137 Caroline St · Clyde, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Handyman's special! This expansive colonial offers over 3,000 square feet of space and is filled with original charm, including floor-to-ceiling windows and touches of beautiful stained glass. With 6 bedrooms and 2 full baths, this home has incredible potential-perfect for someone looking to restore a classic property and make it their own.
Key facts
- Stained glass
- Original charm
- 0.38 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Cable available; Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electric
- Home design: Two-story existing home; Resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Copper plumbing; Stone foundation
- Exterior features: Blacktop, dirt, and gravel driveways; Rectangular residential lot (approx. 0.38 acres, 83 x 198); City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Country-style kitchen; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Convertible bedroom(s)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Baseboard heating
- Interior features: Leaded glass windows; Separate/formal dining room; Entrance foyer; Separate/formal living room; Country kitchen; Storage; Natural woodwork; Convertible bedroom; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $607 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#497 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, commute D, amenities F.
- Clyde-Savannah Central School District (rural): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #587 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 259 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $53k; list at $80k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price; built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.55%
- DSCR
- 2.45
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $160,422
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -50.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.46% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $50,403
- Equity at exit
- $38,036
- IRR
- 38.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.50×
- Total profit
- $123,070
- Equity at exit
- $60,313
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14433
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,716 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$297 /mo · $3,558/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $607
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-02$79,900 Active 343-char remark
-
2026-03-31historical
-
2026-01-10status Active
-
2025-12-18historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-12-07$79,900 Active
-
2002-10-02soldstatus $53,000
-
1999-05-17soldstatus $31,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,558 · $297/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,558 · $297/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,592
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$3,558
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,647
- − Management
- −$1,647
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $6,539
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,569
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,712/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clyde-Savannah Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3607860
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,907
- Composite
- 20.89/100
- National rank
- #8490
- State rank
- #587 of 590 in NY
Livability — Clyde
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #497
- US rank
- #8718
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clyde, NY
- City population
- 4,319
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,319
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 85,662 people
- By 2030
- 81,945 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 73,735 · -13.9%
- By 2050
- 65,029 · -24.1%
- By 2075
- 47,451 · -44.6%
- By 2100
- 31,574 · -63.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 6% Polish 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · German/W. Germanic 6% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.1) · D 38.5% · R 61.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.2pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.1 2020: R+19.6 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+9.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.46%
- Current HPI
- 168.8711
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+151.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Listed $79,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2026-01-10 Relisted — UNYREIS
- 2025-12-18 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2025-12-07 Listed $79,900 UNYREIS
- 2002-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 1999-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $31,800 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,558 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…