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216 Cherry St NW
B- Composite 68.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.2/10.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$108,000

216 Cherry St NW · Bertha, MN 56437
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · SingleFamily · 14 Days on market
Built 1986 5,706 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WAY, WAY cheaper than rent. Very clean home with updates all around inside and out (see supplements). Could be put back to 3 Beds, but currently huge master bdrm with full bath and 2 closets. Sunken living room creates a very cozy and relaxing space with ample room for that huge TV. Kitchen has all newer appliances, partial island and room for a good sized dining table. Outside has a two-tiered deck, new steps both at front and back entry doors. Garage is a true double size. Also paved alley way. Do not hesitate on this one! Turn key property!

Key facts

  • 2 level deck
  • Insulated pipes
  • Kitchen updates

Tags

MOVE IN READYKITCHEN UPDATES2 LEVEL DECKINSULATED PIPES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached or attached 2-car garage (28 x 24); Garage approximately 672 square feet
  • Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas; Circuit breaker electrical service (Minnesota Power)
  • Home design: Residential manufactured home; One level
  • Construction: Asphalt roof (over 8 years old); Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as a manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Deck; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One three-quarter bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Main floor 3/4 bath and main floor full bath; Main floor laundry; No basement; Dishwasher, Dryer, Electric water heater, Microwave, Range, Refrigerator, Washer
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer on the main level; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $108k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $108k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#631 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, crime D-.
  • Bertha-Hewitt Public School District (rural): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #120 of 301 in MN (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 167 units permitted in Todd County in 2024 (78 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($747 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
  • Todd County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $66k; list at $108k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $108,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.95%
Cash-on-cash
9.50%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.2%
Equity multiple
3.08×
Total profit
$62,802
Equity at exit
$85,353
10-year hold
IRR
25.1%
Equity multiple
6.66×
Total profit
$171,019
Equity at exit
$172,676

Cash invested: $30,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56437

Home prices YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,135 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$566
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $554/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$239

Break-even live

Break-even rent $832
Max offer price $108,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $300 -5% $270 +0% $239 +5% $209 +10% $178
Rent -10% $150 -5% $195 +0% $239 +5% $284 +10% $329
Rate -1.0pp $294 -0.5pp $267 base $239 +0.5pp $211 +1.0pp $183

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,000
Closing costs
$3,240
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $108,000 Pending 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $108,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $108,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $108,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $108,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $108,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $108,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $108,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $108,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 679-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $108,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$554 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$882 · $73/mo
Expected delta
+$328/yr (+$27/mo · 59.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,624
− Mortgage interest
−$6,050
− Property taxes
−$554
− Insurance
−$540
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,090
− Management
−$1,090
− Depreciation
−$3,142
Taxable income
$1,158
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$278
After-tax cash flow
$2,594/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bertha-Hewitt Public School District
NCES district ID
2705430
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$41,200
Composite
42.76/100
National rank
#3155
State rank
#120 of 301 in MN

Livability — Bertha

Score
63/100
State rank
#631
US rank
#15069

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bertha, MN
Population (ZIP)
1,409

Population outlook (Todd County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,202 people
By 2030
20,962 · -5.6%
By 2040
18,352 · -17.3%
By 2050
15,904 · -28.4%
By 2075
11,348 · -48.9%
By 2100
7,801 · -64.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 9% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 1%
Languages at home
80% English-only · German/W. Germanic 20%

Political lean MEDSL · Todd

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.5) · D 22.5% · R 76.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-42.4pp toward R · 2008: -11.1pp · 2024: -53.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.5 2020: R+48.8 2016: R+47.7 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+11.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.45%
Current HPI
214.4849
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+176.9% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $108,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $65,900 Public Records
  • 2023-08-09 Sold (MLS) $65,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-05 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-17 Listed $65,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-06-30 Sold (MLS) $38,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-06-30 Sold (MLS) $37,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-05-28 Listed $37,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-11-17 Sold (MLS) $29,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-10-12 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-09-26 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-09-24 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-08-02 Price Changed $31,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-06 Price Changed $35,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-03-25 Listed $39,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $554 · +23.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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