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413 Walker St
B- Composite 68.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$115,000

413 Walker St · Osceola Mills, PA 16666
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,104 sqft · Other public records · 243 Days on market
Built 1910 0.25 ac lot $104/sqft · 26% below area Est $155k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 3-Bedroom Home on Dead-End Street Welcome to this beautiful 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with plenty of character. Located on dead-end street, this property offers comfort, privacy, and convenience. 3 bedrooms (1 currently set up as an entrapped office) Bright and freshly painted interior throughout Recent updates including new furnace and windows for peace of mind Large 2-car garage with electric – perfect for vehicles, storage, or a workshop. A shed for your gardening tools & lawn mower. Beautiful backyard with room to relax and entertain Cozy fire pit area for evenings outdoors This home combines charm and practicality, making it a fantastic opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. ;; Don’t miss your chance to own this well-maintained home in a desirable location!

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1910

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,099 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Philipsburg-Osceola Area SD (town): math 42% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #258 of 539 in PA (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 399 units permitted in Centre County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
  • Centre County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 243 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $8k; list at $115k implies a 1253% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $101,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 243 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.47%
Cash-on-cash
7.78%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$154,745
List price
$115,000
Delta
-25.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$19,245
Equity at exit
$43,335
10-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
2.87×
Total profit
$60,187
Equity at exit
$60,884

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16666

Home prices YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,161 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $688/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$209

Break-even live

Break-even rent $897
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $274 -5% $241 +0% $209 +5% $176 +10% $144
Rent -10% $117 -5% $163 +0% $209 +5% $255 +10% $301
Rate -1.0pp $267 -0.5pp $238 base $209 +0.5pp $179 +1.0pp $149

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    Charming 3-Bedroom Home on Dead-End Street Welcome to this beautiful 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with plenty of character. Located on dead-end street, this property offers comfort, privacy, and convenience. 3 bedrooms (1 currently set up as an entrapped office) Bright and freshly painted interior throughout Recent updates including new furnace and windows for peace of mind Large 2-car garage with electric – perfect for vehicles, storage, or a workshop. A shed for your gardening tools & lawn mower. Beautiful backyard with room to relax and entertain Cozy fire pit area for evenings outdoors This home combines charm and practicality, making it a fantastic opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. ;; Don’t miss your chance to own this well-maintained home in a desirable location!

  2. 2026-03-31
    price $115,000 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    Charming 3-Bedroom Home on Dead-End Street Welcome to this beautiful 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with plenty of character. Located on dead-end street, this property offers comfort, privacy, and convenience. 3 bedrooms (1 currently set up as an entrapped office) Bright and freshly painted interior throughout Recent updates including new furnace and windows for peace of mind Large 2-car garage with electric – perfect for vehicles, storage, or a workshop. A shed for your gardening tools & lawn mower. Beautiful backyard with room to relax and entertain Cozy fire pit area for evenings outdoors This home combines charm and practicality, making it a fantastic opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. ;; Don’t miss your chance to own this well-maintained home in a desirable location!

  3. 2026-03-14
    price $125,000 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    Charming 3-Bedroom Home on Dead-End Street Welcome to this beautiful 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with plenty of character. Located on dead-end street, this property offers comfort, privacy, and convenience. 3 bedrooms (1 currently set up as an entrapped office) Bright and freshly painted interior throughout Recent updates including new furnace and windows for peace of mind Large 2-car garage with electric – perfect for vehicles, storage, or a workshop. A shed for your gardening tools & lawn mower. Beautiful backyard with room to relax and entertain Cozy fire pit area for evenings outdoors This home combines charm and practicality, making it a fantastic opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. ;; Don’t miss your chance to own this well-maintained home in a desirable location!

  4. 2025-10-24
    price $130,000 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    Charming 3-Bedroom Home on Dead-End Street Welcome to this beautiful 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with plenty of character. Located on dead-end street, this property offers comfort, privacy, and convenience. 3 bedrooms (1 currently set up as an entrapped office) Bright and freshly painted interior throughout Recent updates including new furnace and windows for peace of mind Large 2-car garage with electric – perfect for vehicles, storage, or a workshop. A shed for your gardening tools & lawn mower. Beautiful backyard with room to relax and entertain Cozy fire pit area for evenings outdoors This home combines charm and practicality, making it a fantastic opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. ;; Don’t miss your chance to own this well-maintained home in a desirable location!

  5. 2025-09-11
    listed $141,000 Active 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    Charming 3-Bedroom Home on Dead-End Street Welcome to this beautiful 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with plenty of character. Located on dead-end street, this property offers comfort, privacy, and convenience. 3 bedrooms (1 currently set up as an entrapped office) Bright and freshly painted interior throughout Recent updates including new furnace and windows for peace of mind Large 2-car garage with electric – perfect for vehicles, storage, or a workshop. A shed for your gardening tools & lawn mower. Beautiful backyard with room to relax and entertain Cozy fire pit area for evenings outdoors This home combines charm and practicality, making it a fantastic opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. ;; Don’t miss your chance to own this well-maintained home in a desirable location!

  6. 1972-07-27
    soldstatus $8,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$688 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,253 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$564/yr (+$47/mo · 82.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,931
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$688
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,115
− Management
−$1,115
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$652
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$156
After-tax cash flow
$2,349/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Philipsburg-Osceola Area SD
NCES district ID
4219020
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$40,645
Composite
39.37/100
National rank
#3977
State rank
#258 of 539 in PA

Livability — Osceola Mills

Score
65/100
State rank
#1099
US rank
#12436

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,774

Population outlook (Centre County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
177,113 people
By 2030
185,138 · +4.5%
By 2040
196,009 · +10.7%
By 2050
205,070 · +15.8%
By 2075
217,575 · +22.8%
By 2100
230,649 · +30.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 6% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Centre

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 48.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-9.0pp toward R · 2008: 11.8pp · 2024: 2.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.8 2020: D+4.8 2016: D+1.9 2012: R+0.0 2008: D+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.67%
Current HPI
125.5277
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1252.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-14 Price Changed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-24 Price Changed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-11 Listed $141,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1972-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $8,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $688 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…