2418 Tredway Dr · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming ranch-style home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, the home offers a comfortable living and dining area, along with an eat-in kitchen complete with plenty of cabinet space, a new stove, and refrigerator. The washer and dryer will also remain with the home for added convenience. Just off the kitchen, you'll find a cozy bonus room with a fireplace that opens to a covered porch overlooking the large fenced backyard -- perfect for cookouts, family gatherings, outdoor games, and room for kids or pets to play. Whether you're searching for a place to call home or looking to expand your investment portfolio, this property is a fantastic opportunity! THIS IS AN 'AS IS' SALE and will only qualify for cash or a conventional loan. No warranties and no repairs will be made by the Seller. Some TLC will spiff this home right up!
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Eat in kitchen
- Ranch style home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $270 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 156 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.63%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $122,445
- List price
- $99,500
- Delta
- -13.51%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2630 Pauladale Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-3%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $131 | 77 |
| 1980 Bayswater Rd | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-10%) | 3mo | $123,600 | $103 | 71 |
| 2410 Tredway Dr | 0.02mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,450 (+8%) | 13mo | $135,000 | $93 | 69 |
| 2535 Hyde Park Rd | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,268 (-5%) | 7mo | $164,000 | $129 | 66 |
| 2401 Kensington Rd | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 17mo | $92,000 | $80 | 59 |
| 2639 Tredway Dr | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+12%) | 3mo | $108,000 | $72 | 52 |
| 2792 Skyline Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,244 (-7%) | 7mo | $59,900 | $48 | 51 |
| 2815 Horseshoe Dr | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,264 (-5%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $119 | 51 |
| 2530 Saratoga Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,453 (+9%) | 19mo | $200,000 | $138 | 48 |
| 2361 Ollie Dr | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,513 (+13%) | 3mo | $50,000 | $33 | 46 |
| 2718 Alandale Dr | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,474 (+10%) | 15mo | $134,900 | $92 | 46 |
| 1251 Boone St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,208 (-10%) | 19mo | $115,000 | $95 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,072
- Equity at exit
- $14,836
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $23,052
- Equity at exit
- $8,603
Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31211
- Active inventory
- 156
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,159 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$522
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $984/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $270
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,875
- Closing costs
- $2,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2525 Tredway Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $825 | $0.80 | 13d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 2117 Knightsbridge Rd Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2055 Pine Hill Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $775 | $0.73 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2050 Meriwood Dr Macon, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 13d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2251 Companion Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $905 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1143 Sunnydale Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $975 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 240 Neptune Ct Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1025 | $875 | $0.85 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2867 New Clinton Rd Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,100 | $0.81 | 13d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1224 Appling Ct Apt B Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $925 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2485 Bristol Dr Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,265 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2871 New Clinton Rd Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 854 Trinity Pl Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $875 | $0.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 720 Baker St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $900 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1984 Clinton Rd Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1084 | $885 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 202 Topaz Ln Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1765 | $1,899 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 202 Topaz Ln Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1765 | $1,899 | $1.08 | 13d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1143 Woolfolk St Unit 3 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $800 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2275 Gray Hwy Macon, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1134 | $1,140 | $1.01 | 13d | 15 | 1.26mi |
| 3240 Commodore Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1135 | $1,200 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3240 Commodore Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1135 | $1,200 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1634 Huntley Ridge Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 13d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1636 Huntley Ridge Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 13d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2623 Flewellyn Ct Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1705 | $1,750 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-03status $99,500 Under Contract 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $99,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,500 New 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,500 New 12 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,500 New 11 DOM
-
2026-05-19historical
-
2026-05-18$99,500 New 910-char remark
Show marketing remark (910 chars)
This charming ranch-style home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, the home offers a comfortable living and dining area, along with an eat-in kitchen complete with plenty of cabinet space, a new stove, and refrigerator. The washer and dryer will also remain with the home for added convenience. Just off the kitchen, you'll find a cozy bonus room with a fireplace that opens to a covered porch overlooking the large fenced backyard -- perfect for cookouts, family gatherings, outdoor games, and room for kids or pets to play. Whether you're searching for a place to call home or looking to expand your investment portfolio, this property is a fantastic opportunity! THIS IS AN 'AS IS' SALE and will only qualify for cash or a conventional loan. No warranties and no repairs will be made by the Seller. Some TLC will spiff this home right up!
-
2026-05-18$99,500 Active
Show marketing remark (910 chars)
This charming ranch-style home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, the home offers a comfortable living and dining area, along with an eat-in kitchen complete with plenty of cabinet space, a new stove, and refrigerator. The washer and dryer will also remain with the home for added convenience. Just off the kitchen, you'll find a cozy bonus room with a fireplace that opens to a covered porch overlooking the large fenced backyard -- perfect for cookouts, family gatherings, outdoor games, and room for kids or pets to play. Whether you're searching for a place to call home or looking to expand your investment portfolio, this property is a fantastic opportunity! THIS IS AN 'AS IS' SALE and will only qualify for cash or a conventional loan. No warranties and no repairs will be made by the Seller. Some TLC will spiff this home right up!
-
2026-05-18$99,500 Active
Show marketing remark (910 chars)
This charming ranch-style home is full of potential and ready for your personal touch. Featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, the home offers a comfortable living and dining area, along with an eat-in kitchen complete with plenty of cabinet space, a new stove, and refrigerator. The washer and dryer will also remain with the home for added convenience. Just off the kitchen, you'll find a cozy bonus room with a fireplace that opens to a covered porch overlooking the large fenced backyard -- perfect for cookouts, family gatherings, outdoor games, and room for kids or pets to play. Whether you're searching for a place to call home or looking to expand your investment portfolio, this property is a fantastic opportunity! THIS IS AN 'AS IS' SALE and will only qualify for cash or a conventional loan. No warranties and no repairs will be made by the Seller. Some TLC will spiff this home right up!
-
2026-05-04price $105,900
-
2026-05-04price $105,900
-
2026-05-04price $105,900
-
2026-04-06price $120,000
-
2026-04-06price $120,000
-
2026-03-08status Back On Market
-
2026-02-03status Under Contract
-
2026-01-19$125,000 New
-
2005-07-14soldstatus $70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $984 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $984 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,905
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,574
- − Property taxes
- −$984
- − Insurance
- −$498
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,112
- − Management
- −$1,112
- − Depreciation
- −$2,895
- Taxable income
- $1,730
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$415
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,826/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,868
- Household income
- $49,202
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1075.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 34% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.58%
- Current HPI
- 174.0861
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+42.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-05-18 Listed $99,500 CGMLS
- 2026-05-18 Listed $99,500 MGMLS
- 2026-05-18 Listed $99,500 GAMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $105,900 MGMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $105,900 CGMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $105,900 GAMLS
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $120,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $120,000 MGMLS
- 2026-03-08 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-02-03 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-01-19 Listed $125,000 GAMLS
- 2005-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+20.8%/yrLatest (2025): $984 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…