147 Palmer Rd · Albany, GA 31763

$210,000

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily public records

Built 1989 1.10 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +12.7/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• DSCR +3.8/10.0
• 1% rule +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +3.1/5.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

OPEN FLOOR PLAN WITH MASTER BEDROOM AND BATHROOM DOWNSTAIRS. EAT IN KITCHEN. LARGE ACRE PLUS LOT WITH INGROUND POOL, A WIRED WORKSHOP AND A MOTHER IN LAW SUITE. SOLD AS IS. THIS PROPERTY MAY QUALIFY FOR SELLER FINANCING (VENDEE). IF PROPERTY WAS BUILT PRIOR TO 1978, LEAD BASED PAINT POTENTIALLY EXISTS.

Key facts

• 1.1 acre lot
• Pool
• Built 1989

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-270/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (1.9% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (17.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $173k (17.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#371 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Lee County (rural): math 44% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #21 of 174 in GA (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Lee County Primary School (645 students, 48% FRL); Lee County Middle School East (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #147 of 470 statewide, top 33%, 676 students, 51% FRL); Lee County High School (math 10% / reading 19%, grade F, #315 of 424 statewide, top 76%, 1,429 students, 36% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lee County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 133 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lee County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 96% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $172,856 (17.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.82% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.16%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.46%
• DSCR: 0.98
• GRM: 10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -17.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.37×
• Total profit: $-36,821
• Equity at exit: $31,312

10-year hold

• IRR: -11.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.33×
• Total profit: $-39,399
• Equity at exit: $18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31763

• Home prices YoY: -15.9%
• Rents YoY: 2.2%
• Active inventory: 204
• Price-to-rent: 10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,729 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,101
• Tax from tax record: −$199 /mo · $2,392/yr
• Insurance: −$88
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$363
• Net cashflow: $-23

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,757

Max offer price $206,024

Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $96	-5% $37	+0% $-23	+5% $-82	+10% $-141
Rent	-10% $-159	-5% $-91	+0% $-23	+5% $46	+10% $114
Rate	-1.0pp $83	-0.5pp $31	base $-23	+0.5pp $-77	+1.0pp $-132

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $52,500
• Closing costs: $6,300
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-02-10
   historical
2. 2026-01-07
   listed $210,000
3. 2024-05-06
   soldstatus $208,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,392 · $199/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,392 · $199/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 96% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,743
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,763
• − Property taxes: −$2,392
• − Insurance: −$1,050
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,659
• − Management: −$1,659
• − Depreciation: −$6,109
• Taxable loss: −$3,890
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$934
• After-tax cash flow: $664/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lee County
• NCES district ID: 1303270
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▼ -10.00%
• Median HH income: $60,449
• Composite: 39.23/100
• National rank: #4009
• State rank: #21 of 174 in GA

Livability — Albany

• Score: 60/100
• State rank: #371
• US rank: #18903

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Lee County · 29,271 people
• City population: 29,271
• Metro: Albany, GA
• Population (ZIP): 29,271
• Household income: $88,312
• Rent vs Own: 28.5% rent · 71.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 700.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 31,140 people
• By 2030: 31,753 · +2.0%
• By 2040: 32,710 · +5.0%
• By 2050: 33,476 · +7.5%
• By 2075: 35,113 · +12.8%
• By 2100: 34,821 · +11.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (66%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 66% Black 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+43.5) · D 28.0% · R 71.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +8.6pp toward D · 2008: -52.1pp · 2024: -43.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+43.5 2020: R+44.6 2016: R+53.0 2012: R+52.4 2008: R+52.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -35.33%
• Current HPI: 187.3672
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.22%
• Metro: Albany, GA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

+0.5% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-10 Delisted — SWGABOR
• 2026-01-07 Listed $210,000 SWGABOR
• 2024-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $208,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,392 · +24.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.