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1477 W Austin St
D Composite 42.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,000

1477 W Austin St · Paris, TX 75460
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 976 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1975 7,492 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Stop the Car and Slow your Scroll because the home search is over! This recently remolded, adorable and affordable home has been renovated from foundation to shingles, with a newer roof, HVAC, gas range, dishwasher, microwave, garbage disposal, electric panel and plumbing. Kitchen features a rustic butcher block countertop with a classic subway tile backsplash, deep double sink with matching faucet, white shaker style cabinets, and a black on stainless steel appliance package. Bathroom features a double sink vanity, elongated toilet and a decorative tub and shower enclosure. This home is also available for rent. Be sure to schedule your showing appointment today.

Key facts

  • Hvac
  • Garbage disposal
  • Newer roof

Tags

NEWER ROOFHVACGAS RANGEDISHWASHERMICROWAVEGARBAGE DISPOSAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Special notes: Utility easement
  • Financial info: Listing terms include Cash, Conventional, FHA, VA
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered carport (1 covered space); Off-street parking; Storage
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity available and connected; Individual gas meter; Individual water meter; Natural gas available; Cable available; Overhead utilities; Asphalt access
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Single-story; Property not attached; Preowned (built in 1975); Subdivided lot
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Year built 1975
  • Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Corner lot with few trees and level terrain; Grassed vegetation; Utilities easement

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas range; Microwave; Plumbed for gas in kitchen; Built-in cabinets; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level (12 x 11); Second bedroom on main level (11 x 11)
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom with dual sinks
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; Double vanity; Eat-in kitchen; 7 total rooms; One living area; One dining area; Levels: One
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room with built-in cabinets; Full-size washer/dryer area; Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $49 ($590/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (13.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.7% in Paris — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#984 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Paris ISD (town): math 36% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #521 of 826 in TX (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Justiss El (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 552 students, 90% FRL); Crockett Int (math 33% / reading 33%, grade F, #930 of 1,662 statewide, top 57%, 560 students, 79% FRL); Paris H S (math 60% / reading 51%, grade C, #364 of 1,632 statewide, top 23%, 934 students, 71% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 275 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 119 units permitted in Lamar County in 2024 (71 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lamar County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 10478% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $102,598 (13.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.79%
Cash-on-cash
1.77%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$74,176
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
320 16th St SW 0.06mi 3/1.0 (+1) 952 (-2%) 8mo $75,000 $79 82
1403 W Austin St 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (+8%) 2mo $170,000 $161 72
1430 Maple Ave 0.21mi 2/1.0 875 (-10%) 2mo $79,500 $91 72
525 19th St NW 0.57mi 2/2.0 950 (-3%) 1mo $130,000 $137 64
1837 W Houston St 0.34mi 2/1.0 1,120 (+15%) 3mo $55,000 $49 57
305 SW 7th St SW 0.52mi 2/1.0 1,036 (+6%) 11mo $48,000 $46 56
1212 W Cherry St 0.51mi 2/1.0 888 (-9%) 9mo $67,500 $76 53
865 6th St SW 0.69mi 2/2.0 912 (-7%) 3mo $53,111 $58 50
227 24th St NW 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,044 (+7%) 3mo $29,900 $29 46
560 26th St SW 0.75mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,072 (+10%) 0mo $94,900 $89 42
814 14th St NW 0.70mi 2/1.0 1,089 (+12%) 14mo $65,500 $60 36
2530 W Sherman St 0.69mi 2/1.0 864 (-12%) 17mo $55,000 $64 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.5%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-16,174
Equity at exit
$17,743
10-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-10,143
Equity at exit
$10,289

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75460

Active inventory
275
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,026 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax from tax record
$88 /mo · $1,053/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$215
Net cashflow
$49

Break-even live

Break-even rent $964
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $117 -5% $83 +0% $49 +5% $15 +10% $-18
Rent -10% $-32 -5% $9 +0% $49 +5% $90 +10% $130
Rate -1.0pp $109 -0.5pp $79 base $49 +0.5pp $18 +1.0pp $-13

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
132 7th St SW Paris, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $900 $1.12 45d 1 0.49mi
635 7th St SW Paris, TX 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 903 $1,200 $1.33 45d 16 0.69mi
916 8th St NW Paris, TX 3.0 1.0 540 $1,250 $2.31 45d 1 0.86mi
60 W Washington St Apt 101 Paris, TX 1.0 1.0 600 $750 $1.25 45d 1 0.94mi
649 E Price St Paris, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 45d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,000 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-05-22
    listed $1,125
  6. 2026-05-21
    listed $119,000 Active
  7. 2025-02-06
    historical $1,095
  8. 2025-01-08
    historical
  9. 2024-12-30
    status Active
  10. 2024-12-10
    listed $1,095
  11. 2024-08-01
    historical $1,095
  12. 2024-07-31
    price $109,900
  13. 2024-07-31
    historical
  14. 2024-07-19
    listed $1,095
  15. 2024-07-19
    price $99,800
  16. 2024-07-02
    listed $99,900 Active
  17. 2023-10-06
    soldstatus
  18. 2020-10-06
    soldstatus
  19. 2004-03-17
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,053 · $88/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,178 · $181/mo
Expected delta
+$1,125/yr (+$94/mo · 106.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,312
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$1,053
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$985
− Management
−$985
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable loss
−$1,434
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$344
After-tax cash flow
$934/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Paris ISD
NCES district ID
4834290
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$31,515
Composite
29.83/100
National rank
#6419
State rank
#521 of 826 in TX

Livability — Paris

Score
61/100
State rank
#984
US rank
#17535

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Paris, TX
County
Lamar County · 23,426 people
City population
23,426
Metro
Paris, TX
Population (ZIP)
23,426
Household income
$46,473
Rent vs Own
49.7% rent · 50.3% own
Severe rent burden
1355.0

Population outlook (Lamar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,319 people
By 2030
47,160 · -2.4%
By 2040
44,621 · -7.7%
By 2050
42,024 · -13.0%
By 2075
36,577 · -24.3%
By 2100
30,580 · -36.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Lamar

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.0) · D 19.2% · R 80.3%
2008→2024 swing
-19.1pp toward R · 2008: -42.0pp · 2024: -61.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.0 2020: R+57.4 2016: R+59.2 2012: R+50.3 2008: R+42.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -201.50%
Current HPI
145.3511
Rent YoY
Metro
Paris, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-98.9% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed for Rent $1,125 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $119,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-02-06 Rental Removed $1,095 NTREIS
  • 2025-01-08 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2024-12-30 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2024-12-10 Listed for Rent $1,095 NTREIS
  • 2024-08-01 Rental Removed $1,095 NTREIS
  • 2024-07-31 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2024-07-31 Price Changed $109,900 NTREIS
  • 2024-07-19 Listed for Rent $1,095 NTREIS
  • 2024-07-19 Price Changed $99,800 NTREIS
  • 2024-07-02 Listed $99,900 NTREIS
  • 2023-10-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-10-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-03-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,053 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…