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63 Mc 8064
C Composite 58.96
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

63 Mc 8064 · Bull Shoals, AR 72634
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,295 sqft · SingleFamily · 79 Days on market
Fair condition 1.45 ac lot $69/sqft · 69% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the potential of this charming fixer-upper, now available with no restrictions! Nestled on 1.45 M/L acres, this three-bedroom, one-bath home offers just under 1,300 square feet of living space, ready for your personal touch. Located just minutes from the stunning Bull Shoals Lake and the serene White River, this property is perfect for outdoor enthusiasts. With a little love and creativity, you can transform this space into your dream retreat. Whether you envision a cozy family home or a weekend getaway, the possibilities are endless. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to make it your own!

Key facts

  • 1.45 m l acres
  • White river
  • Bull shoals lake

Tags

1.45 M L ACRESBULL SHOALS LAKEWHITE RIVER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 2.4% in Bull Shoals — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#92 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Flippin School District (rural): math 34% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #143 of 238 in AR (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 237 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $84,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.10%
Cash-on-cash
10.04%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$285,401
List price
$89,900
Delta
-68.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.2%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-1,144
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
8.5%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$16,334
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72634

Home prices YoY
-8.5%
Active inventory
116
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,053 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax est. 1.5%
$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$221
Net cashflow
$211

Break-even live

Break-even rent $786
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 79 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 78 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 76 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,900 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-03-14
    listed $89,900 Active 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Discover the potential of this charming fixer-upper, now available with no restrictions! Nestled on 1.45 M/L acres, this three-bedroom, one-bath home offers just under 1,300 square feet of living space, ready for your personal touch. Located just minutes from the stunning Bull Shoals Lake and the serene White River, this property is perfect for outdoor enthusiasts. With a little love and creativity, you can transform this space into your dream retreat. Whether you envision a cozy family home or a weekend getaway, the possibilities are endless. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to make it your own!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,635
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,348
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,011
− Management
−$1,011
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$1,164
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$279
After-tax cash flow
$2,247/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home is in fair condition with significant repairs and maintenance needed. A comprehensive renovation is required to improve its condition and increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — The roof appears to be in poor condition and may need replacement.
  • Major exterior siding — The exterior siding and paint show significant wear and tear.
  • Major flooring — The flooring in the interior appears to be carpeted and in poor condition.
  • Major interior walls/paint — The interior walls and paint show signs of wear and tear.
  • Major landscaping — The landscaping and curb appeal are minimal, with overgrown grass and trees.
  • Major HVAC system — The HVAC system appears to be old and may need replacement.
  • Major foundation/structure — The foundation and structure appear to be in poor condition, with visible cracks and wear.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale roof replacement — A new roof will significantly improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
  • Resale exterior siding and paint — A new exterior siding and paint job will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
  • Resale flooring — New flooring will improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Resale interior walls and paint — New interior walls and paint will improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both landscaping — A well-maintained landscape will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
  • Resale HVAC system — A new HVAC system will improve the home's comfort and increase its value.
  • Resale foundation and structure repair — Repairing the foundation and structure will improve the home's structural integrity and increase its value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · The roof appears to be in poor condition and may need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · The exterior siding and paint show significant wear and tear. Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · The flooring in the interior appears to be carpeted and in poor condition. Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls/paint · The interior walls and paint show signs of wear and tear. Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · The landscaping and curb appeal are minimal, with overgrown grass and trees. Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC system · The HVAC system appears to be old and may need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
foundation/structure · The foundation and structure appear to be in poor condition, with visible cracks and wear. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 7 items $105,000–350,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale roof replacement — A new roof will significantly improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
  • Resale exterior siding and paint — A new exterior siding and paint job will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
  • Resale flooring — New flooring will improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Resale interior walls and paint — New interior walls and paint will improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both landscaping — A well-maintained landscape will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
  • Resale HVAC system — A new HVAC system will improve the home's comfort and increase its value.
  • Resale foundation and structure repair — Repairing the foundation and structure will improve the home's structural integrity and increase its value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flippin School District
NCES district ID
0506150
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$35,855
Composite
26.54/100
National rank
#7194
State rank
#143 of 238 in AR

Livability — Bull Shoals

Score
67/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#10104

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,671
Population (ZIP)
4,755

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,979 people
By 2030
14,153 · -5.5%
By 2040
12,546 · -16.2%
By 2050
11,386 · -24.0%
By 2075
9,663 · -35.5%
By 2100
8,248 · -44.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Romanian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.2) · D 19.1% · R 79.3% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-30.3pp toward R · 2008: -29.9pp · 2024: -60.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.2 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+55.1 2012: R+39.1 2008: R+29.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.94%
Current HPI
182.4931
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-14 Listed $89,900 MHMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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