274 Cape Harbour Loop #105 · Bradenton, FL 34212

$215,000

2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,429 sqft · Condo public records · 26 Days on market

Built 2006 $397/mo HOA · 19% of rent ↓ 22% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +8.1/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +4.7/10.0
• Schools +4.4/10.0
• Appreciation +4.1/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +2.1/10.0
• Rent growth +1.6/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Great Florida living at Lighthouse Cove in Heritage Harbour. 2 bedrooms, 2 and a half baths, and the largest floor plan at 1429 square feet under air. Brand new stainless steel appliances in the kitchen, which has a pass through to the dining room. The 1/2 bathroom is on the main floor with additional under stair storage. The living room has sliding glass doors that open to the screened lanai, which also has additional storage and a rare private wooded view. Both bedrooms are upstairs at each end of the unit, with a bonus room in between and inside utility that comes with a stackable washer and dryer. Mature foliage offering shaded parking for your vehicle and the community pool is just around the corner. Heritage Harbour has a central park that includes fields for baseball and soccer, along with a nearby fishing pier with walking and biking trails. Easy access to all the wants and needs Bradenton and Sarasota have to offer.

Key facts

• Large loft
• New hvac
• Private nature view

Tags

• PRIVATE ENTRANCE
• LARGE LOFT
• NEW HVAC
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• PRIVATE NATURE VIEW

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: CDD present; Homestead indicated
• Financial info: Other annual assessment $429; Total annual fees $4,764 (total monthly fees $397); Lease restrictions apply
• HOA & community: Has HOA (monthly HOA $349); Quarterly association fees (example: $1,047 quarterly; additional quarterly fee $72); Condo/quarterly fee $72 (monthly condo fee listed as $24); Association fees include insurance, pool, trash, water; Community mailbox; Cats and dogs allowed

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water available; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Water connected
• Home design: Residential townhouse; Two stories; Faces northeast; Slab foundation
• Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Built area 1,429 (public records)
• Exterior features: Awning(s); In-ground pool; Asphalt road access

Interior

• Kitchen: Convection oven; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full baths, 1 half bath
• Heating & cooling: Electric heat; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Ceiling fans
• Laundry & utility: Inside laundry; Dryer; Electric water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $215k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-209 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (17.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (3.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $178k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.6% in Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#101 in FL, #1,528 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
• Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.4%/yr); 479 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 9 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $178,048 (17.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.97% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.13%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.17%
• DSCR: 0.81
• GRM: 8.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.82% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -18.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.28×
• Total profit: $-43,173
• Equity at exit: $43,565

10-year hold

• IRR: -17.3%
• Equity multiple: -0.12×
• Total profit: $-67,485
• Equity at exit: $38,969

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34212

• Home prices YoY: -0.7%
• Rents YoY: -3.4%
• Active inventory: 479
• Price-to-rent: 8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,076 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,127
• Tax from tax record: −$235 /mo · $2,818/yr
• Insurance: −$90
• HOA: −$397
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$436
• Net cashflow: $-209

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,340

Max offer price $178,048

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-87	-5% $-148	+0% $-209	+5% $-270	+10% $-331
Rent	-10% $-373	-5% $-291	+0% $-209	+5% $-127	+10% $-45
Rate	-1.0pp $-101	-0.5pp $-154	base $-209	+0.5pp $-265	+1.0pp $-322

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $53,750
• Closing costs: $6,450
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
267 Cape Harbour Loop #101 Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.5	1200	$1,700	$1.42	25d	1	0.04mi
262 Cape Harbour Loop #102 Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.5	1200	$1,900	$1.58	25d	1	0.04mi
280 Cape Harbour Loop #101 Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.5	1400	$2,100	$1.50	17d	1	0.05mi
257 Cape Harbour Loop #101 Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.5	1200	$1,925	$1.60	4d	1	0.06mi
257 Cape Harbour Loop #104 Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.5	1429	$1,700	$1.19	25d	1	0.06mi
311 Cape Harbour Loop #103 Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.5	1429	$1,850	$1.29	16d	1	0.07mi
250 Cape Harbour Loop Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.5	1200	$1,800	$1.50	25d	1	0.09mi
250 Cape Harbour Loop #106 Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.5	1429	$1,775	$1.24	16d	1	0.10mi
208 Cape Harbour Loop #101 Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.5	1200	$2,000	$1.67	25d	1	0.28mi
360 Cape Harbour Loop #105 Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.5	1429	$2,200	$1.54	25d	1	0.28mi
6510 Anchor Loop Bradenton, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1135	$1,782	$1.57	3d	32	0.37mi
6760 Willowshire Way Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.0	1387	$3,500	$2.52	25d	1	0.53mi
131 Babbling Brook Run Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.0	1387	$2,200	$1.59	25d	1	0.57mi
7124 Grand Estuary Trl #104 Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.0	1786	$2,500	$1.40	25d	1	0.59mi
6627 Candlestick Dr Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1541	$5,500	$3.57	25d	1	0.73mi
7008 Grand Estuary Trl #104 Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.0	1786	$2,800	$1.57	25d	1	0.75mi
6110 9th Avenue Cir NE Bradenton, FL	2.0	1.5	1000	$2,000	$2.00	25d	1	0.84mi
6614 Grand Estuary Trl #101 Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.0	1786	$3,200	$1.79	25d	1	0.89mi
6705 Grand Estuary Trl #104 Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1561	$2,500	$1.60	25d	1	0.94mi
6715 Grand Estuary Trl #106 Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1600	$5,000	$3.12	25d	1	0.95mi
6611 Grand Estuary Trl #204 Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1561	$2,500	$1.60	17d	1	0.95mi
6611 Grand Estuary Trl Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1561	$2,350	$1.51	25d	2	0.96mi
6819 Grand Estuary Trl #205 Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1561	$2,499	$1.60	25d	1	0.96mi
6519 Grand Estuary Trl Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1156	$3,000	$2.60	25d	2	0.97mi
6515 Grand Estuary Trl #107 Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1156	$3,950	$3.42	25d	1	0.98mi
6411 Grand Estuary Trl #401 Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1156	$2,325	$2.01	17d	1	0.99mi
424 Winding Brook Ln #104 Bradenton, FL	3.0	2.0	1786	$2,995	$1.68	17d	1	1.02mi
7005 River Hammock Dr #305 Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1121	$2,500	$2.23	25d	1	1.06mi
7019 River Hammock Dr Bradenton, FL	2.0–3.0	2.0	1209	$2,000	$1.65	12d	2	1.07mi
7121 River Hammock Dr Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1176	$2,248	$1.91	25d	2	1.08mi
7121 River Hammock Dr Unit 1546059P Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1151	$2,903	$2.52	17d	1	1.08mi
7225 River Hammock Dr #202 Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1561	$1,749	$1.12	4d	1	1.14mi
7305 River Hammock Dr #206 Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1661	$2,600	$1.57	25d	1	1.17mi
7607 Grand Estuary Trl Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1226	$2,900	$2.37	25d	2	1.30mi
7705 Grand Estuary Trl Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1175	$1,975	$1.68	17d	2	1.35mi
7803 Grand Estuary Trl Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1371	$2,650	$1.93	25d	2	1.39mi
803 Fairwaycove Ln Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1165	$1,835	$1.58	4d	2	1.40mi
955 53rd St E Bradenton, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	948	$1,685	$1.78	3d	5	1.42mi
819 Fairwaycove Ln Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1165	$1,950	$1.67	17d	2	1.43mi
7911 Grand Estuary Trl Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1156	$3,500	$3.03	25d	2	1.43mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $397 · $4,764/yr
• Likely covers: pool
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 21 events

1. 2026-05-01
   listed $215,000 Active
2. 2021-08-25
   soldstatus $213,500 Closed 938-char remark

   Show marketing remark (938 chars)

   Great Florida living at Lighthouse Cove in Heritage Harbour. 2 bedrooms, 2 and a half baths, and the largest floor plan at 1429 square feet under air. Brand new stainless steel appliances in the kitchen, which has a pass through to the dining room. The 1/2 bathroom is on the main floor with additional under stair storage. The living room has sliding glass doors that open to the screened lanai, which also has additional storage and a rare private wooded view. Both bedrooms are upstairs at each end of the unit, with a bonus room in between and inside utility that comes with a stackable washer and dryer. Mature foliage offering shaded parking for your vehicle and the community pool is just around the corner. Heritage Harbour has a central park that includes fields for baseball and soccer, along with a nearby fishing pier with walking and biking trails. Easy access to all the wants and needs Bradenton and Sarasota have to offer.

3. 2021-07-11
   status Pending 938-char remark

   Show marketing remark (938 chars)

   Great Florida living at Lighthouse Cove in Heritage Harbour. 2 bedrooms, 2 and a half baths, and the largest floor plan at 1429 square feet under air. Brand new stainless steel appliances in the kitchen, which has a pass through to the dining room. The 1/2 bathroom is on the main floor with additional under stair storage. The living room has sliding glass doors that open to the screened lanai, which also has additional storage and a rare private wooded view. Both bedrooms are upstairs at each end of the unit, with a bonus room in between and inside utility that comes with a stackable washer and dryer. Mature foliage offering shaded parking for your vehicle and the community pool is just around the corner. Heritage Harbour has a central park that includes fields for baseball and soccer, along with a nearby fishing pier with walking and biking trails. Easy access to all the wants and needs Bradenton and Sarasota have to offer.

4. 2021-06-30
   status Active 938-char remark

   Show marketing remark (938 chars)

   Great Florida living at Lighthouse Cove in Heritage Harbour. 2 bedrooms, 2 and a half baths, and the largest floor plan at 1429 square feet under air. Brand new stainless steel appliances in the kitchen, which has a pass through to the dining room. The 1/2 bathroom is on the main floor with additional under stair storage. The living room has sliding glass doors that open to the screened lanai, which also has additional storage and a rare private wooded view. Both bedrooms are upstairs at each end of the unit, with a bonus room in between and inside utility that comes with a stackable washer and dryer. Mature foliage offering shaded parking for your vehicle and the community pool is just around the corner. Heritage Harbour has a central park that includes fields for baseball and soccer, along with a nearby fishing pier with walking and biking trails. Easy access to all the wants and needs Bradenton and Sarasota have to offer.

5. 2021-06-27
   status Pending 938-char remark

   Show marketing remark (938 chars)

   Great Florida living at Lighthouse Cove in Heritage Harbour. 2 bedrooms, 2 and a half baths, and the largest floor plan at 1429 square feet under air. Brand new stainless steel appliances in the kitchen, which has a pass through to the dining room. The 1/2 bathroom is on the main floor with additional under stair storage. The living room has sliding glass doors that open to the screened lanai, which also has additional storage and a rare private wooded view. Both bedrooms are upstairs at each end of the unit, with a bonus room in between and inside utility that comes with a stackable washer and dryer. Mature foliage offering shaded parking for your vehicle and the community pool is just around the corner. Heritage Harbour has a central park that includes fields for baseball and soccer, along with a nearby fishing pier with walking and biking trails. Easy access to all the wants and needs Bradenton and Sarasota have to offer.

6. 2021-06-19
   listed $215,000 Active 938-char remark

   Show marketing remark (938 chars)

   Great Florida living at Lighthouse Cove in Heritage Harbour. 2 bedrooms, 2 and a half baths, and the largest floor plan at 1429 square feet under air. Brand new stainless steel appliances in the kitchen, which has a pass through to the dining room. The 1/2 bathroom is on the main floor with additional under stair storage. The living room has sliding glass doors that open to the screened lanai, which also has additional storage and a rare private wooded view. Both bedrooms are upstairs at each end of the unit, with a bonus room in between and inside utility that comes with a stackable washer and dryer. Mature foliage offering shaded parking for your vehicle and the community pool is just around the corner. Heritage Harbour has a central park that includes fields for baseball and soccer, along with a nearby fishing pier with walking and biking trails. Easy access to all the wants and needs Bradenton and Sarasota have to offer.

7. 2018-06-26
   soldstatus $129,900 Sold 543-char remark

   Show marketing remark (543 chars)

   Great 2 bed 2.5 bath town home featuring fresh paint, new carpeting, a spacious kitchen, a bonus area upstairs, and a screened patio overlooking a garden area with no rear neighbors. Enjoy the community pool and convenient location with easy access to I-75, the Ellenton Outlet Mall, schools, dining, and the beaches. The Heritage Harbour community also offers a wide array of amenities including a lake for fishing, baseball and soccer fields, playgrounds, picnic pavilion, walking and biking trails, and a public golf course with restaurant.

8. 2018-06-08
   status Pending 543-char remark

   Show marketing remark (543 chars)

   Great 2 bed 2.5 bath town home featuring fresh paint, new carpeting, a spacious kitchen, a bonus area upstairs, and a screened patio overlooking a garden area with no rear neighbors. Enjoy the community pool and convenient location with easy access to I-75, the Ellenton Outlet Mall, schools, dining, and the beaches. The Heritage Harbour community also offers a wide array of amenities including a lake for fishing, baseball and soccer fields, playgrounds, picnic pavilion, walking and biking trails, and a public golf course with restaurant.

9. 2018-05-31
   price $134,900 543-char remark

   Show marketing remark (543 chars)

   Great 2 bed 2.5 bath town home featuring fresh paint, new carpeting, a spacious kitchen, a bonus area upstairs, and a screened patio overlooking a garden area with no rear neighbors. Enjoy the community pool and convenient location with easy access to I-75, the Ellenton Outlet Mall, schools, dining, and the beaches. The Heritage Harbour community also offers a wide array of amenities including a lake for fishing, baseball and soccer fields, playgrounds, picnic pavilion, walking and biking trails, and a public golf course with restaurant.

10. 2018-04-27
    price $139,900 543-char remark

    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    Great 2 bed 2.5 bath town home featuring fresh paint, new carpeting, a spacious kitchen, a bonus area upstairs, and a screened patio overlooking a garden area with no rear neighbors. Enjoy the community pool and convenient location with easy access to I-75, the Ellenton Outlet Mall, schools, dining, and the beaches. The Heritage Harbour community also offers a wide array of amenities including a lake for fishing, baseball and soccer fields, playgrounds, picnic pavilion, walking and biking trails, and a public golf course with restaurant.

11. 2018-03-27
    listed $144,500 Active 543-char remark

    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    Great 2 bed 2.5 bath town home featuring fresh paint, new carpeting, a spacious kitchen, a bonus area upstairs, and a screened patio overlooking a garden area with no rear neighbors. Enjoy the community pool and convenient location with easy access to I-75, the Ellenton Outlet Mall, schools, dining, and the beaches. The Heritage Harbour community also offers a wide array of amenities including a lake for fishing, baseball and soccer fields, playgrounds, picnic pavilion, walking and biking trails, and a public golf course with restaurant.

12. 2007-02-09
    soldstatus $174,000
13. 2007-01-30
    soldstatus $184,900
14. 2006-06-20
    listed $185,000
15. 2006-06-20
    listed $185,000
16. 2006-06-08
    historical
17. 2006-06-07
    listed $292,500
18. 2006-05-26
    historical
19. 2006-02-27
    historical
20. 2006-01-11
    listed $274,900
21. 2006-01-11
    listed $274,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,818 · $235/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,818 · $235/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 56% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,907
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,043
• − Property taxes: −$2,818
• − Insurance: −$1,075
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,993
• − Management: −$1,993
• − HOA: −$4,764
• − Depreciation: −$6,255
• Taxable loss: −$6,033
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,448
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,062/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Manatee
• NCES district ID: 1201230
• Math proficiency: 54% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $49,607
• Composite: 44.43/100
• National rank: #2806
• State rank: #26 of 73 in FL

Livability — Bradenton

• Score: 81/100
• State rank: #101
• US rank: #1528

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Manatee County · 416,364 people
• City population: 227,091
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• Population (ZIP): 25,536
• Household income: $125,486
• Rent vs Own: 15.3% rent · 84.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 383.0

Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 447,342 people
• By 2030: 488,911 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 567,934 · +27.0%
• By 2050: 637,995 · +42.6%
• By 2075: 781,970 · +74.8%
• By 2100: 848,272 · +89.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (81%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 3% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 89% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -1.82%
• Current HPI: 276.7636
• Rent YoY: ▼ -3.44%
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-21.8% since first listed

21 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-01 Listed $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-08-25 Sold (MLS) $213,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-07-11 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-06-30 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-06-27 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-06-19 Listed $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2018-06-26 Sold (MLS) $129,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2018-06-08 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2018-05-31 Price Changed $134,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2018-04-27 Price Changed $139,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2018-03-27 Listed $144,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2007-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $174,000 Public Records
• 2007-01-30 Sold (MLS) $184,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2006-06-20 Listed $185,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2006-06-20 Listed $185,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2006-06-08 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2006-06-07 Listed $292,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2006-05-26 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2006-02-27 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2006-01-11 Listed $274,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2006-01-11 Listed $274,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+8.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,818 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.