120 E Speedway St · Trumann, AR
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +1.7/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 Bedroom 2 bath home on a spacious lot located in Trumann! This property can be used as an investment or come in and make it your own!
Key facts
- 9,147 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1965
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximate lot dimensions: 60' x 150' (0.21 acre); Approximate living area recorded from tax records: 1,591
- Financial info: Financing available: Conventional loan, Cash, In-house financing
Exterior
- Parking: Carport for 2 cars
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family property; Inside city limits; Corner lot orientation
- Construction: Metal/vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Paved road access; Level, corner lot
Interior
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central cooling (electric); Central heating
- Interior features: Wood and vinyl flooring; Laundry room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $383 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($970 rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 4.4% in Trumann — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#353 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, employment D, crime F.
- Trumann School District (town): math 28% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #178 of 238 in AR (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 67 units permitted in Poinsett County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Poinsett County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $60k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.39%
- DSCR
- 2.22
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $103,415
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 713 Edgerton Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,713 (+8%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $102 | 52 |
| 630 W Main St | 0.64mi | 2/1.5 | 1,552 (-2%) | 17mo | $85,000 | $55 | 50 |
| 713 Edgerton | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,713 (+8%) | 4mo | $67,250 | $39 | 49 |
| 332 Ellis Ave | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,626 (+2%) | 17mo | $105,000 | $65 | 49 |
| 812 Swaney St | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,536 (-4%) | 18mo | $70,000 | $46 | 47 |
| 542 Mildred Ave | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,420 (-11%) | 16mo | $89,900 | $63 | 38 |
| 813 Mildred Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,386 (-13%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $115 | 34 |
| 613 Smith Ave. Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,521 (-4%) | 19mo | $150,000 | $99 | 33 |
| 416 Douglas | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,800 (+13%) | 22mo | $139,900 | $78 | 23 |
| 905 Cedar St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,406 (-12%) | 24mo | $85,000 | $60 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $14,695
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 29.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.63×
- Total profit
- $44,223
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72472
- Home prices YoY
- -3.1%
- Active inventory
- 73
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $970 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $515/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$204
- Net cashflow
- $383
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $60,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $60,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $60,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $60,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $60,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-02-12$60,000 New Listing
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
2 Bedroom 2 bath home on a spacious lot located in Trumann! This property can be used as an investment or come in and make it your own!
-
2026-02-12$60,000 Active 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
2 Bedroom 2 bath home on a spacious lot located in Trumann! This property can be used as an investment or come in and make it your own!
-
2018-04-11$54,900
-
1995-05-18soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $515 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $515 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,636
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$515
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$931
- − Management
- −$931
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $3,853
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$925
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,677/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Trumann School District
- NCES district ID
- 0500047
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,307
- Composite
- 22.33/100
- National rank
- #8130
- State rank
- #178 of 238 in AR
Livability — Trumann
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #353
- US rank
- #21973
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Trumann, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,868
Population outlook (Poinsett County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,998 people
- By 2030
- 22,356 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 21,150 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 20,035 · -12.9%
- By 2075
- 17,745 · -22.8%
- By 2100
- 15,358 · -33.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Greek 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Poinsett
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.5) · D 17.4% · R 81.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.3pp toward R · 2008: -27.2pp · 2024: -63.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.5 2020: R+59.8 2016: R+24.1 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+27.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -6.69%
- Current HPI
- 208.64
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+300.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-12 Listed $60,000 NEABOR MLS
- 2026-02-12 Listed $60,000 CARMLS
- 2018-04-11 Listed $54,900 NEABOR MLS
- 1995-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+22.3%/yrLatest (2025): $515 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…