8 Alexander Way · Freeport, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.1/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$292,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2022-built single-family home featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 baths with open-concept living, quartz countertops, white kitchen, stainless steel appliances, LVP flooring in main areas, crown molding, walk-in closet, double vanity and fenced backyard. Located on a corner lot in Enclave at Freeport, FL, this home offers a covered patio, 1-car garage, Flood Zone X designation and low $75/month HOA. Move-in ready construction with modern finishes and low-maintenance living in a quiet neighborhood setting. Built in 2022 by Grayton Construction, this thoughtfully designed single-family home in Enclave at Freeport, delivers the modern layout and finishes buyers are actively searching for in Freeport, Flor
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Walk-in closet
- Lvp flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with management services; Subdivision: Enclave at Freeport; Community features include picnic area and pet-friendly policies
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space; Driveway with 2 parking spaces
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Electric service; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story beach house style; Built in 2022
- Construction: Concrete and frame construction; Fiber cement/board siding with wood trim; Pitched roof; Shake roof; Foundation off grade
- Exterior features: Private yard; Open patio; Paved road access; Sidewalk; Dead-end street; Covenants
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms; master suite on the first floor with double vanity, tile bath, and walk-in closet
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans; Electric heat controls
- Interior features: Crown molding; Newly painted; Washer/dryer hookup; Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $292k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-142 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $267k (8.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (20.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $233k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.0% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#520 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Freeport Elementary School (math 50% / reading 57%, grade C, #949 of 2,144 statewide, top 45%, 1,123 students, 55% FRL); Emerald Coast Middle School (math 70% / reading 65%, grade A-, #77 of 571 statewide, top 14%, 868 students, 24% FRL); Freeport Senior High School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #138 of 667 statewide, top 21%, 557 students, 43% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 1020 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.07%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $289,856
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 Jessica Ct | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,325 (+2%) | 2mo | $295,000 | $223 | 89 |
| 150 Bradford Ct | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (+1%) | 10mo | $315,000 | $242 | 88 |
| 7 Alexander Way | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (+1%) | 12mo | $307,000 | $236 | 88 |
| 54 Caswell Branch Rd | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,314 (+2%) | 12mo | $293,000 | $223 | 84 |
| 26 Alexander Way | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,324 (+2%) | 16mo | $315,000 | $238 | 82 |
| 41 Jessica Ct | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,314 (+2%) | 13mo | $293,000 | $223 | 81 |
| 404 Four Mile Rd | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,314 (+2%) | 12mo | $293,000 | $223 | 80 |
| 386 Four Mile Rd | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,314 (+2%) | 12mo | $293,000 | $223 | 79 |
| 22 Jessica Ct | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,314 (+2%) | 15mo | $295,000 | $225 | 79 |
| 43 Justin Ct | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,314 (+2%) | 16mo | $295,000 | $225 | 76 |
| 12 Justin Ct | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,314 (+2%) | 16mo | $294,900 | $224 | 76 |
| 9 Laurel Oaks Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,379 (+7%) | 1mo | $302,152 | $219 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.4% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-60,093
- Equity at exit
- $43,613
- IRR
- -19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.04×
- Total profit
- $-78,554
- Equity at exit
- $25,290
Cash invested: $81,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32439
- Home prices YoY
- -4.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 1020
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,328 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,534
- Tax from tax record
- −$250 /mo · $2,995/yr
- Insurance
- −$122
- HOA
- −$75
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$489
- Net cashflow
- $-142
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $24 | -5% $-59 | +0% $-142 | +5% $-224 | +10% $-307 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-325 | -5% $-234 | +0% $-142 | +5% $-50 | +10% $42 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $6 | -0.5pp $-67 | base $-142 | +0.5pp $-217 | +1.0pp $-294 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,125
- Closing costs
- $8,775
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 Bradford Ct Freeport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1713 | $2,095 | $1.22 | 15d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 170 Bradford Ct Freeport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1253 | $2,300 | $1.84 | 22d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 160 Bradford Ct Freeport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $2,495 | $2.04 | 22d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 41 S Main Deck Dr Unit 1 Freeport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,195 | $1.46 | 22d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 47 S Main Deck Dr Unit 1 Freeport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1459 | $2,000 | $1.37 | 22d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 51 S Main Deck Dr Freeport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,095 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2 Polk St Freeport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $1,550 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 266 Emr AVE Freeport, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 909 | $985 | $1.08 | 15d | 5 | 1.02mi |
| 3495 Sanctuary WAY Melbourne, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $2,412 | $2.41 | 15d | 38 | 1.08mi |
| 15 Oakfield Dr Freeport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1531 | $2,350 | $1.53 | 15d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 70 Jakes Way Freeport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 156 Date Palm Ln Freeport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1432 | $2,300 | $1.61 | 22d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 255 N Jackson St Freeport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $2,100 | $1.44 | 22d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 151 Date Palm Ln Freeport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1484 | $1,775 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 532 Marquis Way Freeport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1807 | $2,950 | $1.63 | 22d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $75 · $900/yr
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-05days on market $292,500 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $292,500 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $292,500 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $292,500 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $292,500 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $292,500 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-04-24price $292,500
-
2026-02-11price $305,000
-
2025-12-27$319,000 Active
-
2025-08-27$319,000 Active
-
2025-02-18$305,000 Active
-
2022-09-29soldstatus $309,999 Sold
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,995 · $250/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,995 · $250/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,932
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,385
- − Property taxes
- −$2,995
- − Insurance
- −$1,462
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,235
- − Management
- −$2,235
- − HOA
- −$900
- − Depreciation
- −$8,509
- Taxable loss
- −$6,789
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,629
- After-tax cash flow
- $-69/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walton
- NCES district ID
- 1201980
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,794
- Composite
- 52.03/100
- National rank
- #1634
- State rank
- #10 of 73 in FL
Livability — Freeport
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #520
- US rank
- #9579
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Freeport, FL
- County
- Walton County · 70,839 people
- City population
- 15,328
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,328
- Household income
- $83,227
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 172.0
Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,014 people
- By 2030
- 88,120 · +10.1%
- By 2040
- 103,537 · +29.4%
- By 2050
- 117,034 · +46.3%
- By 2075
- 143,901 · +79.8%
- By 2100
- 155,138 · +93.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 8% Native American 5% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Walton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.8) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -57.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.8 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+45.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.18%
- Current HPI
- 350.4692
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.40%
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-5.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $292,500 ECAR
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $305,000 ECAR
- 2025-12-27 Listed $319,000 ECAR
- 2025-08-27 Listed $319,000 ECAR
- 2025-02-18 Listed $305,000 ECAR
- 2022-09-29 Sold (MLS) $309,999 ECAR
Property tax history
+102.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,995 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…