1597 Vintage St · Campbell, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$274,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fixer-upper opportunity in Kissimmee! Spacious single-family home on an oversized 1/2 + acre lot with NO HOA. Property requires full renovation and is being sold AS-IS. Ideal for investors, contractors, or buyers looking to customize and add value. Large lot offers plenty of room for expansion and outdoor possibilities. Convenient location near shopping, schools, and major roadways. Bring your vision and unlock this property's potential! Highlights: * Large lot with room for expansion, storage, or outdoor improvements * No HOA restrictions * Ample parking and mature surroundings * Ideal for renovation, flip, or long-term investment * Convenient Kissimmee location near
Key facts
- Mature surroundings
- Ample parking
- Large lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is homesteaded; Zoned ORM1; Total acreage approximately 0.56 acres (100 x 300 lot dimensions)
- HOA & community: No HOA association noted; Cats and dogs allowed (pets OK)
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; Driveway; 1-car carport
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Septic tank (sewer); Sewer available; No public water source listed
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Faces west; Fixer condition
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built using public record building area
- Exterior features: Front porch; Corner lot; Dirt road access; Workshop on property
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Concrete flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Thermostat; Fireplace in family room; Total of 6 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Inside laundry with laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $130 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (16.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $229k (16.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.2% in Campbell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#848 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Osceola (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #60 of 73 in FL (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Sunrise Elementary School (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #1,513 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 1,068 students, 51% FRL); Horizon Middle School (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #360 of 571 statewide, top 64%, 1,295 students, 75% FRL); Poinciana High School (math 24% / reading 31%, grade F, #470 of 667 statewide, top 71%, 2,455 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 1296 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,813 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (3,072 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Osceola County population projected at +73% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.02%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $347,718
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1794 Lindens St | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 | 1,463 (+0%) | 2mo | $324,990 | $222 | 68 |
| 4273 Babbling Brook Way #4273 | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,444 (-1%) | 3mo | $315,000 | $218 | 63 |
| 4250 Lake Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,362 (-7%) | 10mo | $180,000 | $132 | 63 |
| 4434 Old Tampa Hwy | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-15%) | 18mo | $130,000 | $104 | 55 |
| 4140 Bergamont Ct | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,314 (-10%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $228 | 54 |
| 4195 E Vista Ct | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,431 (-2%) | 21mo | $400,000 | $280 | 54 |
| 1815 Orange Vista Blvd | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,578 (+8%) | 18mo | $375,000 | $238 | 43 |
| 1840 Orange View Ct | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,289 (-12%) | 10mo | $333,000 | $258 | 41 |
| 4202 Oberry Rd | 0.56mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,344 (-8%) | 22mo | $415,000 | $309 | 36 |
| 4145 E Vista Ct | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,289 (-12%) | 20mo | $359,000 | $279 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-43,106
- Equity at exit
- $40,988
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-53,259
- Equity at exit
- $23,768
Cash invested: $76,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34746
- Home prices YoY
- -33.4%
- Rents YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 1296
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,290 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$481
- Net cashflow
- $130
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $285 | -5% $207 | +0% $130 | +5% $52 | +10% $-26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-51 | -5% $39 | +0% $130 | +5% $220 | +10% $311 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $268 | -0.5pp $199 | base $130 | +0.5pp $58 | +1.0pp $-14 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,725
- Closing costs
- $8,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1814 Lindens St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1463 | $2,200 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 4391 Hazel St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1614 | $2,200 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4383 Hazel St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1616 | $2,200 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4273 Babbling Brook Way Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $2,000 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4273 Babbling Brook Way Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $2,000 | $1.39 | 5d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4327 Babbling Brook Way Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $2,000 | $1.39 | 4d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1918 Birnham Wood Bnd Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1551 | $2,099 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1918 Ancestry Trl Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $2,200 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4213 Green Gables Pl Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1555 | $2,300 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4659 Cumbrian Lakes Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1830 | $2,495 | $1.36 | 19d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4742 Cumbrian Lakes Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1874 | $2,600 | $1.39 | 19d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3495 Forest Dr Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1042 | $1,750 | $1.68 | 6d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4795 Cumbrian Lakes Dr Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1720 | $2,600 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1137 Liberty Hall Dr Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $2,350 | $1.53 | 5d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1237 South Beach Cir Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1468 | $1,695 | $1.15 | 12d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4213 Patterson Cv Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,490 | $1.46 | 0d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4213 Patterson Cv Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,490 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1179 South Beach Cir Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1468 | $1,695 | $1.15 | 16d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4715 Hemingway House St Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1468 | $2,000 | $1.36 | 19d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1172 S Beach Cir Unit 1172 Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1642 | $2,195 | $1.34 | 6d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1160 South Beach Cir Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1468 | $2,200 | $1.50 | 0d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1302 South Beach Cir Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1642 | $2,200 | $1.34 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1152 South Beach Cir Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1642 | $1,900 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3190 Shingle Creek Ct Kissimmee, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 976 | $1,600 | $1.64 | 0d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4269 Nightcaps Way Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1555 | $2,500 | $1.61 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4702 Coral Castle Dr Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1762 | $1,950 | $1.11 | 13d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 4215 Nightcaps Way Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1853 | $2,450 | $1.32 | 0d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 626 Eagle Pointe South Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1822 | $2,700 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 4616 Falcon Ave Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $2,320 | $1.51 | 9d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 4769 Coral Castle Dr Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1762 | $2,000 | $1.14 | 12d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 4763 Coral Castle Dr Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1762 | $2,350 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2293 Pocky Way Kissimmee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1854 | $2,490 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4301 Twisted Twig Bnd Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1267 | $2,300 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 700 Eagle Pointe South Kissimmee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $1,700 | $1.02 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1089 Greenskeep Dr Kissimmee, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1428 | $1,600 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $274,900 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $274,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $274,900 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $274,900 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $274,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $274,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $274,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $274,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $274,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $274,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $274,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $274,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $274,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $274,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $274,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-01-11$274,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,485 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,282 · $190/mo
- Expected delta
- +$797/yr (+$66/mo · 53.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,485
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,399
- − Property taxes
- −$1,485
- − Insurance
- −$1,374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,199
- − Management
- −$2,199
- − Depreciation
- −$7,997
- Taxable loss
- −$3,167
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$760
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,315/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Osceola
- NCES district ID
- 1201470
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,528
- Composite
- 35.7/100
- National rank
- #4865
- State rank
- #60 of 73 in FL
Livability — Campbell
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #848
- US rank
- #21421
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Campbell, FL
- County
- Osceola County · 410,217 people
- City population
- 60,595
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,595
- Household income
- $70,998
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1690.0
Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,624 people
- By 2030
- 511,823 · +14.3%
- By 2040
- 642,986 · +43.6%
- By 2050
- 774,552 · +73.0%
- By 2075
- 1,078,144 · +140.9%
- By 2100
- 1,269,660 · +183.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 49% White 29% Two or more races 18% Black 14% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 26% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4% Estonian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 44% English-only · Spanish 41% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Osceola
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: -1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.4 2020: D+13.8 2016: D+25.0 2012: D+24.5 2008: D+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.87%
- Current HPI
- 239.1841
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.23%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-01-11 Listed $274,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,485 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…