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209 N Ward St
C Composite 57.59
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

209 N Ward St · Macomb, IL 61455
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 996 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 190 Days on market
Built 1937 10,440 sqft lot $65/sqft · at area comps Est $77k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Very nice two bedroom bungalow conveniently located just 2 blocks from WIU. The outside of this home has vinyl siding, newer roof, some newer windows, nice fenced in back yard, 1 1/2 car garage, newer back steps with sliding glass door opening to kitchen. Inside enjoy the newer kitchen, bath, kitchen flooring and neutral colored paint. The main living areas have original hardwood floors, natural woodwork, beautiful built in hutch/China cupboard. There is also a large pantry/storage room just off the kitchen. The enclosed front porch is an inviting room to relax and watch the rest of the world go by. Only one block walk to the iconic Dairy Queen.

Key facts

  • Newer roof
  • Sliding glass door
  • Vinyl siding

Tags

VINYL SIDINGNEWER ROOFFENCED IN BACK YARDNEWER BACK STEPSSLIDING GLASS DOORORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $83 ($993/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($721 rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 6.2% in Macomb — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#379 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: schools D, crime D, amenities D.
  • Macomb CUSD 185 (town): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #410 of 620 in IL (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent.
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $65k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
7.82%
Cash-on-cash
5.46%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$76,920
List price
$65,000
Delta
-15.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1110 W Piper St 0.35mi 1/— (-1) 1,002 (+1%) 2mo $17,500 $17 76
721 W Carroll St 0.16mi 2/1.0 1,065 (+7%) 13mo $82,850 $78 71
408 S Johnson St 0.64mi 2/1.0 1,001 (+0%) 1mo $70,000 $70 69
416 W Wheeler St 0.46mi 2/1.0 1,008 (+1%) 10mo $62,000 $62 69
411 W Jefferson St 0.48mi 2/1.0 972 (-2%) 7mo $60,000 $62 68
117 W Jefferson St 0.71mi 2/1.5 968 (-3%) 11mo $31,000 $32 51
715 W Chandler St 0.19mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,142 (+15%) 8mo $87,000 $76 49
420 W Jefferson St 0.45mi 2/2.0 1,138 (+14%) 3mo $85,000 $75 48
522 W Chase St 0.59mi 2/1.0 879 (-12%) 12mo $30,750 $35 43
716 N Albert St 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (-13%) 4mo $37,000 $43 41
434 W Murray St 0.55mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,129 (+13%) 11mo $70,000 $62 38
115 W Washington St 0.68mi 3/3.0 (+1) 1,141 (+15%) 10mo $60,000 $53 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.8%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-5,229
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
1.8%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$2,370
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61455

Home prices YoY
-33.3%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$721 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$151
Net cashflow
$83

Break-even live

Break-even rent $616
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
217 Charleston Blvd Unit 1 Macomb, IL 1.0 1.0 535 $610 $1.14 43d 1 0.41mi
218 Charleston Blvd Unit 5 Macomb, IL 1.0 1.0 535 $610 $1.14 43d 1 0.41mi
902 N Charles St Macomb, IL 2.0 1.5 840 $695 $0.83 43d 1 0.69mi
303 S Dudley St Macomb, IL 1.0 1.0 625 $575 $0.92 43d 1 0.98mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $65,000 Active 190 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 189 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    status $65,000 Active 188 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    status $65,000 Pending 188 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 188 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 187 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 186 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 185 DOM
  9. 2025-11-23
    listed $65,000 Active 664-char remark
    Show marketing remark (664 chars)

    Very nice two bedroom bungalow conveniently located just 2 blocks from WIU. The outside of this home has vinyl siding, newer roof, some newer windows, nice fenced in back yard, 1 1/2 car garage, newer back steps with sliding glass door opening to kitchen. Inside enjoy the newer kitchen, bath, kitchen flooring and neutral colored paint. The main living areas have original hardwood floors, natural woodwork, beautiful built in hutch/China cupboard. There is also a large pantry/storage room just off the kitchen. The enclosed front porch is an inviting room to relax and watch the rest of the world go by. Only one block walk to the iconic Dairy Queen.

  10. 2024-11-13
    price
  11. 2024-09-30
    status Active
  12. 2024-09-30
    historical
  13. 2024-09-05
    status Pending
  14. 2024-07-02
    listed Active
  15. 2021-07-16
    soldstatus $40,000
  16. 2020-03-09
    listed $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,425 · $119/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,450 · $121/mo
Expected delta
+$25/yr (+$2/mo · 1.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$8,649
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$1,425
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$692
− Management
−$692
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable loss
−$16
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4
After-tax cash flow
$997/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Macomb CUSD 185
NCES district ID
1723920
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$34,162
Composite
18.45/100
National rank
#8927
State rank
#410 of 620 in IL

Livability — Macomb

Score
70/100
State rank
#379
US rank
#7918

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Macomb, IL
County
McDonough County · 17,317 people
City population
17,317
Metro
Macomb, IL
Population (ZIP)
17,317
Household income
$48,679
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
1062.0

Population outlook (McDonough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,242 people
By 2030
33,318 · +0.2%
By 2040
33,520 · +0.8%
By 2050
33,630 · +1.2%
By 2075
33,657 · +1.2%
By 2100
33,127 · -0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McDonough

2024 margin
R (+18.9) · D 39.7% · R 58.5% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-24.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: -18.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.9 2020: R+16.6 2016: R+11.7 2012: R+1.5 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.20%
Current HPI
140.4351
Rent YoY
Metro
Macomb, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+44.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-23 Listed $65,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-13 Price Changed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-30 Relisted RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-30 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-05 Pending RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-02 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-16 Sold (MLS) $40,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-09 Listed $45,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,425 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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