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8 Alexander Way
D- Composite 37.73
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.1/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$292,500

8 Alexander Way · Freeport, FL 32439
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,294 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 106 Days on market
Built 2022 5,227 sqft lot Est $290k · at est. $75/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2022-built single-family home featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 baths with open-concept living, quartz countertops, white kitchen, stainless steel appliances, LVP flooring in main areas, crown molding, walk-in closet, double vanity and fenced backyard. Located on a corner lot in Enclave at Freeport, FL, this home offers a covered patio, 1-car garage, Flood Zone X designation and low $75/month HOA. Move-in ready construction with modern finishes and low-maintenance living in a quiet neighborhood setting. Built in 2022 by Grayton Construction, this thoughtfully designed single-family home in Enclave at Freeport, delivers the modern layout and finishes buyers are actively searching for in Freeport, Flor

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Walk-in closet
  • Lvp flooring

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LIVINGQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESLVP FLOORINGCROWN MOLDINGWALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with management services; Subdivision: Enclave at Freeport; Community features include picnic area and pet-friendly policies

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space; Driveway with 2 parking spaces
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Electric service; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story beach house style; Built in 2022
  • Construction: Concrete and frame construction; Fiber cement/board siding with wood trim; Pitched roof; Shake roof; Foundation off grade
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Open patio; Paved road access; Sidewalk; Dead-end street; Covenants

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; master suite on the first floor with double vanity, tile bath, and walk-in closet
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans; Electric heat controls
  • Interior features: Crown molding; Newly painted; Washer/dryer hookup; Window treatments
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $292k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-142 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $267k (8.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (20.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $233k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.0% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#520 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Freeport Elementary School (math 50% / reading 57%, grade C, #949 of 2,144 statewide, top 45%, 1,123 students, 55% FRL); Emerald Coast Middle School (math 70% / reading 65%, grade A-, #77 of 571 statewide, top 14%, 868 students, 24% FRL); Freeport Senior High School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #138 of 667 statewide, top 21%, 557 students, 43% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 1020 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $232,763 (20.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
5.71%
Cash-on-cash
-2.07%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$289,856
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
50 Jessica Ct 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,325 (+2%) 2mo $295,000 $223 89
150 Bradford Ct 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,302 (+1%) 10mo $315,000 $242 88
7 Alexander Way 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,302 (+1%) 12mo $307,000 $236 88
54 Caswell Branch Rd 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,314 (+2%) 12mo $293,000 $223 84
26 Alexander Way 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,324 (+2%) 16mo $315,000 $238 82
41 Jessica Ct 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,314 (+2%) 13mo $293,000 $223 81
404 Four Mile Rd 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,314 (+2%) 12mo $293,000 $223 80
386 Four Mile Rd 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,314 (+2%) 12mo $293,000 $223 79
22 Jessica Ct 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,314 (+2%) 15mo $295,000 $225 79
43 Justin Ct 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,314 (+2%) 16mo $295,000 $225 76
12 Justin Ct 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,314 (+2%) 16mo $294,900 $224 76
9 Laurel Oaks Dr 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,379 (+7%) 1mo $302,152 $219 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.4% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.5%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-60,093
Equity at exit
$43,613
10-year hold
IRR
-19.3%
Equity multiple
0.04×
Total profit
$-78,554
Equity at exit
$25,290

Cash invested: $81,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32439

Home prices YoY
-4.2%
Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
1020
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,328 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,534
Tax from tax record
$250 /mo · $2,995/yr
Insurance
$122
HOA
$75
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$489
Net cashflow
$-142

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,507
Max offer price $267,492
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $24 -5% $-59 +0% $-142 +5% $-224 +10% $-307
Rent -10% $-325 -5% $-234 +0% $-142 +5% $-50 +10% $42
Rate -1.0pp $6 -0.5pp $-67 base $-142 +0.5pp $-217 +1.0pp $-294

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$73,125
Closing costs
$8,775
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
103 Bradford Ct Freeport, FL 3.0 2.0 1713 $2,095 $1.22 15d 1 0.01mi
170 Bradford Ct Freeport, FL 3.0 2.0 1253 $2,300 $1.84 22d 1 0.07mi
160 Bradford Ct Freeport, FL 3.0 2.0 1223 $2,495 $2.04 22d 1 0.07mi
41 S Main Deck Dr Unit 1 Freeport, FL 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,195 $1.46 22d 1 0.23mi
47 S Main Deck Dr Unit 1 Freeport, FL 3.0 2.5 1459 $2,000 $1.37 22d 1 0.23mi
51 S Main Deck Dr Freeport, FL 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,095 $1.40 22d 1 0.23mi
2 Polk St Freeport, FL 3.0 2.0 1155 $1,550 $1.34 22d 1 0.96mi
266 Emr AVE Freeport, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 909 $985 $1.08 15d 5 1.02mi
3495 Sanctuary WAY Melbourne, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1002 $2,412 $2.41 15d 38 1.08mi
15 Oakfield Dr Freeport, FL 3.0 2.0 1531 $2,350 $1.53 15d 1 1.31mi
70 Jakes Way Freeport, FL 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,100 $1.40 22d 1 1.41mi
156 Date Palm Ln Freeport, FL 3.0 2.5 1432 $2,300 $1.61 22d 1 1.45mi
255 N Jackson St Freeport, FL 3.0 2.0 1456 $2,100 $1.44 22d 1 1.45mi
151 Date Palm Ln Freeport, FL 3.0 2.5 1484 $1,775 $1.20 15d 1 1.46mi
532 Marquis Way Freeport, FL 3.0 2.0 1807 $2,950 $1.63 22d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$75 · $900/yr

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    days on market $292,500 Active 106 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $292,500 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $292,500 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $292,500 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $292,500 Active 102 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $292,500 Active 101 DOM
  7. 2026-04-24
    price $292,500
  8. 2026-02-11
    price $305,000
  9. 2025-12-27
    listed $319,000 Active
  10. 2025-08-27
    listed $319,000 Active
  11. 2025-02-18
    listed $305,000 Active
  12. 2022-09-29
    soldstatus $309,999 Sold

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,995 · $250/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,995 · $250/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,932
− Mortgage interest
−$16,385
− Property taxes
−$2,995
− Insurance
−$1,462
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,235
− Management
−$2,235
− HOA
−$900
− Depreciation
−$8,509
Taxable loss
−$6,789
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,629
After-tax cash flow
$-69/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Walton
NCES district ID
1201980
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$46,794
Composite
52.03/100
National rank
#1634
State rank
#10 of 73 in FL

Livability — Freeport

Score
68/100
State rank
#520
US rank
#9579

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Freeport, FL
County
Walton County · 70,839 people
City population
15,328
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
Population (ZIP)
15,328
Household income
$83,227
Rent vs Own
19.9% rent · 80.1% own
Severe rent burden
172.0

Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
80,014 people
By 2030
88,120 · +10.1%
By 2040
103,537 · +29.4%
By 2050
117,034 · +46.3%
By 2075
143,901 · +79.8%
By 2100
155,138 · +93.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 8% Native American 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Walton

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.8) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
2008→2024 swing
-12.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -57.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.8 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+45.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -15.18%
Current HPI
350.4692
Rent YoY
▲ 1.40%
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $292,500 ECAR
  • 2026-02-11 Price Changed $305,000 ECAR
  • 2025-12-27 Listed $319,000 ECAR
  • 2025-08-27 Listed $319,000 ECAR
  • 2025-02-18 Listed $305,000 ECAR
  • 2022-09-29 Sold (MLS) $309,999 ECAR

Property tax history

+102.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,995 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…