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148 Olds Ln
C+ Composite 61.2
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.1/15.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

148 Olds Ln · Swartz, LA 71203
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,128 sqft · Manufactured public records · 2 Days on market
Built 2002 1.56 ac lot $70/sqft · 7% below area Est $163k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 148 Olds Ln in Monroe! This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on 1.56 acres, offering plenty of space to enjoy both inside and out. The property features a fenced-in backyard, perfect for pets, play, or entertaining, along with a covered back porch ideal for relaxing and enjoying peaceful evenings. An above-ground pool adds even more outdoor enjoyment and can remain or be removed to fit the buyer’s needs. With room to spread out and enjoy country-style living while still being convenient to town, this property is one you won’t want to miss!

Key facts

  • Country-style living
  • Fenced-in backyard
  • Above-ground pool

Tags

FENCED-IN BACKYARDCOVERED BACK PORCHABOVE-GROUND POOLCOUNTRY-STYLE LIVING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 1.56 acres; Directions: From Hwy 139, turn left onto Swartz Fairbanks at caution light. Turn left onto Olds Ln (gravel road) just past Topic St. Property on right.
  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking on gravel
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Natural gas not available
  • Home design: Residential mobile home (double wide); One-story; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as a double wide mobile home
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Wood fencing; Landscaped and cleared lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; Electric cooling components
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Double pane windows; Living room fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 6.2% in Swartz — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#184 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Ouachita Parish (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #26 of 98 in LA (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sterlington Elementary School (math 56% / reading 65%, grade B-, #62 of 646 statewide, top 10%, 820 students, 45% FRL); Sterlington Middle School (math 50% / reading 58%, grade B-, #19 of 218 statewide, top 9%, 423 students, 48% FRL); Sterlington High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #58 of 265 statewide, top 23%, 539 students, 41% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 53% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Ouachita Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 437 active listings in the ZIP; 345 units permitted in Ouachita Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $127k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.89%
Cash-on-cash
9.26%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$163,000
List price
$150,000
Delta
-7.98%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
182 Rusty Ln 0.67mi 3/2.0 2,240 (+5%) 2mo $163,000 $73 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-3,696
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$23,216
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71203

Home prices YoY
-32.4%
Active inventory
437
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,595 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,041/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$335
Net cashflow
$324

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,185
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 572-char remark
  2. 2026-05-14
    listed $150,000 Active 572-char remark
  3. 2023-08-28
    soldstatus $127,000
  4. 2023-08-25
    soldstatus
  5. 2023-08-25
    listed $127,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,041 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,041 · $87/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,140
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,041
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,531
− Management
−$1,531
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$1,521
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$365
After-tax cash flow
$3,525/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ouachita Parish
NCES district ID
2201200
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -38.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -31.00%
Median HH income
$43,316
Composite
32.14/100
National rank
#5791
State rank
#26 of 98 in LA

Livability — Swartz

Score
64/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#14862

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Ouachita Parish · 118,340 people
Metro
Monroe, LA
Population (ZIP)
38,354
Household income
$52,326
Rent vs Own
43.7% rent · 56.3% own
Severe rent burden
2085.0

Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
163,370 people
By 2030
165,520 · +1.3%
By 2040
167,652 · +2.6%
By 2050
166,699 · +2.0%
By 2075
156,348 · -4.3%
By 2100
134,102 · -17.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 45% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -27.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.9 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+25.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.01%
Current HPI
206.1948
Rent YoY
Metro
Monroe, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+18.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Pending NELABOR
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $150,000 NELABOR
  • 2023-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $127,000 Public Records
  • 2023-08-25 Listed $127,000 NELABOR
  • 2023-08-25 Sold (MLS) NELABOR

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,041 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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