16121 Palomino Rd · Laurinburg, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.5/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
BACK ON MARKET THROUGH NO FAULT OF THE PROPERTY OR SELLER! 2 Bedroom, 1 Bath, Living room, Kitchen, Den, Office, Detached Storage Building or Workshop. Concrete driveway, large covered deck in front and patio in back. Fenced yard. Gas water heater & gas pack central heat & air. Had been being rented since 2018 but being sold now. Lots of improvements like painting, cleaning, new carpet, some blinds etc. Lots to offer with this home at a great price.
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- Built 1967
- Listed 393 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: R6; Lot dimensions approximately 70 x 170 x 78 x 176 (0.29 acre); Road frontage on city street and state road; Subdivision: Langley Place
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking
- Utilities: Public water; Water connected; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction; Shingle roof; Foundation: see remarks
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Front yard; Chain link fencing around front and back yard; Storage structure; Workshop; Property has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.1% in Laurinburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#632 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Scotland County Schools (town): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #160 of 178 in NC (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: South Johnson Elementary (math 28% / reading 35%, grade F, #945 of 1,410 statewide, top 68%, 672 students, 100% FRL); Spring Hill Middle (math 25% / reading 29%, grade F, #374 of 475 statewide, top 80%, 643 students, 99% FRL); Scotland High School (math 45% / reading 44%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 1,445 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 70 units permitted in Scotland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Scotland County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 393 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 393 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.81%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $123,872
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17160 Highland Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,328 (+5%) | 12mo | $165,000 | $124 | 43 |
| 17100 Barnes Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,104 (-13%) | 5mo | $108,000 | $98 | 43 |
| 806 Beech St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,325 (+5%) | 16mo | $140,000 | $106 | 40 |
| 518 Queensdale St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,240 (-2%) | 21mo | $111,000 | $90 | 39 |
| 810 Beech St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,325 (+5%) | 17mo | $65,000 | $49 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-4,628
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $10,776
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28352
- Home prices YoY
- -3.4%
- Active inventory
- 158
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,014 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $644/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$213
- Net cashflow
- $182
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 809 W Allen Ln Laurinburg, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1503 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 16800 Jessica Rd Laurinburg, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $895 | $0.78 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 16800 Jessica Rd Laurinburg, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $895 | $0.78 | 13d | 1 | 0.56mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 393 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 392 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 391 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 390 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,900 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 387 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,900 Active 385 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 384 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 383 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 382 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,900 Active 379 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,900 Active 378 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 377 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 376 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 375 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,900 Active 374 DOM
-
2026-03-11status Active
-
2026-02-24historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-10-30price $99,900
-
2025-05-21$124,900 Active
-
2025-05-15historical $124,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $644 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $819 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$175/yr (+$15/mo · 27.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,169
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$644
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$974
- − Management
- −$974
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $576
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$138
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,045/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scotland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3704200
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,203
- Composite
- 20.66/100
- National rank
- #8536
- State rank
- #160 of 178 in NC
Livability — Laurinburg
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #632
- US rank
- #22962
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 24,177
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,177
Population outlook (Scotland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,331 people
- By 2030
- 32,017 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 29,290 · -12.1%
- By 2050
- 26,554 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 19,857 · -40.4%
- By 2100
- 13,851 · -58.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% White 37% Native American 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Scotland
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.9) · D 46.2% · R 53.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.0pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -6.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.9 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+7.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.08%
- Current HPI
- 255.331
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-20.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-11 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2026-02-24 Contingent — Hive MLS
- 2025-10-30 Price Changed $99,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-05-21 Listed $124,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-05-15 Coming Soon $124,900 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2024): $644 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…