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7641 New Kings Rd
C+ Composite 64.9
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

7641 New Kings Rd · Jacksonville, FL 32219
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,708 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 81 Days on market
Built 1952 Est $280k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Amazing opportunity in growing commercial/ residential area. PRIME LOCATION! Property is located near a very busy right of way at the intersection of Soutel and New kings Rd. Uses of this property is limitless. Quaint and full of charm. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home is more than what meets the eye. Original hardwood floors,Ceramic tile, stainless steel appliances in kitchen,Bar/game room, separate brick workshop in rear of mainhouse. Lots of storage space.Split floor plan with large Master bedroom.Sits on 1/4 acre Zoned CCG-2. BRAND NEW ROOF!!!!

Key facts

  • 3 parking spots
  • Built 1952
  • Listed 81 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered carport (3 spaces)
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: 220V in garage; Septic tank; Cable available; Electricity available; Water available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-story; Faces west; Used as residential single-family
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Covered, screened porch; Covered patio; Chain link fencing; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (Electric, Heat Pump); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Smoke detectors
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $287 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 546 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $17k; list at $155k implies a 812% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.51%
Cash-on-cash
7.92%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$280,112
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5985 Dunmire Ave 0.31mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,665 (-2%) 6mo $268,017 $161 65
7836 Smart Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,813 (+6%) 7mo $285,000 $157 61
7500 Queensgate Cir 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,607 (-6%) 4mo $299,990 $187 58
7924 Longspur Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,582 (-7%) 5mo $58,000 $37 57
7038 Bishop Hatcher Dr W 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,696 (-1%) 8mo $239,900 $141 57
7476 Queensgate Cir 0.44mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (-6%) 5mo $280,000 $175 55
7496 Queensgate Cir 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,607 (-6%) 7mo $290,990 $181 55
7581 Dove Rd 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,760 (+3%) 2mo $287,500 $163 55
5226 Dostie Dr 0.52mi 3/2.5 1,804 (+6%) 7mo $267,500 $148 54
7471 Queensgate Cir 0.48mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,607 (-6%) 8mo $292,990 $182 52
7388 Simms Dr 0.47mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,525 (-11%) 5mo $250,000 $164 47
7442 Richardson Rd 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,525 (-11%) 5mo $290,000 $190 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.6%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-11,840
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
-2.4%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-6,026
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32219

Home prices YoY
-22.3%
Rents YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
546
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,703 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$182 /mo · $2,179/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$287

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,340
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8036 Mattox Ave Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1160 $1,480 $1.28 16d 1 0.46mi
8119 Siskin Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1102 $1,650 $1.50 17d 1 0.54mi
8119 Siskin Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1102 $1,650 $1.50 23d 1 0.54mi
8367 Tubman Ct Jacksonville, FL 4.0 1.5 1398 $1,790 $1.28 17d 1 0.71mi
4895 Churchill Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1303 $1,900 $1.46 23d 1 0.85mi
8645 Samona Dr W Jacksonville, FL 4.0 1.0 1196 $1,250 $1.05 23d 1 0.86mi
7860 Rondo Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1064 $1,410 $1.33 7d 1 0.87mi
4910 Rhode Island Dr N Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,696 $1.30 23d 1 0.88mi
6705 Gaspar Cir E Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.5 1116 $1,254 $1.12 17d 1 0.89mi
6718 Gaspar Cir W Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1068 $1,305 $1.22 23d 1 0.90mi
6609 Miriam St Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,425 $1.19 7d 1 1.02mi
9340 Sibbald Rd Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1228 $1,606 $1.31 4d 1 1.05mi
6623 Kinlock Dr W Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 2081 $1,610 $0.77 4d 1 1.09mi
6731 W Virginia Ct Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1188 $1,225 $1.03 21d 1 1.11mi
8534 Addison Rd Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1410 $1,995 $1.41 23d 1 1.15mi
8509 Addison Rd Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1494 $1,675 $1.12 23d 1 1.19mi
9504 Evesham Rd Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1966 $1,645 $0.84 23d 1 1.26mi
4737 Portsmouth Ave Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1396 $1,148 $0.82 23d 1 1.27mi
6412 New Kings Rd Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 17d 1 1.28mi
6412 New Kings Rd Unit 2 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 17d 1 1.28mi
4643 Williamsburg Ave Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1209 $1,496 $1.24 3d 1 1.30mi
8516 Bermuda Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1492 $1,625 $1.09 20d 1 1.40mi
4662 Roanoke Blvd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1104 $1,195 $1.08 14d 1 1.48mi
6188 Pettiford Dr W Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1499 $1,850 $1.23 12d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    status Active
  2. 2026-03-29
    status Pending
  3. 2026-03-24
    price $155,000
  4. 2026-03-19
    status Active
  5. 2026-03-12
    status Pending
  6. 2026-03-10
    price $165,000
  7. 2026-03-10
    status Active
  8. 2026-01-19
    historical
  9. 2025-11-18
    listed $175,000 Active
  10. 2019-02-02
    historical 548-char remark
    Show marketing remark (548 chars)

    Amazing opportunity in growing commercial/ residential area. PRIME LOCATION! Property is located near a very busy right of way at the intersection of Soutel and New kings Rd. Uses of this property is limitless. Quaint and full of charm. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home is more than what meets the eye. Original hardwood floors,Ceramic tile, stainless steel appliances in kitchen,Bar/game room, separate brick workshop in rear of mainhouse. Lots of storage space.Split floor plan with large Master bedroom.Sits on 1/4 acre Zoned CCG-2. BRAND NEW ROOF!!!!

  11. 2018-11-08
    price $124,900 548-char remark
    Show marketing remark (548 chars)

    Amazing opportunity in growing commercial/ residential area. PRIME LOCATION! Property is located near a very busy right of way at the intersection of Soutel and New kings Rd. Uses of this property is limitless. Quaint and full of charm. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home is more than what meets the eye. Original hardwood floors,Ceramic tile, stainless steel appliances in kitchen,Bar/game room, separate brick workshop in rear of mainhouse. Lots of storage space.Split floor plan with large Master bedroom.Sits on 1/4 acre Zoned CCG-2. BRAND NEW ROOF!!!!

  12. 2018-10-09
    price $145,000 548-char remark
    Show marketing remark (548 chars)

    Amazing opportunity in growing commercial/ residential area. PRIME LOCATION! Property is located near a very busy right of way at the intersection of Soutel and New kings Rd. Uses of this property is limitless. Quaint and full of charm. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home is more than what meets the eye. Original hardwood floors,Ceramic tile, stainless steel appliances in kitchen,Bar/game room, separate brick workshop in rear of mainhouse. Lots of storage space.Split floor plan with large Master bedroom.Sits on 1/4 acre Zoned CCG-2. BRAND NEW ROOF!!!!

  13. 2018-08-03
    listed $150,000 Active 548-char remark
    Show marketing remark (548 chars)

    Amazing opportunity in growing commercial/ residential area. PRIME LOCATION! Property is located near a very busy right of way at the intersection of Soutel and New kings Rd. Uses of this property is limitless. Quaint and full of charm. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home is more than what meets the eye. Original hardwood floors,Ceramic tile, stainless steel appliances in kitchen,Bar/game room, separate brick workshop in rear of mainhouse. Lots of storage space.Split floor plan with large Master bedroom.Sits on 1/4 acre Zoned CCG-2. BRAND NEW ROOF!!!!

  14. 1973-05-25
    soldstatus $17,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,179 · $182/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,179 · $182/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,439
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$2,179
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,635
− Management
−$1,635
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable income
$1,023
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$246
After-tax cash flow
$3,193/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
14,302
Household income
$72,184
Rent vs Own
17.2% rent · 82.8% own
Severe rent burden
173.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (55%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 39% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.90%
Current HPI
263.8901
Rent YoY
▼ -0.25%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+811.8% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Relisted realMLS
  • 2026-03-29 Pending realMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $155,000 realMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Relisted realMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Pending realMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $165,000 realMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Relisted realMLS
  • 2026-01-19 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2025-11-18 Listed $175,000 realMLS
  • 2019-02-02 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2018-11-08 Price Changed $124,900 realMLS
  • 2018-10-09 Price Changed $145,000 realMLS
  • 2018-08-03 Listed $150,000 realMLS
  • 1973-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,179 · +284.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…