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4119 Fortune Ln
C- Composite 51.02
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$241,999

4119 Fortune Ln · Dallas, TX 75216
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,019 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 165 Days on market
Built 1955 7,492 sqft lot Est $299k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well Priced With Motivated Seller! See this charming and newly updated home offering the perfect blend of original character and modern upgrades. This spacious 3-bedroom property features two inviting living areas, a large sunroom filled with natural light, and original hardwood floors that bring timeless beauty throughout the home. The beautifully remodeled interior includes new fixtures, fresh paint inside and out, and a stunning stone fireplace that serves as a warm and stylish focal point. The bright breakfast nook just off the sunroom creates the perfect spot to enjoy your morning coffee. Step outside to a generous backyard, ideal for gatherings, play, or gardening. Covered parking fo

Key facts

  • Remodeled interior
  • Fresh paint
  • Large sunroom

Tags

TWO INVITING LIVING AREASLARGE SUNROOMORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSREMODELED INTERIORNEW FIXTURESFRESH PAINT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Deed restrictions; Possession at closing/funding
  • Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, and VA financing; Special taxing entities: No
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (covered) with 2 spaces
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1955; Brick and wood construction; Composition roof; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot less than 0.5 acre; Subdivision: Marsalis Park

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Stone fireplace
  • Interior features: Chandelier; Eat-in kitchen; Skylights; Three living areas; Two dining areas; Room count: 11
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room; Full-size washer/dryer area; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $242k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($407/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (2.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $213k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Clara Oliver El (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 204 students, 92% FRL); Boude Storey Middle (math 23% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,177 of 1,662 statewide, top 72%, 445 students, 98% FRL); South Oak Cliff H S (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,522 of 1,632 statewide, top 94%, 1,513 students, 94% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,359/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 2465% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $212,959 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.60%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$298,812
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4119 Fortune Ln 0.00mi 3/1.5 2,019 (0%) 1mo $241,999 $120 99
3916 S Marsalis Ave 0.18mi 3/3.0 2,000 (-1%) 13mo $240,000 $120 73
4141 Huckleberry Cir 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,896 (-6%) 8mo $279,900 $148 58
3920 Vanette Ln 0.19mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,732 (-14%) 5mo $265,000 $153 56
4310 Utah Ave 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,759 (-13%) 1mo $185,000 $105 56
3907 Vanette Ln 0.24mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,748 (-13%) 15mo $299,999 $172 47
1354 E Ann Arbor Ave 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,910 (-5%) 21mo $240,000 $126 36
3418 Arizona Ave 0.58mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,234 (+11%) 12mo $440,000 $197 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.8%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-34,038
Equity at exit
$36,083
10-year hold
IRR
-2.9%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-14,199
Equity at exit
$20,924

Cash invested: $67,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75216

Home prices YoY
-29.7%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
253
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,359 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,269
Tax from tax record
$460 /mo · $5,514/yr
Insurance
$101
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$495
Net cashflow
$34

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,316
Max offer price $241,999
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $171 -5% $102 +0% $34 +5% $-35 +10% $-103
Rent -10% $-152 -5% $-59 +0% $34 +5% $127 +10% $220
Rate -1.0pp $156 -0.5pp $96 base $34 +0.5pp $-29 +1.0pp $-93

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,500
Closing costs
$7,260
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1209 Grinnell St Dallas, TX 4.0 2.0 1892 $2,150 $1.14 3d 1 0.51mi
3806 Morning Springs Trl Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1512 $2,300 $1.52 20d 1 0.92mi
4918 Rockport Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1673 $1,800 $1.08 9d 1 0.98mi
532 W Five Mile Pkwy Dallas, TX 3.0 2.5 2115 $3,500 $1.65 9d 1 1.01mi
1510 Maywood Ave Dallas, TX 4.0 2.5 1869 $2,220 $1.19 45d 1 1.04mi
621 Tarryall Dr Dallas, TX 4.0 2.0 1756 $2,200 $1.25 9d 1 1.05mi
2844 S Marsalis Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 3.5 1788 $2,300 $1.29 45d 1 1.22mi
2842 S Marsalis Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 3.5 1788 $2,300 $1.29 45d 1 1.22mi
2830 S Marsalis Ave Dallas, TX 4.0 2.0 1960 $3,000 $1.53 45d 1 1.25mi
2628 S Marsalis Ave Dallas, TX 4.0 2.0 1656 $2,120 $1.28 1d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-01
    historical Active Option Contract
  3. 2026-04-17
    price $241,999
  4. 2026-03-31
    price $246,999
  5. 2026-03-31
    status Active
  6. 2026-03-12
    price $254,999
  7. 2026-02-16
    price $259,900
  8. 2025-11-14
    listed $265,000 Active
  9. 2023-08-22
    historical $1,850
  10. 2023-08-05
    listed $1,850
  11. 2022-08-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,514 · $460/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,514 · $460/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,305
− Mortgage interest
−$13,556
− Property taxes
−$5,514
− Insurance
−$1,210
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,264
− Management
−$2,264
− Depreciation
−$7,040
Taxable loss
−$3,544
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$851
After-tax cash flow
$1,258/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dallas ISD
NCES district ID
4816230
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,881
Composite
28.41/100
National rank
#6763
State rank
#559 of 826 in TX

Livability — Dallas

Score
81/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#1380

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dallas, TX
County
Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
City population
1,168,437
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
55,894
Household income
$41,386
Rent vs Own
44.2% rent · 55.8% own
Severe rent burden
2465.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,979,839 people
By 2030
3,191,823 · +7.1%
By 2040
3,619,611 · +21.5%
By 2050
4,026,915 · +35.1%
By 2075
4,957,073 · +66.4%
By 2100
5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (51%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 51% Hispanic / Latino 44% Two or more races 14% White 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 40%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 37%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -126.35%
Current HPI
299.1825
Rent YoY
▲ 4.20%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+12981.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-05-01 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $241,999 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $246,999 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-31 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $254,999 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $259,900 NTREIS
  • 2025-11-14 Listed $265,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-08-22 Rental Removed $1,850 NTREIS
  • 2023-08-05 Listed for Rent $1,850 NTREIS
  • 2022-08-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,514 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…