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165 Belva St
D+ Composite 48.83
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.1/30.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.1/15.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$109,500

165 Belva St · Phil Campbell, AL 35581
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,159 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1975 0.69 ac lot Est $100k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautiful 3 Bedroom 1 Bathroom Single family home located in Phil Campbell. Excellent Brick exterior with a metal roof that was installed in 2011. Kitchen has excellent oak cabinets along with the bathroom's to match. Hard wood floors situated on a 0.68 Acres lot with a beautiful front and back yard.

Key facts

  • Hard wood floors
  • Metal roof
  • Oak cabinets

Tags

BRICK EXTERIORMETAL ROOFOAK CABINETSHARD WOOD FLOORSFRONT AND BACK YARD0.68 ACRES LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $137 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $99k (9.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $99k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#361 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Franklin County (rural): math 17% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #84 of 129 in AL (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Phil Campbell Elementary School (math 24% / reading 42%, grade F, #323 of 627 statewide, top 52%, 424 students, 72% FRL); Phil Campbell High School (math 6% / reading 27%, grade F, #209 of 305 statewide, top 69%, 448 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 52% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($757 loan paydown + $351 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $98,626 (9.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.79%
Cash-on-cash
5.34%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$99,674
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4025 County Road 172 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,104 (-5%) 8mo $95,000 $86 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.32% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.8%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$7,095
Equity at exit
$33,560
10-year hold
IRR
9.7%
Equity multiple
2.09×
Total profit
$33,414
Equity at exit
$41,778

Cash invested: $30,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35581

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$986 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$574
Tax from tax record
$23 /mo · $273/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$207
Net cashflow
$137

Break-even live

Break-even rent $813
Max offer price $109,500
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $198 -5% $167 +0% $137 +5% $106 +10% $75
Rent -10% $59 -5% $98 +0% $137 +5% $175 +10% $214
Rate -1.0pp $192 -0.5pp $164 base $137 +0.5pp $108 +1.0pp $79

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,375
Closing costs
$3,285
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-27
    listed $109,500 Active
  3. 2012-06-13
    listed $79,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$273 · $23/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$449 · $37/mo
Expected delta
+$176/yr (+$15/mo · 64.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,835
− Mortgage interest
−$6,134
− Property taxes
−$273
− Insurance
−$548
− Repairs & maintenance
−$947
− Management
−$947
− Depreciation
−$3,185
Taxable loss
−$199
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$48
After-tax cash flow
$1,686/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Franklin County
NCES district ID
0101590
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$37,979
Composite
22.08/100
National rank
#8187
State rank
#84 of 129 in AL

Livability — Phil Campbell

Score
58/100
State rank
#361
US rank
#21096

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Phil Campbell, AL
City population
6,271
Population (ZIP)
6,271

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
31,545 people
By 2030
31,335 · -0.7%
By 2040
30,983 · -1.8%
By 2050
30,744 · -2.5%
By 2075
30,173 · -4.3%
By 2100
29,478 · -6.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.3) · D 13.0% · R 86.2%
2008→2024 swing
-34.1pp toward R · 2008: -39.2pp · 2024: -73.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.3 2020: R+65.9 2016: R+60.8 2012: R+40.5 2008: R+39.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.32%
Current HPI
171.0186
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+37.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending SAARMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $109,500 SAARMLS
  • 2012-06-13 Listed $79,900 SAARMLS

Property tax history

+59.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $273 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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