165 Belva St · Phil Campbell, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Appreciation +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- ARV discount +3.1/15.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$109,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful 3 Bedroom 1 Bathroom Single family home located in Phil Campbell. Excellent Brick exterior with a metal roof that was installed in 2011. Kitchen has excellent oak cabinets along with the bathroom's to match. Hard wood floors situated on a 0.68 Acres lot with a beautiful front and back yard.
Key facts
- Hard wood floors
- Metal roof
- Oak cabinets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $137 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $99k (9.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $99k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#361 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Franklin County (rural): math 17% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #84 of 129 in AL (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Phil Campbell Elementary School (math 24% / reading 42%, grade F, #323 of 627 statewide, top 52%, 424 students, 72% FRL); Phil Campbell High School (math 6% / reading 27%, grade F, #209 of 305 statewide, top 69%, 448 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 52% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($757 loan paydown + $351 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.34%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $99,674
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4025 County Road 172 | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,104 (-5%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $86 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $7,095
- Equity at exit
- $33,560
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $33,414
- Equity at exit
- $41,778
Cash invested: $30,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35581
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $986 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$574
- Tax from tax record
- −$23 /mo · $273/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$207
- Net cashflow
- $137
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $198 | -5% $167 | +0% $137 | +5% $106 | +10% $75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $59 | -5% $98 | +0% $137 | +5% $175 | +10% $214 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $192 | -0.5pp $164 | base $137 | +0.5pp $108 | +1.0pp $79 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,375
- Closing costs
- $3,285
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-03-27$109,500 Active
-
2012-06-13$79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $273 · $23/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $449 · $37/mo
- Expected delta
- +$176/yr (+$15/mo · 64.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,835
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,134
- − Property taxes
- −$273
- − Insurance
- −$548
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$947
- − Management
- −$947
- − Depreciation
- −$3,185
- Taxable loss
- −$199
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$48
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,686/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin County
- NCES district ID
- 0101590
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,979
- Composite
- 22.08/100
- National rank
- #8187
- State rank
- #84 of 129 in AL
Livability — Phil Campbell
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #361
- US rank
- #21096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Phil Campbell, AL
- City population
- 6,271
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,271
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,545 people
- By 2030
- 31,335 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 30,983 · -1.8%
- By 2050
- 30,744 · -2.5%
- By 2075
- 30,173 · -4.3%
- By 2100
- 29,478 · -6.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+73.3) · D 13.0% · R 86.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.1pp toward R · 2008: -39.2pp · 2024: -73.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+73.3 2020: R+65.9 2016: R+60.8 2012: R+40.5 2008: R+39.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.32%
- Current HPI
- 171.0186
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+37.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — SAARMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $109,500 SAARMLS
- 2012-06-13 Listed $79,900 SAARMLS
Property tax history
+59.6%/yrLatest (2025): $273 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…