216 Cherry St NW · Bertha, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- Appreciation +9.2/10.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$108,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WAY, WAY cheaper than rent. Very clean home with updates all around inside and out (see supplements). Could be put back to 3 Beds, but currently huge master bdrm with full bath and 2 closets. Sunken living room creates a very cozy and relaxing space with ample room for that huge TV. Kitchen has all newer appliances, partial island and room for a good sized dining table. Outside has a two-tiered deck, new steps both at front and back entry doors. Garage is a true double size. Also paved alley way. Do not hesitate on this one! Turn key property!
Key facts
- 2 level deck
- Insulated pipes
- Kitchen updates
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached 2-car garage (28 x 24); Garage approximately 672 square feet
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas; Circuit breaker electrical service (Minnesota Power)
- Home design: Residential manufactured home; One level
- Construction: Asphalt roof (over 8 years old); Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as a manufactured home
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Deck; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One three-quarter bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Main floor 3/4 bath and main floor full bath; Main floor laundry; No basement; Dishwasher, Dryer, Electric water heater, Microwave, Range, Refrigerator, Washer
- Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer on the main level; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $108k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $108k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#631 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, crime D-.
- Bertha-Hewitt Public School District (rural): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #120 of 301 in MN (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 167 units permitted in Todd County in 2024 (78 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($747 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
- Todd County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $66k; list at $108k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.50%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.08×
- Total profit
- $62,802
- Equity at exit
- $85,353
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.66×
- Total profit
- $171,019
- Equity at exit
- $172,676
Cash invested: $30,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56437
- Home prices YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,135 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$566
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $554/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $239
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $300 | -5% $270 | +0% $239 | +5% $209 | +10% $178 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $150 | -5% $195 | +0% $239 | +5% $284 | +10% $329 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $294 | -0.5pp $267 | base $239 | +0.5pp $211 | +1.0pp $183 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,000
- Closing costs
- $3,240
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $108,000 Pending 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $108,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $108,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $108,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $108,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $108,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $108,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $108,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $108,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 679-char remark
-
2026-06-07$108,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $554 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $882 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- +$328/yr (+$27/mo · 59.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,624
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,050
- − Property taxes
- −$554
- − Insurance
- −$540
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,090
- − Management
- −$1,090
- − Depreciation
- −$3,142
- Taxable income
- $1,158
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$278
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,594/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bertha-Hewitt Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2705430
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,200
- Composite
- 42.76/100
- National rank
- #3155
- State rank
- #120 of 301 in MN
Livability — Bertha
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #631
- US rank
- #15069
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bertha, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,409
Population outlook (Todd County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,202 people
- By 2030
- 20,962 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 18,352 · -17.3%
- By 2050
- 15,904 · -28.4%
- By 2075
- 11,348 · -48.9%
- By 2100
- 7,801 · -64.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 9% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 1%
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · German/W. Germanic 20%
Political lean MEDSL · Todd
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.5) · D 22.5% · R 76.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -42.4pp toward R · 2008: -11.1pp · 2024: -53.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.5 2020: R+48.8 2016: R+47.7 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+11.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.45%
- Current HPI
- 214.4849
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+176.9% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $108,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $65,900 Public Records
- 2023-08-09 Sold (MLS) $65,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-05 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-17 Listed $65,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-06-30 Sold (MLS) $38,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-06-30 Sold (MLS) $37,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-05-28 Listed $37,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-11-17 Sold (MLS) $29,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-10-12 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-09-26 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-09-24 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-02 Price Changed $31,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-06 Price Changed $35,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-25 Listed $39,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2026): $554 · +23.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…