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519 N 13th St
B- Composite 66.73
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$69,000

519 N 13th St · Memphis, TX 79245
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,024 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1990 4,400 sqft lot $67/sqft · 21% above area Est $57k · 21% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 519 N 13th Street in the heart of Memphis—a charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home packed with potential and value. Whether you're a first-time buyer, investor, or looking for a simple, low-maintenance property, this one checks all the boxes. This home features a durable metal roof for long-term peace of mind and an attached carport for convenient covered parking. Inside, you'll find a functional layout with comfortable living spaces ready for your personal touch. The property sits on a generous lot, offering plenty of room to expand, garden, or create your ideal outdoor space. Located in a welcoming small-town community, Memphis offers a low cost of living and a relaxed lifestyle while still being within easy reach of larger cities like Amarillo and Childress. With continued growth in the region and increasing demand for housing, this property presents a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors alike. Affordable, functional, and full of potential—519 N 13th Street is ready for its next owner. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Generous lot
  • Attached carport

Tags

METAL ROOFATTACHED CARPORTGENEROUS LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($927 rent vs $69k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#754 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Memphis ISD (rural): math 34% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #555 of 826 in TX (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Austin El (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 127 students, 83% FRL); Memphis Middle (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #756 of 1,662 statewide, top 47%, 89 students, 90% FRL); Memphis H S (math 50% / reading 34%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 141 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 61% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.5% local appreciation)).
  • Hall County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $67,965 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
11.34%
Cash-on-cash
18.02%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$56,942
List price
$69,000
Delta
21.18%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

4.49% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.5%
Equity multiple
2.68×
Total profit
$32,380
Equity at exit
$36,977
10-year hold
IRR
26.8%
Equity multiple
5.29×
Total profit
$82,907
Equity at exit
$62,127

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79245

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$927 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $615/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$195
Net cashflow
$290

Break-even live

Break-even rent $559
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $329 -5% $310 +0% $290 +5% $271 +10% $251
Rent -10% $217 -5% $254 +0% $290 +5% $327 +10% $363
Rate -1.0pp $325 -0.5pp $308 base $290 +0.5pp $272 +1.0pp $254

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Pending 1064-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1064 chars)

    Welcome to 519 N 13th Street in the heart of Memphis—a charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home packed with potential and value. Whether you're a first-time buyer, investor, or looking for a simple, low-maintenance property, this one checks all the boxes. This home features a durable metal roof for long-term peace of mind and an attached carport for convenient covered parking. Inside, you'll find a functional layout with comfortable living spaces ready for your personal touch. The property sits on a generous lot, offering plenty of room to expand, garden, or create your ideal outdoor space. Located in a welcoming small-town community, Memphis offers a low cost of living and a relaxed lifestyle while still being within easy reach of larger cities like Amarillo and Childress. With continued growth in the region and increasing demand for housing, this property presents a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors alike. Affordable, functional, and full of potential—519 N 13th Street is ready for its next owner. Schedule your showing today!

  2. 2026-04-16
    listed $69,000 Active 1064-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1064 chars)

    Welcome to 519 N 13th Street in the heart of Memphis—a charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home packed with potential and value. Whether you're a first-time buyer, investor, or looking for a simple, low-maintenance property, this one checks all the boxes. This home features a durable metal roof for long-term peace of mind and an attached carport for convenient covered parking. Inside, you'll find a functional layout with comfortable living spaces ready for your personal touch. The property sits on a generous lot, offering plenty of room to expand, garden, or create your ideal outdoor space. Located in a welcoming small-town community, Memphis offers a low cost of living and a relaxed lifestyle while still being within easy reach of larger cities like Amarillo and Childress. With continued growth in the region and increasing demand for housing, this property presents a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors alike. Affordable, functional, and full of potential—519 N 13th Street is ready for its next owner. Schedule your showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$615 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,263 · $105/mo
Expected delta
+$648/yr (+$54/mo · 105.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,118
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$615
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$889
− Management
−$889
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$2,508
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$602
After-tax cash flow
$2,880/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Memphis ISD
NCES district ID
4830180
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$31,827
Composite
28.61/100
National rank
#6711
State rank
#555 of 826 in TX

Livability — Memphis

Score
64/100
State rank
#754
US rank
#13886

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Memphis, TX
Population (ZIP)
2,291

Population outlook (Hall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,857 people
By 2030
2,714 · -5.0%
By 2040
2,467 · -13.7%
By 2050
2,202 · -22.9%
By 2075
1,662 · -41.8%
By 2100
1,127 · -60.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 16% Black 6% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 26%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% European 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 29%

Political lean MEDSL · Hall

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.4) · D 13.0% · R 86.3%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: -48.0pp · 2024: -73.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.4 2020: R+70.8 2016: R+66.8 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+48.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.49%
Current HPI
101.6222
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Pending LARMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $69,000 LARMLS

Property tax history

+8.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $615 · +22.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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