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221 D St
B Composite 71.78
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$35,000

221 D St · Dickinson, ND 58601
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured · 29 Days on market
Built 2005 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Clean inexpensive living with 3 bedrooms, 1 bath. Kitchen appliances plus washer, dryer, and some furniture included.

Key facts

  • Built 2005
  • Listed 28 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing broker: Nest Real Estate
  • Financial info: Annual tax information available
  • HOA & community: Not specified

Exterior

  • Parking: Not specified
  • Security: Not specified
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Mobile home; Residential property
  • Construction: Foundation: None indicated
  • Exterior features: Rented lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Not specified
  • Bedrooms: Not specified
  • Flooring: Not specified
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Not specified

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $727 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $34k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 31.2% vs local median 2.9% in Dickinson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in ND, #3,334 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Dickinson 1 (town): math 35% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #29 of 53 in ND (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 235 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 20 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stark County population projected at +120% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $34,475 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.50%
Cap rate
31.22%
Cash-on-cash
89.04%
DSCR
4.96
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$80,360
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1126 6th Ave SE 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (+12%) 1mo $89,900 $82 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
88.5%
Equity multiple
5.02×
Total profit
$39,379
Equity at exit
$5,219
10-year hold
IRR
91.3%
Equity multiple
10.07×
Total profit
$88,851
Equity at exit
$3,026

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58601

Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
235
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,227 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax est. 1.5%
$44 /mo · $525/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$258
Net cashflow
$727

Break-even live

Break-even rent $306
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 36%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $35,000 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $35,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $35,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $35,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $35,000 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $35,000 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $35,000 Active 22 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $35,000 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $35,000 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $35,000 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $35,000 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $35,000 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $35,000 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $35,000 Active 11 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $35,000 Active 10 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $35,000 Active 9 DOM
  17. 2026-05-21
    listed $35,000 Active
  18. 2023-09-06
    historical 117-char remark
    Show marketing remark (170 chars)

    Economical living, Possible lake cabin. All Appliances including Washer & Dryer. Furniture in home can stay. Rent from Southview or move to your site. NEW SHINGLES.

  19. 2023-09-06
    historical 170-char remark
    Show marketing remark (170 chars)

    Economical living, Possible lake cabin. All Appliances including Washer & Dryer. Furniture in home can stay. Rent from Southview or move to your site. NEW SHINGLES.

  20. 2019-04-16
    listed $22,500 117-char remark
    Show marketing remark (117 chars)

    Clean inexpensive living with 3 bedrooms, 1 bath. Kitchen appliances plus washer, dryer, and some furniture included.

  21. 2018-04-24
    listed $22,500 170-char remark
    Show marketing remark (170 chars)

    Economical living, Possible lake cabin. All Appliances including Washer & Dryer. Furniture in home can stay. Rent from Southview or move to your site. NEW SHINGLES.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,720
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$525
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,178
− Management
−$1,178
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$8,686
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,085
After-tax cash flow
$6,642/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and value. The interior is well-maintained, and the home is ready for a fresh paint job and some landscaping improvements.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls and trim — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value.
  • Both Replace window treatments — New window treatments can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Install a new front door — A new front door can significantly improve curb appeal and security.
  • Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal and value.
  • Both Add landscaping features — Landscaping can enhance curb appeal and add value to the property.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls and trim — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value.
  • Both Replace window treatments — New window treatments can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Install a new front door — A new front door can significantly improve curb appeal and security.
  • Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal and value.
  • Both Add landscaping features — Landscaping can enhance curb appeal and add value to the property.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dickinson 1
NCES district ID
3800038
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$63,270
Composite
34.9/100
National rank
#5080
State rank
#29 of 53 in ND

Livability — Dickinson

Score
76/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#3334

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dickinson, ND
County
Stark County · 29,916 people
City population
29,916
Metro
Dickinson, ND
Population (ZIP)
29,916
Household income
$85,821
Rent vs Own
35.4% rent · 64.6% own
Severe rent burden
813.0

Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,426 people
By 2030
60,812 · +20.6%
By 2040
84,155 · +66.9%
By 2050
110,718 · +119.6%
By 2075
186,710 · +270.3%
By 2100
264,902 · +425.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stark

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.6) · D 16.5% · R 82.1% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-36.5pp toward R · 2008: -29.1pp · 2024: -65.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.6 2020: R+63.9 2016: R+65.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+29.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -133.57%
Current HPI
188.1029
Rent YoY
▲ 1.95%
Metro
Dickinson, ND
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+55.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $35,000 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2023-09-06 Delisted Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2023-09-06 Delisted Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2019-04-16 Listed $22,500 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2018-04-24 Listed $22,500 Badlands BOR MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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