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $1,148 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 6412 New Kings Rd Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 6412 New Kings Rd Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 17d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4643 Williamsburg Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1209 | $1,496 | $1.24 | 3d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 8516 Bermuda Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $1,625 | $1.09 | 20d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 4662 Roanoke Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,195 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 6188 Pettiford Dr W Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1499 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 12d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-22status Active
-
2026-03-29status Pending
-
2026-03-24price $155,000
-
2026-03-19status Active
-
2026-03-12status Pending
-
2026-03-10price $165,000
-
2026-03-10status Active
-
2026-01-19historical
-
2025-11-18$175,000 Active
-
2019-02-02historical 548-char remark
Show marketing remark (548 chars)
Amazing opportunity in growing commercial/ residential area. PRIME LOCATION! Property is located near a very busy right of way at the intersection of Soutel and New kings Rd. Uses of this property is limitless. Quaint and full of charm. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home is more than what meets the eye. Original hardwood floors,Ceramic tile, stainless steel appliances in kitchen,Bar/game room, separate brick workshop in rear of mainhouse. Lots of storage space.Split floor plan with large Master bedroom.Sits on 1/4 acre Zoned CCG-2. BRAND NEW ROOF!!!!
-
2018-11-08price $124,900 548-char remark
Show marketing remark (548 chars)
Amazing opportunity in growing commercial/ residential area. PRIME LOCATION! Property is located near a very busy right of way at the intersection of Soutel and New kings Rd. Uses of this property is limitless. Quaint and full of charm. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home is more than what meets the eye. Original hardwood floors,Ceramic tile, stainless steel appliances in kitchen,Bar/game room, separate brick workshop in rear of mainhouse. Lots of storage space.Split floor plan with large Master bedroom.Sits on 1/4 acre Zoned CCG-2. BRAND NEW ROOF!!!!
-
2018-10-09price $145,000 548-char remark
Show marketing remark (548 chars)
Amazing opportunity in growing commercial/ residential area. PRIME LOCATION! Property is located near a very busy right of way at the intersection of Soutel and New kings Rd. Uses of this property is limitless. Quaint and full of charm. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home is more than what meets the eye. Original hardwood floors,Ceramic tile, stainless steel appliances in kitchen,Bar/game room, separate brick workshop in rear of mainhouse. Lots of storage space.Split floor plan with large Master bedroom.Sits on 1/4 acre Zoned CCG-2. BRAND NEW ROOF!!!!
-
2018-08-03$150,000 Active 548-char remark
Show marketing remark (548 chars)
Amazing opportunity in growing commercial/ residential area. PRIME LOCATION! Property is located near a very busy right of way at the intersection of Soutel and New kings Rd. Uses of this property is limitless. Quaint and full of charm. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home is more than what meets the eye. Original hardwood floors,Ceramic tile, stainless steel appliances in kitchen,Bar/game room, separate brick workshop in rear of mainhouse. Lots of storage space.Split floor plan with large Master bedroom.Sits on 1/4 acre Zoned CCG-2. BRAND NEW ROOF!!!!
-
1973-05-25soldstatus $17,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,179 · $182/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,179 · $182/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,439
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$2,179
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,635
- − Management
- −$1,635
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $1,023
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$246
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,193/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,302
- Household income
- $72,184
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 173.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 39% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.90%
- Current HPI
- 263.8901
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.25%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+811.8% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Relisted — realMLS
- 2026-03-29 Pending — realMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $155,000 realMLS
- 2026-03-19 Relisted — realMLS
- 2026-03-12 Pending — realMLS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $165,000 realMLS
- 2026-03-10 Relisted — realMLS
- 2026-01-19 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2025-11-18 Listed $175,000 realMLS
- 2019-02-02 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2018-11-08 Price Changed $124,900 realMLS
- 2018-10-09 Price Changed $145,000 realMLS
- 2018-08-03 Listed $150,000 realMLS
- 1973-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,179 · +284.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…