2028 NW 49th Ter · Northmoor, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$255,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious Northmoor house in need of TLC/ updating. Plenty of sunlight, open floorplan. Sold "As IS", all offers require pre-approval and copy of EMD check.
Key facts
- New carpet
- Fenced yard
- New exterior paint
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-grade finished area reported; below-grade finished area reported; Maintenance not provided
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: City/Public water (verify); Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Raised ranch floor plan; Residential property
- Construction: Board & batten siding; Composition roof; Built approximately 41–50 years ago; Finished below-grade area
- Exterior features: Deck; Metal and wood fencing; Lot approximately 7,453 square feet
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level (all carpet; primary has ceiling fan)
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Finished basement with concrete construction; Two fireplaces (living room and basement); Eat-in kitchen
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement (linoleum)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12 ($-150/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $253k (0.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (19.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $206k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#39 in MO, #3,212 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities D, crime D-.
- Park Hill (urban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #26 of 324 in MO (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Line Creek Elem. (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #611 of 1,115 statewide, top 59%, 364 students, 45% FRL); Plaza Middle (math 37% / reading 51%, grade D, #121 of 391 statewide, top 32%, 715 students, 30% FRL); Park Hill South High (math 67% / reading 69%, grade B, #13 of 521 statewide, top 2%, 1,860 students, 25% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 234 units permitted in Platte County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Platte County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.21%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $354,944
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 NW 50th Ter | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,908 (+1%) | 7mo | $200,000 | $105 | 88 |
| 5317 Waukomis Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,828 (-3%) | 1mo | $329,900 | $180 | 69 |
| 4506 NW Apache Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 1,834 (-3%) | 12mo | $399,000 | $218 | 54 |
| 1713 NW 55th Ter | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,850 (-2%) | 19mo | $379,900 | $205 | 46 |
| 5401 N Delta Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 2,088 (+11%) | 14mo | $275,000 | $132 | 44 |
| 1904 NW 45th Ter | 0.50mi | 3/3.0 | 2,168 (+15%) | 6mo | $370,000 | $171 | 43 |
| 1000 NW Indian Ln | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,061 (+9%) | 23mo | $425,000 | $206 | 26 |
| 5043 NW Woodside Dr | 0.62mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,104 (+11%) | 22mo | $365,000 | $173 | 25 |
| 2501 NW Osage Cir | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,088 (+11%) | 20mo | $393,000 | $188 | 24 |
| 5029 NW Timberline Dr | 0.70mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,115 (+12%) | 22mo | $429,000 | $203 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-38,371
- Equity at exit
- $38,021
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-18,482
- Equity at exit
- $22,048
Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64151
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,057 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,337
- Tax from tax record
- −$194 /mo · $2,326/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$432
- Net cashflow
- $-12
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $132 | -5% $60 | +0% $-12 | +5% $-85 | +10% $-157 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-175 | -5% $-94 | +0% $-12 | +5% $69 | +10% $150 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $116 | -0.5pp $52 | base $-12 | +0.5pp $-79 | +1.0pp $-146 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,750
- Closing costs
- $7,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5103 NW Goodman St Riverside, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1357 | $2,105 | $1.55 | 3d | 14 | 0.47mi |
| 5506 N Fairmount Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1344 | $1,549 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 5000 N Jefferson St Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2438 | $2,750 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2200 NW 56th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $1,899 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5709 N Harden Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2100 | $2,145 | $1.02 | 22d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 5000 N Oak Trfy Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1225 | $1,340 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21status $255,000 Pending 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $255,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $255,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $255,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $255,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $255,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $255,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $275,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $275,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $275,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 459-char remark
-
2026-06-02$275,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,326 · $194/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,474 · $206/mo
- Expected delta
- +$148/yr (+$12/mo · 6.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,681
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,284
- − Property taxes
- −$2,326
- − Insurance
- −$1,275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,974
- − Management
- −$1,974
- − Depreciation
- −$7,418
- Taxable loss
- −$4,571
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,097
- After-tax cash flow
- $947/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Park Hill
- NCES district ID
- 2923550
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,616
- Composite
- 44.86/100
- National rank
- #2723
- State rank
- #26 of 324 in MO
Livability — Northmoor
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #3212
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Northmoor, MO
- County
- Platte County · 100,198 people
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,526
- Household income
- $92,876
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1013.0
Population outlook (Platte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,772 people
- By 2030
- 119,173 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 133,326 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 146,617 · +31.2%
- By 2075
- 178,626 · +59.8%
- By 2100
- 195,638 · +75.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Platte
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.2pp toward D · 2008: -6.4pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: R+3.0 2016: R+13.0 2012: R+14.2 2008: R+6.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -225.06%
- Current HPI
- 241.6626
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.80%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+120.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $275,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-03-28 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-10-25 Listed $106,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-09-28 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-05-25 Listed $124,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,326 · +12.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…