241 S Avenue B · Cross Plains, TX
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 24.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- Appreciation +8.4/10.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- ARV discount +2.6/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Rustic cabin in town on a spacious .643 acre lot with plenty of room for 4-H projects or just your lovable pets. 2 Bed 1 Bath home has a front porch and a back deck. Kitchen & living room are open concept with a vaulted wood ceiling. Built-in cabinets & appliances along one wall leaves space to bring your own island for more counter space and seating area. Both bedrooms also have vaulted wood ceilings and there are laminate wood floors throughout. Bathroom has a walk-in shower and 2 windows for plenty of natural light. Laundry room has space for full size washer & dryer and a shelf across the roof for folding clothes and the electric water heater is in the corner. The large back yard has 2 sheds for animals to get out of the weather, a yard fenced for the house area to keep the livestock from being right up next to the home. There are double gates in the fence along Ave B so you can pull a trailer in the property and turn around to load or unload. This property will make a great home for you and your animals, an investment for a rental or there is plenty of space to divide the lots and have more homes.
Key facts
- Open concept
- Front porch
- Spacious lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $62 ($747/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($994 rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#486 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Cross Plains ISD (rural): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #581 of 1,141 in TX (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 11 units permitted in Callahan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.9% local appreciation)).
- Callahan County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (6.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $861k (90%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.81%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $85,731
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- 10.81%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 348 N Main St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+3%) | 20mo | $250,000 | $298 | 62 |
| 225 6th St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (+15%) | 23mo | $89,000 | $95 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.88% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.37×
- Total profit
- $36,466
- Equity at exit
- $65,056
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.88×
- Total profit
- $103,218
- Equity at exit
- $122,880
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76443
- Home prices YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $994 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $62
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 708 Foster Bond St Unit 101 Cross Plains, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $994 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $95,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $95,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-03-19price $95,000 1141-char remark
Show marketing remark (1141 chars)
Rustic cabin in town on a spacious .643 acre lot with plenty of room for 4-H projects or just your lovable pets. 2 Bed 1 Bath home has a front porch and a back deck. Kitchen & living room are open concept with a vaulted wood ceiling. Built-in cabinets & appliances along one wall leaves space to bring your own island for more counter space and seating area. Both bedrooms also have vaulted wood ceilings and there are laminate wood floors throughout. Bathroom has a walk-in shower and 2 windows for plenty of natural light. Laundry room has space for full size washer & dryer and a shelf across the roof for folding clothes and the electric water heater is in the corner. The large back yard has 2 sheds for animals to get out of the weather, a yard fenced for the house area to keep the livestock from being right up next to the home. There are double gates in the fence along Ave B so you can pull a trailer in the property and turn around to load or unload. This property will make a great home for you and your animals, an investment for a rental or there is plenty of space to divide the lots and have more homes.
-
2026-03-16$956,000 Active 1141-char remark
Show marketing remark (1141 chars)
Rustic cabin in town on a spacious .643 acre lot with plenty of room for 4-H projects or just your lovable pets. 2 Bed 1 Bath home has a front porch and a back deck. Kitchen & living room are open concept with a vaulted wood ceiling. Built-in cabinets & appliances along one wall leaves space to bring your own island for more counter space and seating area. Both bedrooms also have vaulted wood ceilings and there are laminate wood floors throughout. Bathroom has a walk-in shower and 2 windows for plenty of natural light. Laundry room has space for full size washer & dryer and a shelf across the roof for folding clothes and the electric water heater is in the corner. The large back yard has 2 sheds for animals to get out of the weather, a yard fenced for the house area to keep the livestock from being right up next to the home. There are double gates in the fence along Ave B so you can pull a trailer in the property and turn around to load or unload. This property will make a great home for you and your animals, an investment for a rental or there is plenty of space to divide the lots and have more homes.
-
2023-05-16soldstatus Closed 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Looks like a log cabin. **Buyer's representative to verify all utilities, measurements, and school districts.
-
2023-04-25status Pending 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Looks like a log cabin. **Buyer's representative to verify all utilities, measurements, and school districts.
-
2023-04-14historical Active Option Contract 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Looks like a log cabin. **Buyer's representative to verify all utilities, measurements, and school districts.
-
2023-03-28$60,000 Active 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Looks like a log cabin. **Buyer's representative to verify all utilities, measurements, and school districts.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,928
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,425
- − Insurance
- −$1,272
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$954
- − Management
- −$954
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable loss
- −$763
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$183
- After-tax cash flow
- $930/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This rustic cabin requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value. Paint, windows, and flooring updates would significantly enhance its appeal.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Metal carport roof — Slight rust visible
- Minor Windows — Curtains suggest need for window treatments
- Minor Exterior siding — Slight wear visible
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Resale Replace windows with energy-efficient ones — Improved energy efficiency and aesthetics
- Resale Install new flooring in kitchen and bathrooms — Modern flooring enhances value
- Rental Upgrade HVAC system — Improved comfort and energy efficiency attracts renters
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Metal carport roof · Slight rust visible | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Windows · Curtains suggest need for window treatments | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Exterior siding · Slight wear visible | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale Replace windows with energy-efficient ones — Improved energy efficiency and aesthetics ↑
- Resale Install new flooring in kitchen and bathrooms — Modern flooring enhances value ↑
- Rental Upgrade HVAC system — Improved comfort and energy efficiency attracts renters ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cross Plains ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815810
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,187
- Composite
- 39.64/100
- National rank
- #8046
- State rank
- #581 of 1141 in TX
Livability — Cross Plains
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #486
- US rank
- #9666
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cross Plains, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,812
Population outlook (Callahan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,664 people
- By 2030
- 13,578 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 13,283 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 13,008 · -4.8%
- By 2075
- 12,354 · -9.6%
- By 2100
- 11,326 · -17.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 27% Serbian 4% Romanian 3%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Callahan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+77.6) · D 10.9% · R 88.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.9pp toward R · 2008: -61.7pp · 2024: -77.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+77.6 2020: R+77.3 2016: R+77.2 2012: R+69.8 2008: R+61.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.88%
- Current HPI
- 161.931
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+58.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $95,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-16 Listed $956,000 NTREIS
- 2023-05-16 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2023-04-25 Pending — NTREIS
- 2023-04-14 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2023-03-28 Listed $60,000 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…