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D- Composite 39.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.7/30.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

6120 Westford Rd · Trotwood, OH 45426
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,304 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1969 Est $260k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

very large master bedroom w/ vnity, walk in closet and master bathroom, new garage doors and motors, All new double pane windows and shutters, New HVAC and 40 Gallon hot water tank, Newly remodeled basement with laundry-utility room, laminate inlay dance floor with surrounding 3 ft carpeting, basement entertainment system which has dolby 5.1 speakrs built into the ceilings, stereo, multi-disk CD, DVD and Karaoke systems within hidden sub-woofer. There is also an unmounted projector and an additional storage room entrance door. Basement lights on multi-area dimmers controlling recessed movable ceiling lights.

Key facts

  • Hot water tank
  • New garage doors
  • New hvac

Tags

WALK IN CLOSETMASTER BATHROOMNEW GARAGE DOORSNEW DOUBLE PANE WINDOWSNEW HVACHOT WATER TANK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (12.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $241k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,014 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Trotwood-Madison City (suburban): math 9% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #645 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Trotwood-Madison Early Learning Center (416 students, 0% FRL); Trotwood-Madison Middle School (math 8% / reading 18%, grade F, #640 of 654 statewide, top 98%, 608 students, 0% FRL); Trotwood-Madison High School (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #717 of 781 statewide, top 92%, 770 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 78% district-wide (78 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,410/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 852% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $167k; list at $275k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $241,029 (12.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
7.05%
Cash-on-cash
2.71%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$260,352
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6200 Weybridge Dr 0.09mi 4/2.5 2,080 (-10%) 6mo $235,000 $113 75
5570 Olive Tree Dr 0.23mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,207 (-4%) 9mo $255,000 $116 69
6128 Weybridge Dr 0.07mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,207 (-4%) 22mo $220,000 $100 67
5924 Hillary 0.68mi 4/2.5 2,312 (+0%) 12mo $239,900 $104 58
5893 Hillary St 0.64mi 4/2.5 2,190 (-5%) 12mo $270,000 $123 52
6338 Weybridge Dr 0.27mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,562 (+11%) 18mo $240,000 $94 49
5735 Ericsson Way 0.53mi 4/2.5 2,026 (-12%) 17mo $231,000 $114 41
4816 Stonehedge St 0.60mi 4/2.5 1,978 (-14%) 9mo $265,000 $134 41
5848 Horrell Rd 0.73mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,110 (-8%) 21mo $217,000 $103 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-33,572
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
-3.0%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-15,272
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45426

Home prices YoY
-12.0%
Active inventory
49
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,410 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$174 /mo · $2,086/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$506
Net cashflow
$174

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,191
Max offer price $275,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $329 -5% $251 +0% $174 +5% $96 +10% $18
Rent -10% $-17 -5% $78 +0% $174 +5% $269 +10% $364
Rate -1.0pp $312 -0.5pp $244 base $174 +0.5pp $102 +1.0pp $30

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4220 Willow Creek Dr Dayton, OH 5.0 3.0 2598 $3,000 $1.15 21d 1 1.06mi
5261 Bromwick Dr Dayton, OH 4.0 2.0 1765 $1,595 $0.90 45d 1 1.32mi
6701 Whitaker St Dayton, OH 4.0 2.5 2487 $2,800 $1.13 45d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $275,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    remarks 615-char remark
  3. 2026-06-18
    listed $275,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,086 · $174/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,188 · $266/mo
Expected delta
+$1,102/yr (+$92/mo · 52.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,923
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$2,086
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,314
− Management
−$2,314
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$2,569
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$617
After-tax cash flow
$2,700/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Trotwood-Madison City
NCES district ID
3904869
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$33,529
Composite
12.15/100
National rank
#9651
State rank
#645 of 656 in OH

Livability — Trotwood

Score
59/100
State rank
#1014
US rank
#20073

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Trotwood, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
19,754
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
14,114
Household income
$51,908
Rent vs Own
44.7% rent · 55.3% own
Severe rent burden
852.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 22% Two or more races 7% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.94%
Current HPI
329.0106
Rent YoY
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+420.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $275,000 FSBO.com
  • 2004-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $167,000 Public Records
  • 1982-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $52,827 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,086 · -39.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…