221 D St · Dickinson, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Clean inexpensive living with 3 bedrooms, 1 bath. Kitchen appliances plus washer, dryer, and some furniture included.
Key facts
- Built 2005
- Listed 28 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing broker: Nest Real Estate
- Financial info: Annual tax information available
- HOA & community: Not specified
Exterior
- Parking: Not specified
- Security: Not specified
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Mobile home; Residential property
- Construction: Foundation: None indicated
- Exterior features: Rented lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Not specified
- Bedrooms: Not specified
- Flooring: Not specified
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Five total rooms; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Not specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $727 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $34k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 31.2% vs local median 2.9% in Dickinson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in ND, #3,334 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Dickinson 1 (town): math 35% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #29 of 53 in ND (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 235 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 20 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stark County population projected at +120% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 31.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 89.04%
- DSCR
- 4.96
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $80,360
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1126 6th Ave SE | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+12%) | 1mo | $89,900 | $82 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 88.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.02×
- Total profit
- $39,379
- Equity at exit
- $5,219
- IRR
- 91.3%
- Equity multiple
- 10.07×
- Total profit
- $88,851
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58601
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 235
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,227 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$44 /mo · $525/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $727
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $35,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $35,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $35,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $35,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $35,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $35,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $35,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $35,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $35,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $35,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $35,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $35,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $35,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $35,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $35,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $35,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-21$35,000 Active
-
2023-09-06historical 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
Economical living, Possible lake cabin. All Appliances including Washer & Dryer. Furniture in home can stay. Rent from Southview or move to your site. NEW SHINGLES.
-
2023-09-06historical 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
Economical living, Possible lake cabin. All Appliances including Washer & Dryer. Furniture in home can stay. Rent from Southview or move to your site. NEW SHINGLES.
-
2019-04-16$22,500 117-char remark
Show marketing remark (117 chars)
Clean inexpensive living with 3 bedrooms, 1 bath. Kitchen appliances plus washer, dryer, and some furniture included.
-
2018-04-24$22,500 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
Economical living, Possible lake cabin. All Appliances including Washer & Dryer. Furniture in home can stay. Rent from Southview or move to your site. NEW SHINGLES.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,720
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$525
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,178
- − Management
- −$1,178
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $8,686
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,085
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,642/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and value. The interior is well-maintained, and the home is ready for a fresh paint job and some landscaping improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls and trim — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value.
- Both Replace window treatments — New window treatments can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Install a new front door — A new front door can significantly improve curb appeal and security.
- Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal and value.
- Both Add landscaping features — Landscaping can enhance curb appeal and add value to the property.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls and trim — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Both Replace window treatments — New window treatments can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Install a new front door — A new front door can significantly improve curb appeal and security. ↑
- Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal and value. ↑
- Both Add landscaping features — Landscaping can enhance curb appeal and add value to the property. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dickinson 1
- NCES district ID
- 3800038
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,270
- Composite
- 34.9/100
- National rank
- #5080
- State rank
- #29 of 53 in ND
Livability — Dickinson
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #3334
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dickinson, ND
- County
- Stark County · 29,916 people
- City population
- 29,916
- Metro
- Dickinson, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,916
- Household income
- $85,821
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 813.0
Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 50,426 people
- By 2030
- 60,812 · +20.6%
- By 2040
- 84,155 · +66.9%
- By 2050
- 110,718 · +119.6%
- By 2075
- 186,710 · +270.3%
- By 2100
- 264,902 · +425.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stark
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.6) · D 16.5% · R 82.1% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.5pp toward R · 2008: -29.1pp · 2024: -65.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.6 2020: R+63.9 2016: R+65.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+29.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -133.57%
- Current HPI
- 188.1029
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- Metro
- Dickinson, ND
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
+55.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $35,000 Badlands BOR MLS
- 2023-09-06 Delisted — Badlands BOR MLS
- 2023-09-06 Delisted — Badlands BOR MLS
- 2019-04-16 Listed $22,500 Badlands BOR MLS
- 2018-04-24 Listed $22,500 Badlands BOR MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…