🏷️ Likely Rental
107 Herring St · Leesville, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home is a GREAT RENTAL PROPERTY or a GREAT permanent landing spot for you and your crew!! This home has been rented from 1100-1200 per month, but would easily transition to your home with SO much convenience and SUCH a great yard! it's 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, separate dining area, kitchen, MULTIPURPOSE room, tankless hot water heater, new roof and a/c within the last 3 years! This is a great location with a great opportunity for your cash flow or forever home! Listing Agent is Owner/Agent.
Key facts
- A c
- Kitchen
- Multipurpose room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $373 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 5.5% in Leesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#30 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Vernon Parish (rural): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #18 of 98 in LA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Rosepine Elementary School (math 25% / reading 50%, grade F, #247 of 646 statewide, top 39%, 830 students, 55% FRL); Vernon Middle School (math 30% / reading 41%, grade F, #91 of 218 statewide, top 42%, 477 students, 60% FRL); Leesville High School (math 32% / reading 54%, grade F, #66 of 265 statewide, top 25%, 884 students, 47% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.6%/yr); 249 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 26 units permitted in Vernon Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Vernon County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 173 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $99k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 173 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.16%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $130,630
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -24.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 Carl | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,348 (+5%) | 3mo | $50,000 | $37 | 73 |
| 112 Herring St | 0.03mi | 3/1.5 | 1,350 (+5%) | 18mo | $134,000 | $99 | 73 |
| 106 Powell | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,244 (-3%) | 2mo | $164,000 | $132 | 73 |
| 128 Powell Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,388 (+8%) | 12mo | $120,000 | $86 | 52 |
| 208 N 1st St | 0.65mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,263 (-1%) | 8mo | $168,000 | $133 | 47 |
| 1 Katherine Loop | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,160 (-9%) | 19mo | $120,500 | $104 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $14,326
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.64×
- Total profit
- $73,098
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 11 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 33.0 mo (3%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $124,900 ($99/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 113 d
- This list price
- 27% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +2.9% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 71446
- Home prices YoY
- -32.1%
- Rents YoY
- 9.6%
- Active inventory
- 249
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,251 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $659/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $373
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $429 | -5% $401 | +0% $373 | +5% $345 | +10% $317 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $274 | -5% $324 | +0% $373 | +5% $423 | +10% $472 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $423 | -0.5pp $399 | base $373 | +0.5pp $348 | +1.0pp $322 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207 Belview Rd Leesville, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 93d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 347 Watson Rd Unit 20 Leesville, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $595 | $0.51 | 93d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 347 Watson Rd Unit 12 Leesville, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $575 | $0.50 | 93d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 10 Katherine Loop Leesville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,100 | $0.99 | 93d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1219 Port Arthur Ter Leesville, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,400 | $0.78 | 93d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $99,000 Active 173 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $99,000 Active 172 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $99,000 Active 171 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $99,000 Active 170 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $99,000 Active 169 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $99,000 Active 168 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $99,000 Active 165 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $99,000 Active 164 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $99,000 Active 163 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $99,000 Active 161 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $99,000 Active 159 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $99,000 Active 158 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $99,000 Active 157 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $99,000 Active 156 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $99,000 Active 155 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $99,000 Active 152 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $99,000 Active 150 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $99,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $99,000 Active 148 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $99,000 Active 147 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $99,000 Active 146 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $99,000 Active 145 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $99,000 Active 144 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $99,000 Active 143 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $99,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $99,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $99,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $99,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $99,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $99,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $99,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $99,000 Active 135 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $99,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $99,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $99,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $99,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $99,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $99,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $99,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $99,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $99,000 Active 107 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $659 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $659 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,017
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$659
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,201
- − Management
- −$1,201
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $3,035
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$728
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,752/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This home is in good condition with a good roof, exterior, and interior. It has a good kitchen and bathrooms, and a well-maintained lawn and trees. The home is a great rental property and could be improved with a fresh coat of paint and a new HVAC system.
Components & finishes AI
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior siding and trim — Painting the exterior will improve the curb appeal and increase the home's value. ↑
- Both Replace the HVAC system — A new HVAC system will improve comfort and energy efficiency, increasing both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vernon Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201830
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -42.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,822
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4674
- State rank
- #18 of 98 in LA
Livability — Leesville
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #5046
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leesville, LA
- County
- Vernon Parish · 45,401 people
- City population
- 21,275
- Metro
- Fort Polk South, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,275
- Household income
- $55,925
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9% of renters
Population outlook (Vernon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,401 people
- By 2030
- 43,015 · -5.3%
- By 2040
- 38,171 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 34,087 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 28,267 · -37.7%
- By 2100
- 25,486 · -43.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vernon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.9) · D 15.6% · R 83.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.5pp toward R · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -67.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.9 2020: R+64.9 2016: R+65.0 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.06%
- Current HPI
- 128.8849
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.60%
- Metro
- Fort Polk South, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+59.7% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $99,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $99,000 SWLAR
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $99,000 GFPAR
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $114,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $114,900 SWLAR
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $114,900 GFPAR
- 2026-01-23 Listed $124,900 SWLAR
- 2026-01-20 Listed $124,900 GFPAR
- 2026-01-20 Listed $124,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-07-21 Rental Removed $950 BUILDIUM
- 2024-06-26 Price Changed $950 BUILDIUM
- 2024-06-18 Price Changed $1,150 BUILDIUM
- 2024-02-23 Listed for Rent $1,225 BUILDIUM
- 2017-09-01 Sold (MLS) — GFPAR
- 2017-07-20 Listed $20,000 GFPAR
- 2009-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
- 2009-09-25 Listed $62,000 GFPAR
- 2009-09-24 Sold (MLS) — GFPAR
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $659 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…