6700 E Thomas Rd · Scottsdale, AZ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
True to its name, Oasis Park is a tranquil 55+, no-pet community that is located within walking distance to Old Towne Scottsdale. Houses are 50s and 60s original mobile trailers converted with Arizona rooms. There is a large club house, pool and hot tub, fitness center, and library. Oasis Park is next door to canal hiking and biking trails with great views of Camelback Mountain. For Lot #7, all appliances, newer tv, furniture, and kitchenware are included. Transferrable termite protection for 6 years is included. All park fees, including; sewer and water, garbage, recycling, and park maintenance fees have been paid through 2025. (Less than $2,600 per year - taxes included) Master bath has been recently remodeled with higher grade professional materials, along with all exterior doors, kitchen sink and faucet. Attached washer/dryer workshop area with 2 car carport. An upgraded fieldstone electric fireplace with heater adds to the rustic cozy cabin feeling.
Key facts
- Fitness center
- Large club house
- Pool and hot tub
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $406 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
- Recommended offer: $189k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 2.5% in Scottsdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#4 in AZ, #1,756 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
- Scottsdale Unified District (4240) (urban): math 53% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #30 of 249 in AZ (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 582 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 227 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $215k implies a 313% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 227 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.09%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $425,330
- List price
- $215,000
- Delta
- -49.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-15,976
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-7,604
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85251
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 582
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,394 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$269 /mo · $3,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$503
- Net cashflow
- $406
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3208 N 67th Pl Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3070 | $1,095 | $0.36 | 17d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 7020 E 1st Ave Scottsdale, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2649 | $9,999 | $3.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2311 N 58th St Scottsdale, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2640 | $14,995 | $5.68 | 1d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4201 N Marshall Way #2000 Scottsdale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2700 | $10,000 | $3.70 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 6711 E Camelback Rd Scottsdale, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2718 | $7,000 | $2.58 | 5d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active 227 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Active 226 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $215,000 Active 225 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active 224 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active 222 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $215,000 Active 218 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active 217 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $215,000 Active 216 DOM
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2026-06-04pricedays on market $215,000 Active 213 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $220,000 Active 212 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $220,000 Active 211 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $220,000 Active 210 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $220,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-02-14price $220,000 970-char remark
Show marketing remark (970 chars)
True to its name, Oasis Park is a tranquil 55+, no-pet community that is located within walking distance to Old Towne Scottsdale. Houses are 50s and 60s original mobile trailers converted with Arizona rooms. There is a large club house, pool and hot tub, fitness center, and library. Oasis Park is next door to canal hiking and biking trails with great views of Camelback Mountain. For Lot #7, all appliances, newer tv, furniture, and kitchenware are included. Transferrable termite protection for 6 years is included. All park fees, including; sewer and water, garbage, recycling, and park maintenance fees have been paid through 2025. (Less than $2,600 per year - taxes included) Master bath has been recently remodeled with higher grade professional materials, along with all exterior doors, kitchen sink and faucet. Attached washer/dryer workshop area with 2 car carport. An upgraded fieldstone electric fireplace with heater adds to the rustic cozy cabin feeling.
-
2026-02-06price $234,000 970-char remark
Show marketing remark (970 chars)
True to its name, Oasis Park is a tranquil 55+, no-pet community that is located within walking distance to Old Towne Scottsdale. Houses are 50s and 60s original mobile trailers converted with Arizona rooms. There is a large club house, pool and hot tub, fitness center, and library. Oasis Park is next door to canal hiking and biking trails with great views of Camelback Mountain. For Lot #7, all appliances, newer tv, furniture, and kitchenware are included. Transferrable termite protection for 6 years is included. All park fees, including; sewer and water, garbage, recycling, and park maintenance fees have been paid through 2025. (Less than $2,600 per year - taxes included) Master bath has been recently remodeled with higher grade professional materials, along with all exterior doors, kitchen sink and faucet. Attached washer/dryer workshop area with 2 car carport. An upgraded fieldstone electric fireplace with heater adds to the rustic cozy cabin feeling.
-
2025-11-03$235,000 Active 970-char remark
Show marketing remark (970 chars)
True to its name, Oasis Park is a tranquil 55+, no-pet community that is located within walking distance to Old Towne Scottsdale. Houses are 50s and 60s original mobile trailers converted with Arizona rooms. There is a large club house, pool and hot tub, fitness center, and library. Oasis Park is next door to canal hiking and biking trails with great views of Camelback Mountain. For Lot #7, all appliances, newer tv, furniture, and kitchenware are included. Transferrable termite protection for 6 years is included. All park fees, including; sewer and water, garbage, recycling, and park maintenance fees have been paid through 2025. (Less than $2,600 per year - taxes included) Master bath has been recently remodeled with higher grade professional materials, along with all exterior doors, kitchen sink and faucet. Attached washer/dryer workshop area with 2 car carport. An upgraded fieldstone electric fireplace with heater adds to the rustic cozy cabin feeling.
-
2008-09-08historical
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2008-03-24$98,000
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2006-02-20historical
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2005-11-21$114,900
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2002-03-31soldstatus $52,000
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2001-11-18historical
-
2001-02-15$59,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,733
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$3,225
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,299
- − Management
- −$2,299
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable income
- $1,538
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$369
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,500/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scottsdale Unified District (4240)
- NCES district ID
- 0407570
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,139
- Composite
- 48.02/100
- National rank
- #2196
- State rank
- #30 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Scottsdale
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #1756
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Scottsdale, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 290,846
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,780
- Household income
- $92,851
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2259.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Romanian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -672.80%
- Current HPI
- 372.433
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.58%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+272.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-14 Price Changed $220,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $234,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2025-11-03 Listed $235,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2008-09-08 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2008-03-24 Listed $98,000 ARMLS
- 2006-02-20 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2005-11-21 Listed $114,900 ARMLS
- 2002-03-31 Sold (MLS) $52,000 ARMLS
- 2001-11-18 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2001-02-15 Listed $59,000 ARMLS
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $36,068 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…