CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
137 Caroline St
B Composite 74.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$79,900

137 Caroline St · Clyde, NY 14433
6 bd · 1.5 ba · 3,104 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1875 0.38 ac lot $26/sqft · 50% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Handyman's special! This expansive colonial offers over 3,000 square feet of space and is filled with original charm, including floor-to-ceiling windows and touches of beautiful stained glass. With 6 bedrooms and 2 full baths, this home has incredible potential-perfect for someone looking to restore a classic property and make it their own.

Key facts

  • Stained glass
  • Original charm
  • 0.38 acre lot

Tags

FLOOR TO CEILING WINDOWSSTAINED GLASSORIGINAL CHARM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Cable available; Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electric
  • Home design: Two-story existing home; Resale property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Copper plumbing; Stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop, dirt, and gravel driveways; Rectangular residential lot (approx. 0.38 acres, 83 x 198); City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Country-style kitchen; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Convertible bedroom(s)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Baseboard heating
  • Interior features: Leaded glass windows; Separate/formal dining room; Entrance foyer; Separate/formal living room; Country kitchen; Storage; Natural woodwork; Convertible bedroom; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $607 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#497 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, commute D, amenities F.
  • Clyde-Savannah Central School District (rural): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #587 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 259 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $53k; list at $80k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price; built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $77,503 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.15%
Cap rate
15.41%
Cash-on-cash
32.55%
DSCR
2.45
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$160,422
List price
$79,900
Delta
-50.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.46% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.1%
Equity multiple
3.25×
Total profit
$50,403
Equity at exit
$38,036
10-year hold
IRR
38.7%
Equity multiple
6.50×
Total profit
$123,070
Equity at exit
$60,313

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14433

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,716 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$297 /mo · $3,558/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$607

Break-even live

Break-even rent $948
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,900 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $79,900 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $79,900 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 31 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Active 30 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 29 DOM
  15. 2026-05-02
    listed $79,900 Active 343-char remark
  16. 2026-03-31
    historical
  17. 2026-01-10
    status Active
  18. 2025-12-18
    historical Active Under Contract
  19. 2025-12-07
    listed $79,900 Active
  20. 2002-10-02
    soldstatus $53,000
  21. 1999-05-17
    soldstatus $31,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,558 · $297/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,558 · $297/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,592
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$3,558
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,647
− Management
−$1,647
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$6,539
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,569
After-tax cash flow
$5,712/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clyde-Savannah Central School District
NCES district ID
3607860
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$46,907
Composite
20.89/100
National rank
#8490
State rank
#587 of 590 in NY

Livability — Clyde

Score
69/100
State rank
#497
US rank
#8718

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clyde, NY
City population
4,319
Population (ZIP)
4,319

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
85,662 people
By 2030
81,945 · -4.3%
By 2040
73,735 · -13.9%
By 2050
65,029 · -24.1%
By 2075
47,451 · -44.6%
By 2100
31,574 · -63.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 6% Polish 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · German/W. Germanic 6% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.1) · D 38.5% · R 61.5%
2008→2024 swing
-13.2pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -23.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.1 2020: R+19.6 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+9.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.46%
Current HPI
168.8711
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+151.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $79,900 UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-31 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2026-01-10 Relisted UNYREIS
  • 2025-12-18 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2025-12-07 Listed $79,900 UNYREIS
  • 2002-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
  • 1999-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $31,800 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,558 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…