43 Mcelveen Cir · Lynchburg, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.6/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$129,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Where comfort meets affordability! This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a 0.23-acre lot and offers a spacious living area perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The eat-in kitchen provides plenty of room for family meals and everyday living. Conveniently located with easy access to both Florence and Sumter, this home is an excellent opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for comfortable living at an affordable price.
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Built 2022
- Listed 13 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential mobile home; Lot on a private maintained gravel road (approximately 0.23 acres)
- HOA & community: Community features: Other
Exterior
- Security: Other security features
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available; Water available; Sewer available
- Home design: Manufactured house; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Built area approximately 1,456
- Exterior features: No exterior amenities listed; No fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Walk-in closet(s); Open floorplan
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $70 ($843/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (13.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $113k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#338 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Lee 01 (rural): math 10% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #78 of 80 in SC (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lower Lee Elementary (math 24% / reading 15%, grade F, #496 of 597 statewide, top 83%, 175 students, 100% FRL); Lee Central Middle (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #223 of 229 statewide, top 97%, 358 students, 100% FRL); Lee Central High (math 12% / reading 52%, grade F, #187 of 196 statewide, top 96%, 450 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 84% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
- Lee County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.32%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $7,549
- Equity at exit
- $45,094
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $37,453
- Equity at exit
- $60,485
Cash invested: $36,397 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29080
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,127 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$84 /mo · $1,011/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $70
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $144 | -5% $107 | +0% $70 | +5% $33 | +10% $-3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-19 | -5% $26 | +0% $70 | +5% $115 | +10% $159 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $136 | -0.5pp $103 | base $70 | +0.5pp $37 | +1.0pp $2 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,498
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $129,990 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,990 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,990 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,990 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,990 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $129,990 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,990 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $129,990 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,990 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,990 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 453-char remark
-
2026-06-07$129,990 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,011 · $84/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,011 · $84/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,524
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,281
- − Property taxes
- −$1,011
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,082
- − Management
- −$1,082
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable loss
- −$1,364
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$327
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,170/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a spacious living area and is in average condition. A fresh coat of paint and new curtains can significantly enhance its curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Paint — Interior walls and exterior siding could use a fresh coat of paint.
- Minor Curtains — Windows could benefit from new curtains for a fresh look.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior and exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Replace curtains — New curtains improve the home's appearance and add a fresh touch.
- Both Landscaping — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value.
- Both HVAC maintenance — Regular maintenance ensures the HVAC system operates efficiently and quietly.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Paint · Interior walls and exterior siding could use a fresh coat of paint. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Curtains · Windows could benefit from new curtains for a fresh look. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior and exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Replace curtains — New curtains improve the home's appearance and add a fresh touch. ↑
- Both Landscaping — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both HVAC maintenance — Regular maintenance ensures the HVAC system operates efficiently and quietly. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee 01
- NCES district ID
- 4502670
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,700
- Composite
- 12.93/100
- National rank
- #9583
- State rank
- #78 of 80 in SC
Livability — Lynchburg
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #338
- US rank
- #24478
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lynchburg, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,784
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,822 people
- By 2030
- 14,703 · -7.1%
- By 2040
- 12,434 · -21.4%
- By 2050
- 10,603 · -33.0%
- By 2075
- 8,103 · -48.8%
- By 2100
- 6,932 · -56.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 30% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.7) · D 55.8% · R 38.1% · Other 6.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.5pp · 2024: 17.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.7 2020: D+27.5 2016: D+29.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+31.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.11%
- Current HPI
- 93.7365
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $129,990 SBOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…