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2028 NW 49th Ter
D+ Composite 49.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$255,000

2028 NW 49th Ter · Northmoor, MO 64151
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,888 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1984 7,453 sqft lot Est $355k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious Northmoor house in need of TLC/ updating. Plenty of sunlight, open floorplan. Sold "As IS", all offers require pre-approval and copy of EMD check.

Key facts

  • New carpet
  • Fenced yard
  • New exterior paint

Tags

NEW EXTERIOR PAINTNEW KITCHEN CABINETSNEW APPLIANCESNEW CARPETFENCED YARDDECK FOR ENTERTAINING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade finished area reported; below-grade finished area reported; Maintenance not provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: City/Public water (verify); Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Raised ranch floor plan; Residential property
  • Construction: Board & batten siding; Composition roof; Built approximately 41–50 years ago; Finished below-grade area
  • Exterior features: Deck; Metal and wood fencing; Lot approximately 7,453 square feet

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level (all carpet; primary has ceiling fan)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Finished basement with concrete construction; Two fireplaces (living room and basement); Eat-in kitchen
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement (linoleum)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-12 ($-150/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $253k (0.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (19.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $206k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#39 in MO, #3,212 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities D, crime D-.
  • Park Hill (urban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #26 of 324 in MO (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Line Creek Elem. (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #611 of 1,115 statewide, top 59%, 364 students, 45% FRL); Plaza Middle (math 37% / reading 51%, grade D, #121 of 391 statewide, top 32%, 715 students, 30% FRL); Park Hill South High (math 67% / reading 69%, grade B, #13 of 521 statewide, top 2%, 1,860 students, 25% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 234 units permitted in Platte County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Platte County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $205,671 (19.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.23%
Cash-on-cash
-0.21%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$354,944
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2021 NW 50th Ter 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,908 (+1%) 7mo $200,000 $105 88
5317 Waukomis Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,828 (-3%) 1mo $329,900 $180 69
4506 NW Apache Dr 0.62mi 3/2.5 1,834 (-3%) 12mo $399,000 $218 54
1713 NW 55th Ter 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,850 (-2%) 19mo $379,900 $205 46
5401 N Delta Ave 0.59mi 3/2.0 2,088 (+11%) 14mo $275,000 $132 44
1904 NW 45th Ter 0.50mi 3/3.0 2,168 (+15%) 6mo $370,000 $171 43
1000 NW Indian Ln 0.66mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,061 (+9%) 23mo $425,000 $206 26
5043 NW Woodside Dr 0.62mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,104 (+11%) 22mo $365,000 $173 25
2501 NW Osage Cir 0.71mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,088 (+11%) 20mo $393,000 $188 24
5029 NW Timberline Dr 0.70mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,115 (+12%) 22mo $429,000 $203 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.8% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.8%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-38,371
Equity at exit
$38,021
10-year hold
IRR
-3.6%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-18,482
Equity at exit
$22,048

Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64151

Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,057 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,337
Tax from tax record
$194 /mo · $2,326/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$432
Net cashflow
$-12

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,073
Max offer price $252,792
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $132 -5% $60 +0% $-12 +5% $-85 +10% $-157
Rent -10% $-175 -5% $-94 +0% $-12 +5% $69 +10% $150
Rate -1.0pp $116 -0.5pp $52 base $-12 +0.5pp $-79 +1.0pp $-146

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,750
Closing costs
$7,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5103 NW Goodman St Riverside, MO 3.0 2.5 1357 $2,105 $1.55 3d 14 0.47mi
5506 N Fairmount Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.5 1344 $1,549 $1.15 45d 1 0.82mi
5000 N Jefferson St Kansas City, MO 4.0 2.5 2438 $2,750 $1.13 25d 1 0.87mi
2200 NW 56th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1464 $1,899 $1.30 45d 1 0.88mi
5709 N Harden Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 2100 $2,145 $1.02 22d 1 1.01mi
5000 N Oak Trfy Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0–2.0 1225 $1,340 $1.09 45d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    status $255,000 Pending 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $255,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $255,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $255,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $255,000 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $255,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $255,000 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $275,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $275,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $275,000 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    remarks 459-char remark
  12. 2026-06-02
    listed $275,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,326 · $194/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,474 · $206/mo
Expected delta
+$148/yr (+$12/mo · 6.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,681
− Mortgage interest
−$14,284
− Property taxes
−$2,326
− Insurance
−$1,275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,974
− Management
−$1,974
− Depreciation
−$7,418
Taxable loss
−$4,571
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,097
After-tax cash flow
$947/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Park Hill
NCES district ID
2923550
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$67,616
Composite
44.86/100
National rank
#2723
State rank
#26 of 324 in MO

Livability — Northmoor

Score
77/100
State rank
#39
US rank
#3212

Category grades

Amenities D Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Northmoor, MO
County
Platte County · 100,198 people
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
28,526
Household income
$92,876
Rent vs Own
36.6% rent · 63.4% own
Severe rent burden
1013.0

Population outlook (Platte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
111,772 people
By 2030
119,173 · +6.6%
By 2040
133,326 · +19.3%
By 2050
146,617 · +31.2%
By 2075
178,626 · +59.8%
By 2100
195,638 · +75.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Platte

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+3.2pp toward D · 2008: -6.4pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: R+3.0 2016: R+13.0 2012: R+14.2 2008: R+6.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -225.06%
Current HPI
241.6626
Rent YoY
▲ 4.80%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+120.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $275,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-03-28 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-10-25 Listed $106,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-09-28 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-05-25 Listed $124,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,326 · +12.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…