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402 S 72nd St
D+ Composite 45.13
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.1/30.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.8/5.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0

$228,000

402 S 72nd St · Houston, TX 77011
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,674 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 251 Days on market
Built 1930 4,843 sqft lot $136/sqft · 14% below area Est $266k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The talk of the Town is Houston’s East End. Love to do projects around the house and have extra work vehicles? NO HOA -This is the home for you!Spacious kitchen with granite countertops, laminate flooring throughout for low-maintenance ownership. Easy access to Mason Park,Texas Medical Center, Oil refineries, Port of Houston, UH and major freeways. With 2-car garage + 3 carports. Corner lot, NO HOA for maximum flexibility. Split floor plan offers 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, designed to accommodate shared living arrangements or segmented leasing. Larger bedroom features a private entrance and dedicated side yard—ideal for independent occupancy, multigenerational living. Suited for multiple tenants, work vehicles, or extended households. Corner lot for enhanced privacy or outdoor configuration. NO HOA—offering maximum control, flexibility, and fewer operational constraints. This property delivers the infrastructure, location, and no HOA freedom in the inner city.

Key facts

  • 4,843 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1930

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $228k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-390 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $159k (30.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (28.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $159k (30.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Briscoe El (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #4,207 of 4,322 statewide, top 98%, 193 students, 95% FRL); Edison Middle (math 12% / reading 16%, grade F, #1,596 of 1,662 statewide, top 96%, 460 students, 96% FRL); Austin H S (math 9% / reading 18%, grade F, #1,530 of 1,632 statewide, top 94%, 1,448 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 71% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 13% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.9%/yr); 161 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 251 days — a 12% lower offer ($201k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $159,064 (30.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 251 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
4.59%
Cash-on-cash
-6.09%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
11.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$266,290
List price
$228,000
Delta
-14.38%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7422 Mckinney St 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,836 (+10%) 3mo $339,900 $185 60
7024 Avenue E 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,678 (+0%) 9mo $344,000 $205 59
7004 Santa Maria St 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,612 (-4%) 4mo $289,999 $180 58
7001 Sherman St 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,646 (-2%) 14mo $259,900 $158 52
7216 Avenue B 0.34mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,874 (+12%) 3mo $339,500 $181 51
6735 Meadowlawn St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,701 (+2%) 10mo $475,000 $279 48
147 Woodvale Street St Unit A 0.68mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,725 (+3%) 8mo $270,000 $157 46
2022 Palo Alto St 0.70mi 2/1.0 1,476 (-12%) 10mo $200,000 $136 40
7226 Avenue F 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,465 (-12%) 10mo $277,000 $189 37
1956 Santa Rosa St 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,478 (-12%) 7mo $390,000 $264 35
7518 Erath St 0.75mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,456 (-13%) 8mo $275,000 $189 32
2047 Alta Vista St 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,430 (-15%) 10mo $349,000 $244 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$94,643
Equity at exit
$205,400
10-year hold
IRR
16.5%
Equity multiple
5.54×
Total profit
$289,893
Equity at exit
$442,954

Cash invested: $63,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77011

Home prices YoY
30.1%
Rents YoY
-2.9%
Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,625 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,196
Tax from tax record
$317 /mo · $3,805/yr
Insurance
$95
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$341
Net cashflow
$-390

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,119
Max offer price $159,064
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-261 -5% $-326 +0% $-390 +5% $-455 +10% $-519
Rent -10% $-519 -5% $-454 +0% $-390 +5% $-326 +10% $-262
Rate -1.0pp $-275 -0.5pp $-332 base $-390 +0.5pp $-449 +1.0pp $-509

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,000
Closing costs
$6,840
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7334 Texas St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1782 $2,200 $1.23 45d 1 0.35mi
7250 Avenue C Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 886 $1,415 $1.60 1d 15 0.40mi
7310 Sherman St Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 879 $1,299 $1.48 1d 11 0.49mi
960 Villa De Matel Rd Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,129 $1.07 26d 1 0.77mi
6403 Avenue C Unit 1019625P Houston, TX 2.0–8.0 1.0–4.0 1232 $2,871 $2.33 0d 2 1.01mi
916 Redwood St Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1209 $1,140 $0.94 26d 1 1.06mi
5504 Texas St Unit 1514810P Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1808 $7,146 $3.95 0d 1 1.46mi
5502 Texas St Unit 1514806P Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1808 $7,179 $3.97 0d 1 1.46mi
5121 Polk St Unit 1 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,600 $1.23 26d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 44 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $228,000 Active 251 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $228,000 Active 248 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $228,000 Active 247 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $228,000 Active 246 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $228,000 Active 245 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $228,000 Active 243 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $228,000 Active 239 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $228,000 Active 238 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $228,000 Active 237 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $228,000 Active 234 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $228,000 Active 231 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $228,000 Active 230 DOM
  13. 2026-05-06
    price $228,000 995-char remark
    Show marketing remark (995 chars)

    The talk of the Town is Houston’s East End. Love to do projects around the house and have extra work vehicles? NO HOA -This is the home for you!Spacious kitchen with granite countertops, laminate flooring throughout for low-maintenance ownership. Easy access to Mason Park,Texas Medical Center, Oil refineries, Port of Houston, UH and major freeways. With 2-car garage + 3 carports. Corner lot, NO HOA for maximum flexibility. Split floor plan offers 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, designed to accommodate shared living arrangements or segmented leasing. Larger bedroom features a private entrance and dedicated side yard—ideal for independent occupancy, multigenerational living. Suited for multiple tenants, work vehicles, or extended households. Corner lot for enhanced privacy or outdoor configuration. NO HOA—offering maximum control, flexibility, and fewer operational constraints. This property delivers the infrastructure, location, and no HOA freedom in the inner city.

  14. 2026-04-27
    price $228,893 995-char remark
    Show marketing remark (995 chars)

    The talk of the Town is Houston’s East End. Love to do projects around the house and have extra work vehicles? NO HOA -This is the home for you!Spacious kitchen with granite countertops, laminate flooring throughout for low-maintenance ownership. Easy access to Mason Park,Texas Medical Center, Oil refineries, Port of Houston, UH and major freeways. With 2-car garage + 3 carports. Corner lot, NO HOA for maximum flexibility. Split floor plan offers 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, designed to accommodate shared living arrangements or segmented leasing. Larger bedroom features a private entrance and dedicated side yard—ideal for independent occupancy, multigenerational living. Suited for multiple tenants, work vehicles, or extended households. Corner lot for enhanced privacy or outdoor configuration. NO HOA—offering maximum control, flexibility, and fewer operational constraints. This property delivers the infrastructure, location, and no HOA freedom in the inner city.

  15. 2026-02-10
    price $228,895 995-char remark
    Show marketing remark (995 chars)

    The talk of the Town is Houston’s East End. Love to do projects around the house and have extra work vehicles? NO HOA -This is the home for you!Spacious kitchen with granite countertops, laminate flooring throughout for low-maintenance ownership. Easy access to Mason Park,Texas Medical Center, Oil refineries, Port of Houston, UH and major freeways. With 2-car garage + 3 carports. Corner lot, NO HOA for maximum flexibility. Split floor plan offers 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, designed to accommodate shared living arrangements or segmented leasing. Larger bedroom features a private entrance and dedicated side yard—ideal for independent occupancy, multigenerational living. Suited for multiple tenants, work vehicles, or extended households. Corner lot for enhanced privacy or outdoor configuration. NO HOA—offering maximum control, flexibility, and fewer operational constraints. This property delivers the infrastructure, location, and no HOA freedom in the inner city.

  16. 2025-10-11
    listed $235,000 Active 995-char remark
    Show marketing remark (995 chars)

    The talk of the Town is Houston’s East End. Love to do projects around the house and have extra work vehicles? NO HOA -This is the home for you!Spacious kitchen with granite countertops, laminate flooring throughout for low-maintenance ownership. Easy access to Mason Park,Texas Medical Center, Oil refineries, Port of Houston, UH and major freeways. With 2-car garage + 3 carports. Corner lot, NO HOA for maximum flexibility. Split floor plan offers 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, designed to accommodate shared living arrangements or segmented leasing. Larger bedroom features a private entrance and dedicated side yard—ideal for independent occupancy, multigenerational living. Suited for multiple tenants, work vehicles, or extended households. Corner lot for enhanced privacy or outdoor configuration. NO HOA—offering maximum control, flexibility, and fewer operational constraints. This property delivers the infrastructure, location, and no HOA freedom in the inner city.

  17. 2023-05-22
    historical
  18. 2023-05-01
    status Active
  19. 2023-04-30
    historical
  20. 2023-04-05
    price $264,000
  21. 2023-04-03
    price $265,000
  22. 2023-03-31
    price $266,000
  23. 2023-03-29
    price $267,000
  24. 2023-03-27
    price $268,000
  25. 2023-02-28
    price $269,000
  26. 2023-02-23
    price $290,000
  27. 2023-02-03
    status Active
  28. 2023-01-24
    historical
  29. 2022-12-27
    listed $270,000 Active
  30. 2022-08-22
    soldstatus
  31. 2022-08-22
    soldstatus
  32. 2022-08-19
    soldstatus Sold
  33. 2022-08-08
    status Pending
  34. 2022-08-02
    listed $142,000 Active
  35. 2013-01-04
    soldstatus
  36. 2012-12-21
    soldstatus Sold
  37. 2012-10-29
    historical
  38. 2012-09-11
    listed $89,000
  39. 2012-08-31
    historical
  40. 2012-06-08
    listed $99,900
  41. 2012-06-01
    historical
  42. 2011-11-11
    listed $99,900
  43. 2002-02-27
    soldstatus
  44. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,805 · $317/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,172 · $348/mo
Expected delta
+$368/yr (+$31/mo · 9.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,503
− Mortgage interest
−$12,772
− Property taxes
−$3,805
− Insurance
−$1,937
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,560
− Management
−$1,560
− Depreciation
−$6,633
Taxable loss
−$8,764
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,103
After-tax cash flow
$-2,579/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
14,940
Household income
$50,133
Rent vs Own
47.8% rent · 52.2% own
Severe rent burden
655.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 88% Two or more races 29% White 7% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 81%
Foreign-born
33% · Canada
Languages at home
24% English-only · Spanish 76%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 68.18%
Current HPI
295.1198
Rent YoY
▼ -2.93%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+128.2% since first listed
32 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $228,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $228,893 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Price Changed $228,895 HARMLS
  • 2025-10-11 Listed $235,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-05-22 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2023-05-01 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2023-04-30 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2023-04-05 Price Changed $264,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-04-03 Price Changed $265,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-03-31 Price Changed $266,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-03-29 Price Changed $267,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-03-27 Price Changed $268,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-02-28 Price Changed $269,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-02-23 Price Changed $290,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-02-03 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2023-01-24 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2022-12-27 Listed $270,000 HARMLS
  • 2022-08-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-08-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-08-19 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2022-08-08 Pending HARMLS
  • 2022-08-02 Listed $142,000 HARMLS
  • 2013-01-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2012-12-21 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2012-10-29 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2012-09-11 Listed $89,000 HARMLS
  • 2012-08-31 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2012-06-08 Listed $99,900 HARMLS
  • 2012-06-01 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2011-11-11 Listed $99,900 HARMLS
  • 2002-02-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,805 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…